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Air Force vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 66-81
29-40 37-41
Position#371
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#86
Record12-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game71.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v Nevada
17 Jan 2026
AIR 66
NEVA81
04 Feb 2025
AIR 60
NEVA74
31 Dec 2022
AIR 69
NEVA75
15 Jan 2022
AIR 68
NEVA75
07 Dec 2019
AIR 85
NEVA100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
49-91
49
91
-42
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-28
29-43
21-37
42-43
26-41
39-39
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
22-45
27-46
21-27
41-43
133.1Avg total
56.3Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)62.075.6137.6-13.618%
Season at home (12)64.777.2141.9-12.625%
Season away (5)55.671.6127.2-16.00%
Last 10 (10)56.376.8133.1-20.50%
Last 5 (5)53.679.0132.6-25.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)60.377.2137.5-16.810%
vs Similar (1)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#191
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
92-83
92
83
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-37
43-28
35-27
41-43
31-32
47-32
42-35
36-40
36-26
45-40
37-36
38-26
21-26
45-39
36-34
32-39
38-39
54-44
23-29
39-42
145.1Avg total
75.7Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.271.9148.1+4.371%
Season at home (12)77.671.8149.4+5.875%
Season away (5)72.872.0144.8+0.860%
Last 10 (10)75.769.4145.1+6.380%
Last 5 (5)72.670.8143.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.475.2142.6-7.80%
vs Similar (18)73.571.3144.8+2.261%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.364.0143.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -10.5-10.51st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -10.0-10.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -10.5-10.51st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: -10.0-10.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
Air ForceNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Colorado
#97
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H10/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A14/01
NCAA
59.7Avg total
24.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.336.064.3-7.617%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.336.464.8-8.111%-
Last 30 away (12)28.335.263.6-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)24.635.159.7-10.510%-
Last 5 (5)24.037.661.6-13.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)28.236.164.3-7.917%-
vs Similar (1)31.032.063.0-1.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#191
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H03/12
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A07/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H21/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A31/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
L
21-26
21
26
-5
A04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A15/01
NCAA
65.8Avg total
33.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.932.565.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.232.368.4+3.961%-
Last 30 away (12)28.132.860.8-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)33.732.165.8+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.032.863.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.236.066.2-5.80%-
vs Similar (18)33.632.866.4+0.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.129.162.3+4.057%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
9
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
05/02/25Air Force v Nevada60-74
15/01/25Nevada v Air Force68-62
10/01/24Nevada v Air Force67-54
04/02/23Nevada v Air Force72-52
31/12/22Air Force v Nevada69-75
15/01/22Air Force v Nevada68-75
20/12/20Nevada v Air Force66-68
19/12/20Nevada v Air Force74-57
05/02/20Nevada v Air Force88-54
07/12/19Air Force v Nevada85-100
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ASan Jose State62-70
10/01/26HNew Mexico49-91
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
04/12/25HPacific65-80
29/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes63-80
26/11/25HNorthern Colorado53-71
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AUtah State62-71
11/01/26HWyoming92-83
07/01/26HSan Diego State68-73
04/01/26AFresno State66-65
31/12/25AColorado State75-62
21/12/25HBoise State81-66
14/12/25HDuquesne78-75
07/12/25AWashington State78-64
03/12/25HUC San Diego76-70
28/11/25HSan Francisco81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLLLLL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %18%25%0%
Points / game62.064.755.6
Allowed / game75.677.271.6
Point differential-13.6-12.6-16.0
Avg total137.6141.9127.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %71%75%60%
Points / game76.277.672.8
Allowed / game71.971.872.0
Point differential+4.3+5.8+0.8
Avg total148.1149.4144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %6%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1715288%85.367.7+17.6
2 New Mexico1714382%80.866.2+14.5
3 San Diego State1612475%81.971.8+10.1
4 Nevada1712571%76.271.9+4.3
5 Wyoming1711665%82.472.8+9.6
6 Grand Canyon1711665%75.468.9+6.4
7 Colorado State1811761%78.672.3+6.3
8 Boise State1810856%76.874.3+2.5
9 UNLV168850%79.177.3+1.8
10 Fresno State178947%73.170.8+2.3
11 San Jose State1761135%72.275.6-3.4
12 Air Force1731418%62.075.6-13.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force293766
Nevada404181
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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