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Air Force vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 61-63
33-22 28-41
Position#367
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#345
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A06/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
73-82
73
82
-9
H09/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
56-82
56
82
-26
A13/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H05/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H16/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-43
30-29
22-27
41-47
42-42
31-40
30-49
26-33
22-43
35-30
22-30
51-37
27-36
27-27
32-37
39-42
27-35
42-43
31-24
51-24
137.6Avg total
65.8Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)67.768.0135.7-0.333%
Season at home (5)67.466.0133.4+1.440%
Season away (1)69.078.0147.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)65.871.8137.6-6.020%
Last 5 (5)69.867.0136.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)65.875.3141.1-9.617%
vs Similar (6)67.868.3136.2-0.533%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
106-44
106
44
+62
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H17/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A24/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
39-41
48-48
40-43
32-29
40-35
35-32
39-37
38-42
33-32
53-13
53-31
37-30
20-34
24-35
30-29
43-32
26-47
33-40
44-43
143.4Avg total
74.1Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.666.8139.4+5.820%
Season at home (2)87.561.5149.0+26.050%
Season away (3)62.770.3133.0-7.70%
Last 10 (10)74.169.3143.4+4.840%
Last 5 (5)72.666.8139.4+5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)65.672.3137.9-6.624%
vs Similar (8)60.265.0125.2-4.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)76.459.2135.6+17.240%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.8-0.8
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.1-8.11st half: +5.6+5.62nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: -0.8-0.8
Air ForceSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#17
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H09/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A13/03
NCAA
North Alabama
#56
L
22-43
22
43
-21
H05/11
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H16/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H24/11
NCAA
65.1Avg total
28.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.436.166.5-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.137.566.6-8.412%-
Last 30 away (14)31.934.566.4-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)28.536.665.1-8.110%-
Last 5 (5)27.832.460.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)29.336.565.9-7.221%-
vs Similar (6)34.734.369.0+0.367%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#184
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
53-13
53
13
+40
H06/11
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A13/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A24/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
37.7Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.132.664.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.431.667.9+4.857%-
Last 30 away (16)28.433.561.9-5.131%-
Last 10 (10)37.732.169.8+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.030.068.0+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)31.935.867.6-3.941%-
vs Similar (8)27.531.458.9-3.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.423.864.2+16.660%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
0
Sacramento State wins
No previous meetings.
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers82-48
22/11/24ACalifornia69-78
16/11/24HBelmont71-79
11/11/24HLIU Sharks54-63
08/11/24HJacksonville State73-67
05/11/24HNorth Alabama57-73
13/03/24ANew Mexico56-82
09/03/24HColorado State73-82
06/03/24AWyoming63-74
02/03/24AUtah State60-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ACalifornia77-83
17/11/24HCS Northridge69-79
13/11/24AUC San Diego54-64
09/11/24AFresno State57-64
06/11/24HCalifornia Maritime106-44
13/03/24AMontana State71-74
10/03/24AEast. Washington74-69
10/03/24AIdaho72-64
05/03/24HEast. Washington88-91
02/03/24HPortland State73-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games651
Win %33%40%0%
Points / game67.767.469.0
Allowed / game68.066.078.0
Point differential-0.3+1.4-9.0
Avg total135.7133.4147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game72.687.562.7
Allowed / game66.861.570.3
Point differential+5.8+26.0-7.7
Avg total139.4149.0133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State550100%98.665.0+33.6
2 Nevada76186%78.965.3+13.6
3 New Mexico65183%85.573.3+12.2
4 Wyoming65183%75.373.3+2.0
5 UNLV54180%79.870.4+9.4
6 San Diego State43175%75.260.0+15.2
7 Boise State75271%81.668.1+13.4
8 Grand Canyon64267%79.376.2+3.2
9 Colorado State53260%77.472.2+5.2
10 Fresno State63350%74.576.3-1.8
11 San Jose State83538%68.968.8+0.1
12 Air Force62433%67.768.0-0.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado86275%88.571.1+17.4
2 Northern Arizona75271%80.665.1+15.4
3 Montana74357%75.172.9+2.3
4 Portland State63350%87.786.0+1.7
5 Montana State73443%77.167.4+9.7
6 Idaho State73443%72.964.4+8.4
7 Weber State62433%78.768.3+10.3
8 Idaho72529%76.676.0+0.6
9 Sacramento State51420%72.666.8+5.8
10 East. Washington71614%72.081.4-9.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force332861
Sacramento State224163
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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