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Air Force vs Colorado State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 73-82
42-42 31-40
Position#331
Record9-20
FormLWLLL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#52
Record21-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Air Force v Colorado State
10 Feb 2026
AIR 74
COLO91
25 Feb 2025
AIR 55
COLO77
09 Mar 2024
AIR 73
COLO82
07 Feb 2023
AIR 53
COLO69
22 Jan 2022
AIR 53
COLO73
18 Jan 2020
AIR 65
COLO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A03/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H07/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H10/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
43-72
43
72
-29
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
48-79
48
79
-31
H28/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
60-72
60
72
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-34
36-49
27-41
29-53
20-45
44-32
28-28
38-40
34-31
32-42
24-37
19-35
37-36
41-41
26-28
22-51
30-43
30-29
22-27
41-47
138.5Avg total
61.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)66.371.7138.0-5.431%
Season at home (15)64.471.9136.3-7.527%
Season away (14)68.371.4139.7-3.136%
Last 10 (10)61.676.9138.5-15.310%
Last 5 (5)58.474.8133.2-16.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.274.8139.0-10.715%
vs Similar (8)70.467.4137.8+3.050%
vs Weaker (2)73.060.5133.5+12.5100%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A04/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
75-62
75
62
+13
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H10/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
75-55
75
55
+20
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A25/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
74-77
74
77
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
42-42
31-25
42-36
37-30
38-32
38-19
28-28
44-30
11-41
43-26
32-29
30-30
36-38
26-24
34-42
28-39
46-38
33-27
37-35
133.3Avg total
69.3Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.567.9144.4+8.670%
Season at home (18)81.067.4148.4+13.689%
Season away (12)69.868.7138.5+1.242%
Last 10 (10)69.364.0133.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)69.065.6134.6+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (16)73.469.6143.0+3.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.267.2148.3+14.092%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.6-6.61st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -8.7-8.72nd half: -1.5-1.5
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: -6.6-6.61st half: +6.8+6.82nd half2nd half: -8.7-8.72nd half: -1.5-1.5
Air ForceColorado State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#243
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A03/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
20-45
20
45
-25
H07/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H10/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H22/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/03
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A06/03
NCAA
63.4Avg total
28.4Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.364.3-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)30.434.665.0-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)31.631.963.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)28.435.063.4-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)27.834.262.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.434.562.9-6.025%-
vs Similar (8)35.232.868.0+2.575%-
vs Weaker (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego State
#48
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A04/02
NCAA
Boise State
#70
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H07/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#335
W
38-19
38
19
+19
H10/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A14/02
NCAA
Utah State
#17
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H17/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#39
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
UNLV
#115
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A25/02
NCAA
Nevada
#25
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H28/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#243
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/03
NCAA
62.6Avg total
34.7Scored
27.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.430.565.9+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.731.469.1+6.267%-
Last 30 away (12)31.929.161.0+2.858%-
Last 10 (10)34.727.962.6+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)32.029.261.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)32.033.065.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.530.664.1+2.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)37.230.667.8+6.767%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Air Force wins
8
Colorado State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24AWyoming63-74
02/03/24AUtah State60-72
28/02/24HBoise State48-79
24/02/24ANew Mexico78-77
22/02/24HUNLV43-72
14/02/24ASan Jose State66-73
10/02/24HFresno State66-68
07/02/24HSan Diego State64-77
03/02/24ABoise State56-94
31/01/24HWyoming72-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HWyoming70-62
28/02/24HNevada74-77
25/02/24AUNLV60-66
22/02/24ANew Mexico66-68
17/02/24HUtah State75-55
14/02/24ASan Diego State55-71
10/02/24HSan Jose State66-47
07/02/24HBoise State75-62
04/02/24AFresno State73-61
31/01/24HSan Diego State79-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %31%27%36%
Points / game66.364.468.3
Allowed / game71.771.971.4
Point differential-5.4-7.5-3.1
Avg total138.0136.3139.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%13%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)20% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW70%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301812
Win %70%89%42%
Points / game76.581.069.8
Allowed / game67.967.468.7
Point differential+8.6+13.6+1.2
Avg total144.4148.4138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon3026487%79.967.2+12.7
2 Utah State3025583%79.669.1+10.5
3 Nevada3125681%76.466.5+9.9
4 New Mexico3022873%82.571.2+11.3
5 Boise State3122971%76.167.3+8.9
6 San Diego State3122971%74.766.3+8.4
7 Colorado State3021970%76.567.9+8.6
8 UNLV29191066%73.667.4+6.2
9 Wyoming30141647%72.475.3-2.9
10 Fresno State30111937%67.873.1-5.3
11 Air Force2992031%66.371.7-5.4
12 San Jose State3192229%69.975.2-5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force423173
Colorado State424082
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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