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Air Force vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 49-91
22-45 27-46
Position#371
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#50
Record12-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Air Force v New Mexico
16 Jan 2027
AIR v NEW
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
AIR 49
NEW 91
08 Feb 2025
AIR 53
NEW 88
20 Jan 2024
AIR 66
NEW 85
10 Feb 2023
AIR 89
NEW 77
05 Feb 2022
AIR 77
NEW 91
24 Feb 2021
AIR 62
NEW 55
22 Feb 2021
AIR 65
NEW 73
26 Feb 2020
AIR 60
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H21/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
W
98-85
98
85
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
53-71
53
71
-18
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
65-80
65
80
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
56-68
56
68
-12
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
39-67
39
67
-28
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
62-99
62
99
-37
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-27
41-36
48-49
50-36
24-28
29-43
21-37
42-43
26-41
39-39
25-24
31-37
30-33
28-48
26-36
30-32
20-35
19-32
31-45
31-54
138.2Avg total
62.7Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)62.974.9137.8-12.120%
Season at home (11)66.176.0142.1-9.927%
Season away (4)54.072.0126.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)62.775.5138.2-12.820%
Last 5 (5)54.275.2129.4-21.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)61.276.9138.2-15.711%
vs Similar (2)68.571.5140.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H22/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H27/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
97-47
97
47
+50
H02/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
98-71
98
71
+27
H07/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
81-78
81
78
+3
A11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H14/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
78-58
78
58
+20
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
40-39
38-51
55-36
44-21
53-26
45-36
53-35
41-46
40-32
28-25
47-34
41-28
47-37
19-21
34-41
34-31
44-27
39-30
41-40
149.8Avg total
82.3Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.767.5147.2+12.180%
Season at home (11)83.066.1149.1+16.991%
Season away (4)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)82.367.5149.8+14.890%
Last 5 (5)74.862.8137.6+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.573.5150.9+4.055%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.264.7142.9+13.489%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +10.7+10.7
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: +4.1+4.12nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +10.7+10.7
Air ForceNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H23/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
21-37
21
37
-16
H29/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H04/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A07/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A18/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H30/12
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A03/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/01
NCAA
64.2Avg total
28.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.736.164.8-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (18)28.835.964.7-7.111%-
Last 30 away (12)28.636.465.0-7.825%-
Last 10 (10)28.735.564.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)26.434.661.0-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)28.836.164.9-7.218%-
vs Similar (2)27.536.564.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mississippi St.
#257
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H22/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/11
NCAA
New Mexico Cowboys
#493
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H02/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H07/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A11/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H14/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
19-21
19
21
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A07/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
36.9Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.367.4+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.131.867.8+4.378%-
Last 30 away (12)33.733.166.8+0.642%-
Last 10 (10)36.932.869.7+4.170%-
Last 5 (5)32.227.059.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)34.536.270.7-1.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.430.165.5+5.474%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Air Force wins
7
New Mexico wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HUtah State62-99
03/01/26AUNLV39-67
30/12/25HWyoming56-68
18/12/25ASan Diego State58-81
07/12/25ANavy56-61
04/12/25HPacific65-80
29/11/25HSouth Dakota Coyotes63-80
26/11/25HNorthern Colorado53-71
23/11/25HIU Indy98-85
21/11/25HSiu Edwardsville77-63
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26AColorado State80-70
04/01/26HWyoming78-58
31/12/25ABoise State53-62
21/12/25HSan Jose State88-65
14/12/25HFlorida Gulf Coast75-59
11/12/25AVCU Rams81-78
07/12/25HSanta Clara98-71
02/12/25HNew Mexico Cowboys97-47
27/11/25HAlabama State93-87
22/11/25HMississippi St.80-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %20%27%0%
Points / game62.966.154.0
Allowed / game74.976.072.0
Point differential-12.1-9.9-18.0
Avg total137.8142.1126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %80%91%50%
Points / game79.783.070.5
Allowed / game67.566.171.5
Point differential+12.1+16.9-1.0
Avg total147.2149.1142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%73%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1413193%86.666.9+19.6
2 New Mexico1512380%79.767.5+12.1
3 Wyoming1511473%84.171.4+12.7
4 Nevada1511473%76.171.2+4.9
5 San Diego State1410471%83.374.3+9.0
6 Colorado State1611569%79.671.4+8.1
7 Grand Canyon149564%75.568.1+7.4
8 Boise State159660%76.772.2+4.5
9 Fresno State157847%74.170.9+3.2
10 UNLV157847%78.576.8+1.7
11 San Jose State1551033%73.376.5-3.2
12 Air Force1531220%62.974.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force222749
New Mexico454691
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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