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Air Force vs New Mexico Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 89-77
39-32 50-45
Position#251
Record12-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game66.0
vs
Position#70
Record19-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game71.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Air Force v New Mexico
16 Jan 2027
AIR v NEW
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
AIR 49
NEW 91
08 Feb 2025
AIR 53
NEW 88
20 Jan 2024
AIR 66
NEW 85
10 Feb 2023
AIR 89
NEW 77
05 Feb 2022
AIR 77
NEW 91
24 Feb 2021
AIR 62
NEW 55
22 Feb 2021
AIR 65
NEW 73
26 Feb 2020
AIR 60
NEW 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Mexico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
85-74 OT
85
74
+11
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
60-70
60
70
-10
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
52-82
52
82
-30
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-44
37-33
30-30
35-35
20-26
31-22
32-36
50-38
24-39
36-31
31-46
21-36
34-43
39-38
21-34
31-25
28-31
24-41
26-32
27-37
133.1Avg total
62.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)66.466.0132.4+0.448%
Season at home (16)68.964.2133.2+4.756%
Season away (9)61.969.2131.1-7.333%
Last 10 (10)62.570.6133.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)56.472.6129.0-16.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)61.272.0133.2-10.88%
vs Similar (16)66.864.0130.8+2.862%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H10/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H18/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
81-79 OT
81
79
+2
H21/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H28/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
76-77
76
77
-1
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
35-35
43-38
34-46
43-35
39-40
38-28
38-39
32-23
45-34
31-37
41-35
38-43
40-35
43-34
38-39
27-46
46-38
41-45
35-32
154.8Avg total
78.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.871.7153.5+10.079%
Season at home (16)84.870.9155.7+13.888%
Season away (8)75.873.2149.0+2.562%
Last 10 (10)78.476.4154.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)81.082.0163.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.573.5144.0-3.050%
vs Similar (11)79.078.3157.3+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)78.966.9145.9+12.086%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -8.7-8.71st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -0.5-0.52nd half: +1.8+1.8
Air ForceNew Mexico
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
20-26
20
26
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H22/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A25/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A28/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A04/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H08/02
NCAA
63.5Avg total
27.4Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.631.260.9-1.627%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.629.860.4+0.839%-
Last 30 away (12)28.233.361.5-5.28%-
Last 10 (10)27.436.163.5-8.70%-
Last 5 (5)28.037.265.2-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)26.534.761.2-8.28%-
vs Similar (16)31.430.161.4+1.331%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (New Mexico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New MexicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H08/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H10/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A15/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H18/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H21/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A02/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
36.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.232.569.7+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.731.171.8+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)31.834.666.4-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.573.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.233.566.8-0.250%-
vs Similar (11)36.335.972.2+0.464%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)38.130.468.6+7.764%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Air Force wins
5
New Mexico wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23New Mexico v Air Force81-73
26/02/22New Mexico v Air Force69-65
06/02/22Air Force v New Mexico77-91
24/02/21Air Force v New Mexico62-55
23/02/21Air Force v New Mexico65-73
27/02/20Air Force v New Mexico60-58
11/01/20New Mexico v Air Force84-78
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HColorado State53-69
04/02/23ANevada52-72
01/02/23HBoise State52-59
28/01/23ANew Mexico73-81
25/01/23ASan Jose State52-82
22/01/23HSan Diego State60-70
18/01/23HWyoming82-74
15/01/23AFresno State51-48
11/01/23AColorado State85-74 OT
04/01/23HUtah State65-77
New Mexicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HNevada76-77
02/02/23AUtah State73-84
28/01/23HAir Force81-73
24/01/23ANevada94-97 OT
21/01/23HBoise State81-79 OT
18/01/23HSan Jose State77-57
15/01/23ASan Diego State76-67
10/01/23HOral Roberts82-75
08/01/23HUNLV77-84
04/01/23AFresno State67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %48%56%33%
Points / game66.468.961.9
Allowed / game66.064.269.2
Point differential+0.4+4.7-7.3
Avg total132.4133.2131.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %8%6%11%
New Mexico
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL79%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWLWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %79%88%62%
Points / game81.884.875.8
Allowed / game71.770.973.2
Point differential+10.0+13.8+2.5
Avg total153.5155.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %8%6%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2419579%81.871.7+10.0
2 San Diego State2419579%74.365.5+8.8
3 Utah State2519676%79.671.0+8.6
4 Nevada2519676%73.666.5+7.1
5 Boise State2418675%71.661.2+10.4
6 UNLV2416867%76.168.5+7.7
7 Grand Canyon2315865%71.866.2+5.6
8 San Jose State24141058%68.166.3+1.8
9 Air Force25121348%66.466.0+0.4
10 Colorado State25111444%73.871.8+2.0
11 Fresno State2391439%62.064.9-2.9
12 Wyoming2371630%70.071.9-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force395089
New Mexico324577
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