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AIK Basket vs Trelleborg Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#9
Record3-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.8
SwedenSuperettan· Vasalundshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · AIK Basket v Trelleborg
09 Jan 2027
AIK v TREL
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
AIK 92
TREL71
19 Feb 2022
AIK 78
TREL85
27 Mar 2021
AIK v TREL
upcoming
23 Feb 2020
AIK 20
TREL0
29 Sep 2019
AIK 85
TREL79
03 Mar 2019
AIK 80
TREL87
05 Jan 2019
AIK 85
TREL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AIK Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trelleborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · AIK Basket
5.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.7
85.4▼ 0.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.1
74.0▼ 5.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
53%▼ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.4
19.0▲ 0.6
🔥 Form · Trelleborg
6.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 87.2
82.8▼ 4.4
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.6
82.0▼ 3.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
48%▼ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.4
15.0▼ 1.4
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#2
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#10
W
84-58
84
58
+26
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
H24/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
19-20
11-8
20-7
22-23
23-17
24-18
17-17
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
161.9Avg total
85.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Season at home (2)83.062.0145.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)87.082.0169.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)85.676.3161.9+9.380%
Last 5 (5)85.474.0159.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.588.0167.5-8.525%
vs Similar (14)83.180.0163.1+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.572.5155.0+10.067%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
109-102
109
102
+7
H14/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A28/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
106-91
106
91
+15
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#2
L
84-97
84
97
-13
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A25/10
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
34-26
22-28
22-24
24-39
27-16
14-15
17-21
23-24
16-23
13-17
19-28
25-24
30-16
16-24
35-27
28-12
21-19
9-28
19-28
30-30
20-15
20-23
16-16
18-10
19-23
34-19
22-15
20-19
27-30
18-16
19-32
23-24
19-22
20-16
26-18
23-21
5-19
11-22
24-20
173.2Avg total
85.9Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.882.8164.7-1.050%
Season at home (3)84.783.7168.3+1.033%
Season away (3)79.082.0161.0-3.067%
Last 10 (10)85.987.3173.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)82.882.0164.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)82.686.9169.5-4.340%
vs Similar (15)87.884.5172.3+3.347%
vs Weaker (5)84.283.8168.0+0.460%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
AIK BasketTrelleborg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ockelbo
#12
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A07/03
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/03
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#2
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#3
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#10
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
82.5Avg total
44.4Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.579.7+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.535.375.9+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)41.941.683.5+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.182.5+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.281.4+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.545.888.2-3.250%-
vs Similar (14)39.737.877.5+1.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.636.879.4+5.858%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H14/03
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A28/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#4
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A25/10
Superettan
89.9Avg total
46.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.087.0+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.839.985.8+5.975%-
Last 30 away (14)41.946.688.4-4.729%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.689.9+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.683.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.141.783.8+0.450%-
vs Similar (15)45.643.989.5+1.753%-
vs Weaker (5)42.843.085.8-0.260%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.7
50.3%
50.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.7
31.5%
29.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws24.816.2
65.3%
65.7%16.2
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
29.8%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.016.4
65.6%
65.7%16.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AIK Basket
WWLWWLWWWW
Trelleborg
LWLWWLWLLW
#1
League position
#9
+8.4
Net rating
+0.3
88.7
Offensive rating
92.0
80.3
Defensive rating
91.7
48.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
32.2%
63.4%
Assist %
50.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.7 · 92.0Defence80.3 · 91.7Shooting48.8% · 49.7%3-point %31.5% · 32.2%Ball care14.1% · 13.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ AIK Basket   ■ Trelleborg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
AIK Basket wins
7
Trelleborg wins
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71
14/03/26HAros Basket86-75
07/03/26AOckelbo73-56
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26ASollentuna63-82
24/10/26ANorrort88-80
17/10/26HAlvik84-97
10/10/26HSollentuna93-67
27/09/26AHuddinge86-84
19/09/26HWetterbygden Stars77-87
11/04/26HAIK Basket106-91
29/03/26AAIK Basket71-92
28/03/26AHuddinge82-91
14/03/26HFryshuset Basket109-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game85.483.087.0
Allowed / game74.062.082.0
Point differential+11.4+21.0+5.0
Avg total159.4145.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trelleborg
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game81.884.779.0
Allowed / game82.883.782.0
Point differential-1.0+1.0-3.0
Avg total164.7168.3161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket54180%85.474.0+11.4
2 Alvik75271%94.076.1+17.9
3 Fryshuset Basket75271%88.082.0+6.0
4 Wetterbygden Stars75271%88.082.1+5.9
5 Eskilstuna75271%92.388.0+4.3
6 Norrort64267%89.380.8+8.5
7 IK Eos53260%93.473.6+19.8
8 Sollentuna84450%84.978.5+6.4
9 Trelleborg63350%81.882.8-1.0
10 Huddinge73443%75.483.7-8.3
11 Djurgarden62433%76.287.5-11.3
12 Ockelbo62433%73.586.5-13.0
13 Malbas7070%69.687.9-18.3
14 Cross Over6060%69.095.3-26.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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