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AIK Basket vs Ockelbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 78-69
18-18 14-18 21-20 25-13
Position#9
Record6-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game77.8
AIK Basket 🏆
Sweden
vs
Ockelbo
Sweden
Position#12
Record8-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.4
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · AIK Basket v Ockelbo
21 Mar 2027
AIK v OCKE
upcoming
14 Feb 2026
AIK 78
OCKE69
26 Oct 2024
AIK 74
OCKE63
30 Sep 2023
AIK 87
OCKE68
25 Feb 2023
AIK 69
OCKE83
11 Dec 2021
AIK 79
OCKE68
29 Nov 2020
AIK v OCKE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 71
H09/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
93-63
93
63
+30
89avg 71
H22/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
L
68-73
68
73
-5
55avg 71
H06/12
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
74-79
74
79
-5
no box
A13/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 71
H20/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 71
H10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H18/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 71
A24/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
86avg 71
A31/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 71
A03/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
22-9
18-22
17-22
20-16
20-16
24-9
29-22
15-15
22-19
16-18
15-21
17-31
20-18
15-14
22-16
11-18
24-21
19-20
22-21
12-19
23-20
19-12
17-27
13-26
18-21
13-21
17-16
18-18
27-18
24-22
22-18
21-19
18-19
14-24
27-18
25-21
27-17
29-17
25-13
156.3Avg total
80.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.677.8156.3+0.838%
Season at home (9)72.774.3147.0-1.733%
Season away (7)86.182.1168.3+4.043%
Last 10 (10)80.675.7156.3+4.950%
Last 5 (5)84.878.4163.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.588.7164.2-13.28%
vs Similar (13)81.079.1160.1+1.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.474.6161.0+11.860%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
95avg 67
H29/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
68-86
68
86
-18
47avg 67
A06/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
55-57
55
57
-2
47avg 67
A13/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
53avg 67
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 67
A10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 67
A11/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H17/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 67
A24/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
67avg 67
H31/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
97-92
97
92
+5
92avg 67
H07/02
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
24-18
22-17
24-32
21-29
12-18
15-26
20-13
12-17
13-12
15-13
15-15
16-23
15-17
21-12
19-22
24-22
22-29
24-25
14-22
20-18
22-14
18-21
14-19
15-24
27-21
20-12
22-18
17-18
27-18
22-19
14-27
24-22
21-17
13-22
25-15
15-25
24-21
28-22
30-24
158.1Avg total
79.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.279.4156.6-2.344%
Season at home (9)81.777.8159.4+3.967%
Season away (9)72.781.1153.8-8.422%
Last 10 (10)79.079.1158.1-0.150%
Last 5 (5)83.679.4163.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.679.7160.4+0.955%
vs Similar (13)74.574.2148.7+0.454%
vs Weaker (6)72.372.2144.5+0.267%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -1.0-1.0
AIK BasketOckelbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H09/11
Superettan
Alvik
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H22/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H06/12
Superettan
Alvik
#7
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A13/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H20/12
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H18/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A03/02
Superettan
76.5Avg total
38.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.079.2-2.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.539.577.0-2.044%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.781.6-3.836%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.876.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.680.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.143.278.3-8.225%-
vs Similar (13)39.139.478.5-0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H29/11
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A06/12
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A13/12
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H17/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/02
Superettan
79.0Avg total
39.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.675.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.636.075.6+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)37.037.474.4-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.579.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.439.682.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.538.778.3+0.855%-
vs Similar (13)38.236.474.6+1.846%-
vs Weaker (6)36.733.370.0+3.367%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.9
49.3%
50.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.8
33.1%
30.9%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.814.4
63.2%
67.0%14.4
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.3
46.0%
50.7%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.2
30.2%
30.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.016.1
70.0%
67.0%16.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWWLLLLLWW
Ockelbo
WWLWWLLLLW
#9
League position
#12
+10.8
Net rating
-1.4
97.5
Offensive rating
92.0
86.7
Defensive rating
93.4
49.5%
Effective FG%
45.7%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.5%
34.5%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.1%
3-point %
30.2%
66.6%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 92.0Defence86.7 · 93.4Shooting49.5% · 45.7%3-point %33.1% · 30.2%Ball care17.0% · 14.5%Off. rebounds34.5% · 29.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Ockelbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
AIK Basket wins
4
Ockelbo wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Ockelbo v AIK Basket95-82
26/10/24AIK Basket v Ockelbo74-63
09/03/24Ockelbo v AIK Basket77-62
30/09/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo87-68
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26ABlackeberg106-68
31/01/26AFryshuset Basket95-86 OT
24/01/26AAros Basket91-76
18/01/26HMalbas61-84
10/01/26HHuddinge71-78
20/12/25HBlackeberg76-80
13/12/25AAlvik74-79
06/12/25HDjurgarden68-73
22/11/25HAlvik93-63
09/11/25HIK Eos71-70
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HFryshuset Basket97-92
31/01/26HEskilstuna83-76
24/01/26AWetterbygden Stars80-82
17/01/26HAros Basket84-75
11/01/26AMalbas74-72
10/01/26AIK Eos84-98
20/12/25HSollentuna71-74
13/12/25ABlackeberg55-57
06/12/25ASollentuna68-86
29/11/25HTrelleborg94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW38%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLWWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %38%33%43%
Points / game78.672.786.1
Allowed / game77.874.382.1
Point differential+0.8-1.7+4.0
Avg total156.3147.0168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%11%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%14%
Ockelbo
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW44%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%67%22%
Points / game77.281.772.7
Allowed / game79.477.881.1
Point differential-2.3+3.9-8.4
Avg total156.6159.4153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2016480%87.881.2+6.7
2 Malbas1813572%86.676.2+10.3
3 Wetterbygden Stars1912763%78.578.8-0.3
4 Djurgarden1911858%82.578.1+4.5
5 Huddinge1911858%87.986.8+1.1
6 Alvik1810856%78.180.7-2.6
7 Eskilstuna189950%86.185.3+0.8
8 IK Eos1991047%82.980.4+2.5
9 Trelleborg1991047%84.084.5-0.5
10 Sollentuna178947%78.177.4+0.7
11 Ockelbo1881044%77.279.4-2.3
12 AIK Basket1661038%78.677.8+0.8
13 Aros Basket1731418%79.486.8-7.4
14 Blackeberg1931616%76.190.9-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AIK Basket1814212578
Ockelbo1818201369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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