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Fresno State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 64-57
30-37 34-20
Position#358
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Fresno State 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#345
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game106.0
Allowed / game44.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fresno State v Sacramento State
19 Dec 2026
FRES v SACR
upcoming
08 Nov 2024
FRES64
SACR57
17 Dec 2022
FRES53
SACR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#331
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
65-67
65
67
-2
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
41-73
41
73
-32
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
73-77 OT
73
77
-4
H28/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
58-79
58
79
-21
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
47-86
47
86
-39
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
75-87 OT
75
87
-12
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-28
40-38
32-29
33-38
33-48
33-42
16-42
25-31
25-30
40-35
24-37
42-37
24-37
34-42
30-46
17-40
33-40
44-33
36-35
34-35
140.8Avg total
63.6Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)63.677.2140.8-13.620%
Last 5 (5)64.679.8144.4-15.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.276.2139.3-13.013%
vs Similar (6)76.369.7146.0+6.7100%
vs Weaker (1)89.056.0145.0+33.0100%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
106-44
106
44
+62
H06/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
27-41
32-27
43-53
29-32
32-36
29-25
37-38
34-20
39-41
48-48
40-43
32-29
40-35
35-32
39-37
38-42
33-32
53-13
53-31
143.1Avg total
74.4Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)106.044.0150.0+62.0100%
Season at home (1)106.044.0150.0+62.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.468.7143.1+5.750%
Last 5 (5)82.268.4150.6+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.072.6139.6-5.628%
vs Similar (8)58.162.4120.5-4.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.258.0139.2+23.250%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.1-9.11st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -0.4-0.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -9.1-9.11st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -0.4-0.4
Fresno StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Air Force
#331
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
16-42
16
42
-26
H25/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A02/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H10/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/03
NCAA
65.3Avg total
28.1Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.035.565.5-5.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.735.766.4-4.933%-
Last 30 away (15)29.335.464.7-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)28.137.265.3-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)29.439.068.4-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)28.836.765.6-7.926%-
vs Similar (6)32.533.065.5-0.533%-
vs Weaker (1)42.023.065.0+19.0100%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/03
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/03
NCAA
California Maritime
#672
W
53-13
53
13
+40
H06/11
NCAA
66.1Avg total
36.1Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.133.065.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.832.468.2+3.453%-
Last 30 away (15)28.433.561.9-5.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.130.066.1+6.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.232.874.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.436.068.4-3.639%-
vs Similar (8)26.831.558.2-4.838%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.222.263.5+19.050%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
1
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
18/12/22Fresno State v Sacramento State53-59
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/24AUtah State75-87 OT
13/03/24AWyoming77-73
10/03/24HWyoming47-86
07/03/24ANew Mexico58-79
02/03/24ANevada66-74
28/02/24HUtah State73-77 OT
25/02/24HSan Diego State41-73
18/02/24ABoise State66-90
15/02/24HUNLV65-67
10/02/24AAir Force68-66
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24HCalifornia Maritime106-44
13/03/24AMontana State71-74
10/03/24AEast. Washington74-69
10/03/24AIdaho72-64
05/03/24HEast. Washington88-91
02/03/24HPortland State73-61
25/02/24AMontana State66-63
23/02/24AMontana61-68
17/02/24HNorthern Colorado75-80
16/02/24HNorthern Arizona58-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sacramento State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game106.0106.0-
Allowed / game44.044.0-
Point differential+62.0+62.0-
Avg total150.0150.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State110100%101.046.0+55.0
2 Boise State110100%87.043.0+44.0
3 Wyoming110100%108.085.0+23.0
4 Colorado State220100%84.567.5+17.0
5 Nevada110100%91.075.0+16.0
6 UNLV110100%93.079.0+14.0
7 Grand Canyon110100%89.079.0+10.0
8 New Mexico110100%91.084.0+7.0
9 San Diego State110100%63.058.0+5.0
10 Air Force21150%65.070.0-5.0
11 San Jose State2020%61.069.5-8.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State110100%118.035.0+83.0
2 Sacramento State110100%106.044.0+62.0
3 Northern Arizona220100%107.558.0+49.5
4 Montana110100%92.061.0+31.0
5 Portland State21150%111.592.0+19.5
6 Idaho21150%84.569.5+15.0
7 Northern Colorado21150%81.572.5+9.0
8 East. Washington21150%74.581.0-6.5
9 Idaho State2020%58.565.0-6.5
10 Montana State1010%67.079.0-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State303464
Sacramento State372057
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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