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Ockelbo vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-82
20-17 18-19 27-25 30-21
Position#4
Record11-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game74.0
Ockelbo 🏆
Sweden
vs
Position#12
Record7-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game86.8
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ockelbo v AIK Basket
30 Jan 2027
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OCKE56
AIK 73
01 Mar 2025
OCKE95
AIK 82
09 Mar 2024
OCKE77
AIK 62
08 Oct 2022
OCKE82
AIK 74
29 Jan 2022
OCKE70
AIK 75
06 Mar 2021
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
60-67
60
67
-7
48avg 66
H08/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
W
83-71
83
71
+12
73avg 66
H21/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
78-63
78
63
+15
67avg 66
H11/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
89-86
89
86
+3
92avg 66
A18/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 66
A25/01
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
70-97
70
97
-27
61avg 66
A26/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
L
62-68
62
68
-6
50avg 66
H02/02
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
71avg 66
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 66
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
76-70
76
70
+6
65avg 66
H22/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
24-18
15-20
9-11
24-26
15-18
18-12
26-15
24-15
19-14
19-9
16-25
22-21
22-21
16-22
29-22
17-20
27-18
15-25
21-22
12-28
19-24
17-28
22-17
15-13
21-15
12-23
14-17
21-12
16-18
8-17
19-17
13-16
19-10
22-11
14-25
17-13
27-15
17-23
15-19
148.3Avg total
74.2Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.674.0150.6+2.655%
Season at home (10)75.967.3143.2+8.680%
Season away (10)77.380.7158.0-3.430%
Last 10 (10)74.274.1148.3+0.160%
Last 5 (5)70.473.8144.2-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
vs Similar (15)74.574.3148.8+0.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.372.4151.6+6.973%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
82avg 69
A21/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
76-77
76
77
-1
73avg 69
H11/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
84-70
84
70
+14
no box
H19/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
69-90
69
90
-21
53avg 69
A24/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 69
A26/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 69
A01/02
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
78-116
78
116
-38
56avg 69
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
95-86
95
86
+9
91avg 69
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
94-100
94
100
-6
88avg 69
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
48avg 69
H25/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
34-23
13-21
29-33
25-26
19-20
17-15
15-16
20-12
22-26
15-24
27-8
16-22
16-19
14-22
23-27
33-18
16-21
16-21
23-19
18-26
27-23
25-20
19-25
16-28
16-33
26-34
20-21
19-25
26-18
28-21
22-22
12-31
32-29
19-15
31-25
8-20
18-15
22-20
18-24
172.2Avg total
83.1Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.186.8166.9-6.733%
Season at home (11)78.383.2161.5-4.936%
Season away (10)82.190.7172.8-8.630%
Last 10 (10)83.189.1172.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)84.495.0179.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.590.5170.0-11.127%
vs Similar (14)81.186.1167.3-5.029%
vs Weaker (5)80.675.2155.8+5.480%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
OckelboAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H08/12
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/12
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H11/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A25/01
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A26/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#2
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H02/02
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H09/02
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A15/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H22/02
Superettan
73.9Avg total
38.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.236.476.6+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.435.778.1+6.665%-
Last 30 away (13)37.437.274.6+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.373.9+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.868.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.844.889.5+0.050%-
vs Similar (15)37.735.973.7+1.847%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.933.975.8+8.082%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A21/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#9
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H11/01
Superettan
Tureberg
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Superettan
Djurgarden
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A24/01
Superettan
Akersberga
#13
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A26/01
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A01/02
Superettan
Malbas
#5
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A02/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H09/02
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H15/02
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#1
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H25/02
Superettan
86.7Avg total
40.9Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.342.381.6-2.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.140.779.8-1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)39.744.384.0-4.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.886.7-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.449.688.0-11.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.345.182.4-7.836%-
vs Similar (14)40.542.282.7-1.743%-
vs Weaker (5)40.636.276.8+4.4100%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.3
45.1%
49.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.47.4
26.1%
30.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.916.6
75.8%
67.1%16.6
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.9
51.8%
49.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.86.1
26.8%
30.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws22.714.2
62.6%
67.1%14.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
WWWLLLWWWL
AIK Basket
LLWLLWLWLL
#4
League position
#12
+0.4
Net rating
-8.0
93.3
Offensive rating
98.8
92.9
Defensive rating
106.9
42.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
43.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.7%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
36.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
26.1%
3-point %
26.8%
62.3%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence93.3 · 98.8Defence92.9 · 106.9Shooting42.5% · 47.7%3-point %26.1% · 26.8%Ball care18.6% · 21.7%Off. rebounds29.5% · 36.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ockelbo   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ockelbo wins
4
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
26/10/24AIK Basket v Ockelbo74-63
09/03/24Ockelbo v AIK Basket77-62
30/09/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo87-68
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HIK Eos76-70
15/02/25AKFUM Fryshuset68-62
09/02/25HAkersberga76-72 OT
02/02/25HWetterbygden Stars62-68
26/01/25AMalbas70-97
25/01/25AIK Eos80-85
18/01/25AAkersberga89-86
11/01/25HTureberg78-63
21/12/24HDjurgarden83-71
08/12/24HKFUM Fryshuset60-67
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25HSloga Uppsala66-79
15/02/25HAlvik94-100
09/02/25HIK Eos95-86
02/02/25AMalbas78-116
01/02/25AIK Eos89-94
26/01/25AAkersberga88-79
24/01/25ADjurgarden69-90
19/01/25HTureberg84-70
11/01/25HHuddinge76-77
21/12/24AAlvik92-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayWWLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game76.675.977.3
Allowed / game74.067.380.7
Point differential+2.6+8.6-3.4
Avg total150.6143.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %10%10%10%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWWLL36%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %33%36%30%
Points / game80.178.382.1
Allowed / game86.883.290.7
Point differential-6.7-4.9-8.6
Avg total166.9161.5172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sloga Uppsala2118386%86.376.0+10.3
2 Wetterbygden Stars2217577%84.781.4+3.3
3 KFUM Fryshuset1914574%83.875.8+8.0
4 Malbas1911858%84.974.8+10.2
5 Alvik2011955%84.080.5+3.5
6 Ockelbo2011955%76.674.0+2.6
7 Djurgarden1991047%80.679.1+1.5
8 Aros Basket1991047%79.579.9-0.5
9 Huddinge1981142%78.282.9-4.8
10 Blackeberg2071335%75.079.5-4.5
11 AIK Basket2171433%80.186.8-6.7
12 Akersberga2061430%78.583.7-5.2
13 Tureberg2061430%70.883.3-12.4
14 IK Eos2161529%81.786.6-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo2018273095
AIK Basket1719252182
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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