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Air Force vs New Mexico Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#122
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#93
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Air Force v New Mexico
16 Jan 2027
AIR v NEW
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
AIR 49
NEW 91
08 Feb 2025
AIR 53
NEW 88
20 Jan 2024
AIR 66
NEW 85
10 Feb 2023
AIR 89
NEW 77
05 Feb 2022
AIR 77
NEW 91
24 Feb 2021
AIR 62
NEW 55
22 Feb 2021
AIR 65
NEW 73
26 Feb 2020
AIR 60
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A28/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H04/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
45-80
45
80
-35
A11/03
NCAA
Wright State
#41
L
71-102
71
102
-31
A03/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#484
W
107-58
107
58
+49
H06/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
W
107-93
107
93
+14
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
35-57
37-42
43-44
25-35
37-31
24-43
36-43
25-32
34-42
10-39
35-41
31-60
40-42
51-28
56-30
41-42
48-40
50-35
57-58
156.4Avg total
74.6Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.583.8177.2+9.875%
Season at home (3)101.077.7178.7+23.3100%
Season away (1)71.0102.0173.0-31.00%
Last 10 (10)74.681.8156.4-7.230%
Last 5 (5)83.883.0166.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)61.082.4143.4-21.44%
vs Similar (1)107.093.0200.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker (1)89.082.0171.0+7.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
74-82
74
82
-8
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
93-77
93
77
+16
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
62-64
62
64
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
100-60
100
60
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
94-65
94
65
+29
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-23
37-44
36-37
45-39
25-40
49-42
43-42
47-52
43-36
50-41
33-37
29-27
38-33
62-27
46-30
48-35
47-34
47-35
33-51
52-39
157.7Avg total
83.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.271.0164.2+22.275%
Season at home (3)96.064.7160.7+31.3100%
Season away (1)85.090.0175.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)83.374.4157.7+8.950%
Last 5 (5)87.069.6156.6+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)79.375.6154.9+3.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)84.468.5152.9+15.976%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.5-6.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +8.5+8.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.5-6.51st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +8.5+8.5
Air ForceNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#192
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H21/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H04/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A08/03
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
10-39
10
39
-29
A11/03
NCAA
Wright State
#41
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A03/11
NCAA
Calumet College
#484
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H06/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#392
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H08/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H11/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
32.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.540.069.5-10.510%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.240.173.3-6.812%-
Last 30 away (13)24.739.964.6-15.28%-
Last 10 (10)32.539.071.5-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.877.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)27.640.668.1-13.04%-
vs Similar (1)50.035.085.0+15.0100%-
vs Weaker (1)41.042.083.0-1.00%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevada
#86
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A25/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H05/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A14/03
NCAA
Utah Tech
#314
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H07/11
NCAA
UALR
#318
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#68
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.471.1+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.232.671.8+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)35.834.570.2+1.346%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.076.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)38.238.076.2+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)37.531.469.0+6.171%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
8
New Mexico wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLoyola Chicago107-93
08/11/26HIdaho State89-82
06/11/26HCalumet College107-58
03/11/26AWright State71-102
11/03/26ANevada45-80
08/03/26ANevada59-74
04/03/26HGrand Canyon60-86
28/02/26AWyoming62-66
25/02/26HSan Jose State80-86
21/02/26HUNLV66-91
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASanta Clara85-90
11/11/26HUALR94-69
07/11/26HNorthern Arizona94-65
03/11/26HUtah Tech100-60
14/03/26ASan Diego State62-64
13/03/26HSan Jose State93-77
07/03/26AUtah State90-94
05/03/26HColorado State74-82
28/02/26HSan Diego State81-76
25/02/26ANevada60-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.5101.071.0
Allowed / game83.877.7102.0
Point differential+9.8+23.3-31.0
Avg total177.2178.7173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Mexico
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.296.085.0
Allowed / game71.064.790.0
Point differential+22.2+31.3-5.0
Avg total164.2160.7175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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