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Air Force vs Boise State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 57-80
21-38 36-42
Position#367
Record4-25
FormLLWLL
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#55
Record21-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game66.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Air Force v Boise State
04 Mar 2025
AIR 57
BOIS80
27 Feb 2024
AIR 48
BOIS79
31 Jan 2023
AIR 52
BOIS59
16 Feb 2022
AIR 59
BOIS85
15 Jan 2020
AIR 85
BOIS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
58-87
58
87
-29
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
60-74
60
74
-14
H05/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
53-88
53
88
-35
H08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
72-69 OT
72
69
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
55-77
55
77
-22
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
25-45
37-38
21-41
29-37
35-38
28-30
32-44
24-34
29-54
22-44
30-33
38-28
24-41
31-32
30-29
26-28
29-49
32-47
39-45
139.2Avg total
60.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)62.773.2135.9-10.414%
Season at home (16)64.171.4135.5-7.225%
Season away (13)61.075.4136.4-14.40%
Last 10 (10)60.578.7139.2-18.210%
Last 5 (5)62.476.8139.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)62.173.6135.7-11.511%
vs Similar (2)68.571.5140.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
71-62
71
62
+9
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
79-52
79
52
+27
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-38
43-37
28-24
38-32
44-26
38-34
33-29
38-33
37-25
42-27
18-28
29-36
42-39
44-39
34-32
36-37
37-31
45-34
27-26
39-35
136.3Avg total
72.1Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.066.1142.0+9.972%
Season at home (17)80.962.5143.4+18.588%
Season away (12)68.971.2140.1-2.250%
Last 10 (10)72.164.2136.3+7.980%
Last 5 (5)70.267.4137.6+2.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)71.673.8145.3-2.242%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)76.360.4136.6+15.988%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -12.5-12.52nd half: +4.8+4.8
-16-8+0+8+161st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: -12.5-12.52nd half: +4.8+4.8
Air ForceBoise State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#28
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H05/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
24-34
24
34
-10
H08/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A12/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A19/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H26/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A01/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
30.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.934.663.6-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.832.261.0-3.531%-
Last 30 away (14)29.137.466.5-8.221%-
Last 10 (10)30.036.066.0-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)29.835.865.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)29.034.563.5-5.529%-
vs Similar (2)27.536.564.0-9.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#49
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H30/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#165
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A05/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#251
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H08/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
18-28
18
28
-10
A16/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Nevada
#189
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A02/03
NCAA
62.7Avg total
32.9Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.630.164.7+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.028.466.4+9.683%-
Last 30 away (12)29.432.862.2-3.350%-
Last 10 (10)32.929.862.7+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.262.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)31.934.766.6-2.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.527.062.5+8.582%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
9
Boise State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ANew Mexico71-92
26/02/25HColorado State55-77
22/02/25HFresno State72-69 OT
19/02/25AWyoming62-69
12/02/25AUNLV52-77
08/02/25HNew Mexico53-88
05/02/25HNevada60-74
01/02/25ASan Jose State64-75
29/01/25AColorado State58-79
25/01/25HUtah State58-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/25AFresno State66-61
27/02/25HUtah State82-65
22/02/25ANevada70-69
20/02/25HNew Mexico86-78
16/02/25ASan Diego State47-64
08/02/25HSan Jose State79-52
05/02/25AUNLV71-62
01/02/25HFresno State82-60
30/01/25HNevada66-56
23/01/25AColorado State72-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL14%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game62.764.161.0
Allowed / game73.271.475.4
Point differential-10.4-7.2-14.4
Avg total135.9135.5136.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%6%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %72%88%50%
Points / game76.080.968.9
Allowed / game66.162.571.2
Point differential+9.9+18.5-2.2
Avg total142.0143.4140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%76%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (2)57% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State3024680%81.370.7+10.6
2 New Mexico2923679%82.771.6+11.0
3 Grand Canyon2822679%77.868.1+9.7
4 San Diego State2720774%71.463.4+8.0
5 Boise State2921872%76.066.1+9.9
6 Colorado State2920969%74.967.8+7.2
7 Nevada29161355%72.967.6+5.3
8 UNLV29161355%69.668.0+1.6
9 San Jose State30131743%73.074.0-1.0
10 Wyoming30121840%67.771.6-4.0
11 Fresno State2952417%71.180.9-9.8
12 Air Force2942514%62.773.2-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force213657
Boise State384280
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