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AIK Basket vs Malbas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 90-78
21-17 26-18 14-23 29-20
Position#12
Record7-16
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game87.1
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
vs
Malbas
Sweden
Position#5
Record15-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game73.2
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · AIK Basket v Malbas
24 Oct 2026
AIK 82
MALB66
18 Jan 2026
AIK 61
MALB84
23 Mar 2025
AIK 90
MALB78
06 Apr 2024
AIK 89
MALB84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malbas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#14
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H19/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
53avg 69
A24/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 69
A26/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 69
A01/02
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
78-116
78
116
-38
56avg 69
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 69
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
94-100
94
100
-6
88avg 69
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 69
H25/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 69
A01/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
61-86
61
86
-25
43avg 69
H09/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
22-26
15-24
27-8
16-22
16-19
14-22
23-27
33-18
16-21
16-21
23-19
18-26
27-23
25-20
19-25
16-28
16-33
26-34
20-21
19-25
26-18
28-21
22-22
12-31
32-29
19-15
31-25
8-20
18-15
22-20
18-24
17-20
19-18
25-27
21-30
9-19
15-23
15-23
22-21
170.1Avg total
80.6Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.387.1166.4-7.730%
Season at home (12)76.883.4160.2-6.633%
Season away (11)82.191.1173.2-9.027%
Last 10 (10)80.689.5170.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)79.689.2168.8-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)78.290.5168.8-12.323%
vs Similar (13)80.885.9166.7-5.231%
vs Weaker (4)80.577.2157.8+3.275%
This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalbas
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
95-74
95
74
+21
54avg 77
A11/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
98-107 OT
98
107
-9
91avg 77
A12/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 77
H18/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
97-70
97
70
+27
99avg 77
H26/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
127avg 77
H02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
81-53
81
53
+28
78avg 77
A19/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
89-72
89
72
+17
82avg 77
H02/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
66-64
66
64
+2
62avg 77
A08/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
72-59
72
59
+13
69avg 77
A09/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
95-67
95
67
+28
94avg 77
A22/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-16
17-22
33-19
30-25
25-18
16-26
20-22
18-20
20-21
26-24
22-12
28-12
24-19
28-17
17-22
28-16
33-16
34-26
21-20
27-10
13-16
21-13
20-14
21-22
21-17
18-14
29-19
13-15
22-19
16-11
15-19
14-16
22-17
18-11
18-15
23-19
26-14
25-22
21-12
161.6Avg total
89.5Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)84.273.2157.3+11.065%
Season at home (11)93.674.6168.3+19.082%
Season away (12)75.571.8147.3+3.750%
Last 10 (10)89.572.1161.6+17.490%
Last 5 (5)80.663.0143.6+17.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.281.0152.2-9.80%
vs Similar (11)81.072.3153.3+8.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.873.7160.5+13.173%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +5.4+5.4Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
AIK BasketMalbas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tureberg
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A26/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/02
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A01/03
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H09/03
Superettan
82.1Avg total
37.5Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.380.8-3.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.740.978.6-3.250%-
Last 30 away (14)39.443.983.3-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.682.1-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)35.043.678.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.244.380.5-8.231%-
vs Similar (13)40.142.082.1-1.938%-
vs Weaker (4)41.036.877.8+4.2100%-
This opponent (Malbas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalbasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A11/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A12/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H18/01
Superettan
Ockelbo
#4
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H26/01
Superettan
AIK Basket
#12
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A19/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A08/03
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A09/03
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/03
Superettan
79.8Avg total
45.3Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.678.6+5.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.036.482.4+9.671%-
Last 30 away (16)38.636.875.3+1.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.334.579.8+10.890%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.073.4+7.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.538.877.2-0.225%-
vs Similar (11)38.336.174.4+2.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.736.482.1+9.380%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.820.3
48.6%
49.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.2
25.8%
30.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.314.4
64.6%
67.1%14.4
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malbastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malbas: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.723.8
59.9%
49.8%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
30.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.511.2
64.0%
67.1%11.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
LLLLWLLWLW
Malbas
WWWWWWWWLW
#12
League position
#5
-12.2
Net rating
+21.2
96.2
Offensive rating
110.3
108.3
Defensive rating
89.1
45.0%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.3%
22.1%
Turnover %
18.7%
37.9%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.25
25.8%
3-point %
34.1%
56.6%
Assist %
66.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 110.3Defence108.3 · 89.1Shooting45.0% · 56.3%3-point %25.8% · 34.1%Ball care22.1% · 18.7%Off. rebounds37.9% · 29.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Malbas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AIK Basket wins
2
Malbas wins
DateGameScore
02/02/25Malbas v AIK Basket116-78
06/04/24AIK Basket v Malbas89-84
03/12/23Malbas v AIK Basket62-61
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25HDjurgarden61-86
01/03/25AOckelbo82-95
25/02/25HSloga Uppsala66-79
15/02/25HAlvik94-100
09/02/25HIK Eos95-86
02/02/25AMalbas78-116
01/02/25AIK Eos89-94
26/01/25AAkersberga88-79
24/01/25ADjurgarden69-90
19/01/25HTureberg84-70
Malbaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/25ATureberg95-67
09/03/25AAlvik72-59
08/03/25AHuddinge66-64
02/03/25HHuddinge89-72
19/02/25AIK Eos81-53
02/02/25HAIK Basket116-78
26/01/25HOckelbo97-70
18/01/25HWetterbygden Stars86-77
12/01/25AWetterbygden Stars98-107 OT
11/01/25AKFUM Fryshuset95-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL30%
HomeWWLLL33%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game79.376.882.1
Allowed / game87.183.491.1
Point differential-7.7-6.6-9.0
Avg total166.4160.2173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Malbas
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW65%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %65%82%50%
Points / game84.293.675.5
Allowed / game73.274.671.8
Point differential+11.0+19.0+3.7
Avg total157.3168.3147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%64%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2320387%86.775.3+11.5
2 Wetterbygden Stars2419579%85.381.2+4.1
3 KFUM Fryshuset2217577%83.776.0+7.8
4 Malbas2315865%84.273.2+11.0
5 Ockelbo23131057%76.574.5+2.0
6 Aros Basket22121055%80.579.5+1.0
7 Djurgarden22111150%82.078.0+4.0
8 Alvik23111248%83.181.3+1.7
9 Huddinge24101442%76.581.1-4.6
10 Blackeberg2371630%75.179.7-4.6
11 AIK Basket2371630%79.387.1-7.7
12 IK Eos2261627%81.586.3-4.8
13 Akersberga2361726%77.784.8-7.2
14 Tureberg2361726%70.784.5-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket2126142990
Malbas1718232078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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