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Ockelbo vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 56-73
21-23 20-19 8-11 7-20
Position#12
Record8-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#9
Record9-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.6
SwedenSuperettan· Kuxahallen
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ockelbo v AIK Basket
30 Jan 2027
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
OCKE56
AIK 73
01 Mar 2025
OCKE95
AIK 82
09 Mar 2024
OCKE77
AIK 62
08 Oct 2022
OCKE82
AIK 74
29 Jan 2022
OCKE70
AIK 75
06 Mar 2021
OCKE v AIK
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ockelbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OckelboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOckelbo
Date
Competition
Sollentuna
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
53avg 66
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
84-98
84
98
-14
73avg 66
A10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 66
A11/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
84-75
84
75
+9
no box
H17/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
80-82
80
82
-2
70avg 66
A24/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
83-76
83
76
+7
67avg 66
H31/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
97-92
97
92
+5
92avg 66
H07/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
L
69-78
69
78
-9
59avg 66
A14/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
75-81
75
81
-6
70avg 66
H21/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
61avg 66
A01/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
15-17
21-12
19-22
24-22
22-29
24-25
14-22
20-18
22-14
18-21
14-19
15-24
27-21
20-12
22-18
17-18
27-18
22-19
14-27
24-22
21-17
13-22
25-15
15-25
24-21
28-22
30-24
18-18
18-14
20-21
13-25
16-24
28-14
15-19
16-24
20-22
19-22
20-31
17-16
161.2Avg total
79.3Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)76.680.0156.6-3.438%
Season at home (10)81.078.1159.1+2.960%
Season away (11)72.681.7154.4-9.118%
Last 10 (10)79.381.9161.2-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.083.6163.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.480.5159.8-1.146%
vs Similar (12)76.276.2152.4-0.150%
vs Weaker (5)71.672.2143.8-0.660%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
63avg 73
H10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
61-84
61
84
-23
no box
H18/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
91-76
91
76
+15
91avg 73
A24/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
86avg 73
A31/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
106-68
106
68
+38
104avg 73
A03/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
62avg 73
H14/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
95-80
95
80
+15
93avg 73
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
88-101
88
101
-13
80avg 73
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 73
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
93-86
93
86
+7
84avg 73
H04/03
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-19
23-20
19-12
17-27
13-26
18-21
13-21
17-16
18-18
27-18
24-22
22-18
21-19
18-19
14-24
27-18
25-21
27-17
29-17
25-13
18-18
14-18
21-20
25-13
22-12
28-23
29-14
16-31
26-21
26-27
14-33
22-20
23-22
14-20
29-25
13-24
22-18
33-17
17-29
21-22
167.6Avg total
85.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.579.6160.0+0.943%
Season at home (11)75.074.9149.9+0.145%
Season away (10)86.584.7171.2+1.840%
Last 10 (10)85.781.9167.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)86.685.4172.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.189.6166.7-12.58%
vs Similar (12)82.378.7161.0+3.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)84.277.2161.3+7.050%
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.3+0.3
OckelboAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OckelboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sollentuna
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H20/12
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H17/01
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/01
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#8
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H07/02
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A14/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H21/02
Superettan
Huddinge
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/03
Superettan
81.1Avg total
40.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.676.5+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.177.4+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)37.438.275.6-0.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.381.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.880.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.238.677.8+0.654%-
vs Similar (12)39.438.177.5+1.342%-
vs Weaker (5)36.634.070.6+2.660%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Huddinge
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H10/01
Superettan
Malbas
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H18/01
Superettan
Aros Basket
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A24/01
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/01
Superettan
Blackeberg
#14
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A03/02
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/02
Superettan
IK Eos
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/02
Superettan
Malbas
#2
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A22/02
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A28/02
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#1
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H04/03
Superettan
82.2Avg total
42.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.479.1-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.638.776.2-1.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.942.482.3-2.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)45.239.284.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.843.880.6-7.133%-
vs Similar (12)39.637.376.9+2.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.539.880.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Ockelbo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ockelbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ockelbo: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.9
49.7%
50.7%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.28.8
28.2%
30.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.115.2
68.8%
67.0%15.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.5
54.2%
50.7%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.5
31.2%
30.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.016.7
69.6%
67.0%16.7
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ockelbo
LLLWWLWWLL
AIK Basket
WLLWWWWWLL
#12
League position
#9
-4.5
Net rating
+6.8
85.1
Offensive rating
92.5
89.6
Defensive rating
85.7
46.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
16.0%
Turnover %
16.5%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
40.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.2%
3-point %
31.2%
59.1%
Assist %
61.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.1 · 92.5Defence89.6 · 85.7Shooting46.2% · 50.6%3-point %28.2% · 31.2%Ball care16.0% · 16.5%Off. rebounds26.7% · 40.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ockelbo   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ockelbo wins
5
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26AIK Basket v Ockelbo78-69
01/03/25Ockelbo v AIK Basket95-82
26/10/24AIK Basket v Ockelbo74-63
09/03/24Ockelbo v AIK Basket77-62
30/09/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo87-68
25/02/23AIK Basket v Ockelbo69-83
08/10/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket82-74 OT
29/01/22Ockelbo v AIK Basket70-75
11/12/21AIK Basket v Ockelbo79-68
Ockelbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AHuddinge76-91
21/02/26HWetterbygden Stars75-81
14/02/26AAIK Basket69-78
07/02/26HFryshuset Basket97-92
31/01/26HEskilstuna83-76
24/01/26AWetterbygden Stars80-82
17/01/26HAros Basket84-75
11/01/26AMalbas74-72
10/01/26AIK Eos84-98
20/12/25HSollentuna71-74
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HFryshuset Basket93-86
28/02/26AWetterbygden Stars79-91
22/02/26AMalbas88-101
21/02/26AIK Eos95-80
14/02/26HOckelbo78-69
03/02/26ABlackeberg106-68
31/01/26AFryshuset Basket95-86 OT
24/01/26AAros Basket91-76
18/01/26HMalbas61-84
10/01/26HHuddinge71-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ockelbo
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game76.681.072.6
Allowed / game80.078.181.7
Point differential-3.4+2.9-9.1
Avg total156.6159.1154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW43%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%45%40%
Points / game80.575.086.5
Allowed / game79.674.984.7
Point differential+0.9+0.1+1.8
Avg total160.0149.9171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%9%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)40% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fryshuset Basket2217577%88.081.5+6.5
2 Malbas2116576%88.376.2+12.0
3 Wetterbygden Stars2214864%79.379.9-0.6
4 Djurgarden2113862%84.178.0+6.2
5 Huddinge2213959%88.086.5+1.5
6 Alvik21111052%79.481.9-2.4
7 Sollentuna20101050%79.277.7+1.5
8 Trelleborg22101245%83.683.8-0.2
9 IK Eos2091145%82.881.2+1.6
10 AIK Basket2191243%80.579.6+0.9
11 Eskilstuna2191243%85.387.3-2.0
12 Ockelbo2181338%76.680.0-3.4
13 Aros Basket2061430%80.885.0-4.2
14 Blackeberg2231914%75.592.6-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ockelbo21208756
AIK Basket2319112073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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