Trelleborg vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 107-73

31-21 26-26 20-9 30-17

Position#6

Record9-12

FormLLWWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game81.0

Trelleborg 🏆

AIK Basket

Position#7

Record10-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.7

Allowed / game82.1

Superettan

Other2018-19

Meetings · Trelleborg v AIK Basket

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trelleborg winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

AIK Basket winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trelleborg Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Djurgarden

84-85

-1

H30/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

81-85

-4

A05/01

Superettan

Alvik

62-86

-24

H13/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

77-100

100

-23

A20/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

81-72

H27/01

Superettan

Alvik

75-80

-5

A10/02

Superettan

Djurgarden

81-93

-12

H24/02

Superettan

Helsingborg

79-73

H27/02

Superettan

AIK Basket

87-80

A03/03

Superettan

IK Eos

79-71

A06/03

Superettan

27-11

16-21

17-27

24-26

14-19

19-21

18-19

30-26

16-25

13-15

7-25

26-21

16-20

15-25

16-26

30-29

23-23

17-16

19-16

22-17

17-27

18-22

17-9

23-22

21-21

25-23

13-16

22-33

29-18

12-23

13-17

25-15

23-24

18-20

28-14

18-22

23-13

12-24

18-20

26-14

161.1Avg total

78.6Scored

82.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	78.8	81.0	159.9	-2.2	43%
Season at home (10)	80.1	74.0	154.1	+6.1	60%
Season away (11)	77.6	87.5	165.1	-9.8	27%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	82.5	161.1	-3.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	79.4	159.6	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	76.4	82.5	158.9	-6.1	33%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	84.0	82.5	166.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (4)	85.2	75.0	160.2	+10.2	75%

This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AIK Basket Sweden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hogsbo

81-72

H16/12

Superettan

Trelleborg

85-81

H05/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

96-95

A13/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

88-74

+14

H20/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

97-69

+28

A27/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

86-72

+14

H01/02

Superettan

Alvik

82-91

-9

H06/02

Superettan

IK Eos

69-97

-28

H17/02

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

86-72

+14

A22/02

Superettan

Trelleborg

80-87

-7

H03/03

Superettan

12-23

21-13

26-16

22-20

19-14

21-19

19-18

26-30

17-25

28-22

21-32

30-16

21-15

23-29

23-14

21-16

20-18

20-15

27-21

30-15

28-16

12-15

29-24

17-17

24-17

19-28

12-22

27-24

10-21

11-19

15-31

33-26

18-17

22-13

20-24

26-18

24-23

20-18

14-28

22-18

166.0Avg total

85.0Scored

81.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	79.7	82.1	161.8	-2.4	50%
Season at home (11)	83.8	86.2	170.0	-2.4	55%
Season away (9)	74.6	77.1	151.7	-2.6	44%
Last 10 (10)	85.0	81.0	166.0	+4.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	83.8	164.4	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	75.8	84.2	159.9	-8.4	31%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	82.5	84.0	166.5	-1.5	50%
vs Weaker (5)	88.6	76.0	164.6	+12.6	100%

This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TrelleborgAIK Basket

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.5	21.3	39.7	-2.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	20.1	41.0	+0.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.6	43.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.1	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	17.8	38.2	+2.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-2.0	45%	-
Last 30 away (8)	20.2	20.6	40.9	-0.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.4	21.9	41.3	-2.5	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	17.9	19.9	37.8	-2.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.9	22.5	40.5	-4.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	21.0	37.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.9	20.7	37.6	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.4	20.9	42.2	+0.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.6	35.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	20.2	22.1	42.3	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	80%	-

TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Djurgarden

43-32

+11

H30/12

Superettan

AIK Basket

33-40

-7

A05/01

Superettan

Alvik

29-40

-11

H13/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

31-45

-14

A20/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

40-39

H27/01

Superettan

Alvik

35-49

-14

A10/02

Superettan

Djurgarden

46-44

H24/02

Superettan

Helsingborg

41-41

H27/02

Superettan

AIK Basket

41-44

-3

A03/03

Superettan

IK Eos

35-37

-2

A06/03

Superettan

78.5Avg total

37.4Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	38.6	39.6	78.2	-1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.1	35.0	76.1	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.4	43.8	80.2	-7.5	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	41.1	78.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	43.0	82.6	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.0	40.7	78.7	-2.7	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	37.0	42.0	79.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	34.5	76.2	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (AIK Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hogsbo

33-36

-3

H16/12

Superettan

Trelleborg

40-33

H05/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

45-47

-2

A13/01

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

44-44

H20/01

Superettan

Lulea Steelers

40-33

A27/01

Superettan

Hogsbo

40-31

H01/02

Superettan

Alvik

43-45

-2

H06/02

Superettan

IK Eos

21-40

-19

H17/02

Superettan

KFUM Fryshuset

40-30

+10

A22/02

Superettan

Trelleborg

44-41

H03/03

Superettan

77.0Avg total

39.0Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	40.1	41.3	81.4	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.9	41.2	80.1	-2.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (8)	41.6	41.5	83.1	+0.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	38.0	77.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.4	75.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.7	44.0	83.7	-4.3	42%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	60%	-

This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	16.2	19.6	35.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.1	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.9	35.5	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	15.2	33.0	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.0	21.3	38.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	23.0	16.5	39.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	42%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	22.3	41.8	-2.7	45%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.9	21.4	41.2	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	23.0	43.6	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	25.8	43.8	-7.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	16.5	23.0	39.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	26.0	22.2	48.2	+3.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	22.1	20.6	42.7	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	70%	-
Last 30 away (11)	21.5	21.7	43.2	-0.3	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	22.5	47.1	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	53%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	19.5	43.2	+4.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.9	21.1	44.1	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	24.3	22.1	46.4	+2.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (8)	21.1	19.8	40.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.4	20.0	45.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.6	45.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.0	22.2	45.2	+0.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	24.0	24.0	48.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	22.4	17.2	39.6	+5.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (21)	40.2	41.4	81.6	-1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.0	39.0	78.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (11)	41.3	43.6	84.9	-2.4	55%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	41.4	82.6	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.4	77.0	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	38.4	41.8	80.2	-3.4	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	47.0	40.5	87.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (4)	43.5	40.5	84.0	+3.0	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	42.6	43.0	85.6	-0.4	42%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.8	44.4	88.2	-0.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (8)	41.0	41.1	82.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.0	43.0	89.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	46.4	89.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.6	43.8	84.4	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	40.5	47.0	87.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (5)	48.4	39.4	87.8	+9.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Trelleborg wins

AIK Basket wins

Date	Game	Score
03/03/19	AIK Basket v Trelleborg	80-87
05/01/19	AIK Basket v Trelleborg	85-81

Trelleborglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/03/19	A	IK Eos	79-71
03/03/19	A	AIK Basket	87-80
27/02/19	H	Helsingborg	79-73
24/02/19	H	Djurgarden	81-93
10/02/19	A	Alvik	75-80
27/01/19	H	KFUM Fryshuset	81-72
20/01/19	A	Hogsbo	77-100
13/01/19	H	Alvik	62-86
05/01/19	A	AIK Basket	81-85
30/12/18	H	Djurgarden	84-85

AIK Basketlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/19	H	Trelleborg	80-87
22/02/19	A	KFUM Fryshuset	86-72
17/02/19	H	IK Eos	69-97
06/02/19	H	Alvik	82-91
01/02/19	H	Hogsbo	86-72
27/01/19	A	Lulea Steelers	97-69
20/01/19	H	KFUM Fryshuset	88-74
13/01/19	A	Lulea Steelers	96-95
05/01/19	H	Trelleborg	85-81
16/12/18	H	Hogsbo	81-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trelleborg

Superettan 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	43%
Home	LLWLW	60%
Away	LLLWW	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	43%	60%	27%
Points / game	78.8	80.1	77.6
Allowed / game	81.0	74.0	87.5
Point differential	-2.2	+6.1	-9.8
Avg total	159.9	154.1	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	40%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (5)	0% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

AIK Basket

Superettan 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	50%
Home	WWLLL	55%
Away	LLWWW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	50%	55%	44%
Points / game	79.7	83.8	74.6
Allowed / game	82.1	86.2	77.1
Point differential	-2.5	-2.4	-2.6
Avg total	161.8	170.0	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	18%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	75% (4)	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	9%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Djurgarden	20	20	0	100%	95.5	82.5	+12.9
2	Alvik	22	16	6	73%	85.1	74.8	+10.4
3	IK Eos	21	13	8	62%	87.4	75.7	+11.7
4	KFUM Fryshuset	23	12	11	52%	84.2	80.1	+4.1
5	AIK Basket	20	10	10	50%	79.7	82.1	-2.5
6	Helsingborg	23	11	12	48%	85.8	81.8	+4.0
7	Trelleborg	21	9	12	43%	78.8	81.0	-2.2
8	Hogsbo	23	4	19	17%	75.7	92.9	-17.3
9	Lulea Steelers	19	1	18	5%	72.3	94.7	-22.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Trelleborg	31	26	20	30	107
AIK Basket	21	26	9	17	73

← all games of the day

Trelleborg vs AIK Basket Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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