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Montana State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 74-71
42-38 32-33
Position#213
Record15-17
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#329
Record10-23
FormWWLWW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game70.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Montana State v Sacramento State
28 Feb 2026
MONT82
SACR61
30 Jan 2025
MONT70
SACR58
12 Mar 2024
MONT74
SACR71
24 Feb 2024
MONT63
SACR66
23 Feb 2023
MONT60
SACR56
10 Mar 2022
MONT83
SACR61
03 Mar 2022
MONT75
SACR69
06 Mar 2021
MONT73
SACR74
05 Mar 2021
MONT77
SACR75
28 Dec 2019
MONT66
SACR51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
63-66
63
66
-3
H25/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
62-48
62
48
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A11/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
45-50
36-35
34-38
41-36
30-40
30-40
39-48
36-37
36-30
25-29
38-37
41-27
21-21
36-31
53-58
32-32
44-32
25-34
66-48
150.6Avg total
75.3Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)74.874.3149.1+0.647%
Season at home (17)76.871.0147.8+5.859%
Season away (15)72.678.0150.6-5.433%
Last 10 (10)75.375.3150.6+0.040%
Last 5 (5)79.273.6152.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.583.0159.5-6.538%
vs Similar (14)73.174.6147.8-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)75.166.3141.4+8.957%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
L
40-68
40
68
-28
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A23/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
16-33
24-35
22-30
31-28
31-32
27-41
32-27
43-53
29-32
32-36
29-25
37-38
34-20
39-41
48-48
40-43
32-29
40-35
35-32
39-37
135.5Avg total
66.0Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)67.070.3137.3-3.330%
Season at home (16)72.169.2141.4+2.938%
Season away (17)62.271.3133.5-9.124%
Last 10 (10)66.069.5135.5-3.540%
Last 5 (5)74.669.6144.2+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.273.6139.8-7.328%
vs Similar (9)59.663.8123.3-4.233%
vs Weaker (3)73.062.7135.7+10.333%
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -3.5-3.5
Montana StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A09/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A10/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A18/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/02
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H25/02
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A01/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A02/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A11/03
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.068.5+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.332.466.8+1.950%-
Last 30 away (14)34.635.870.4-1.157%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.266.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)31.830.662.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.436.567.9-5.125%-
vs Similar (14)34.533.467.9+1.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.631.970.4+6.771%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho State
#279
L
16-33
16
33
-17
A09/02
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A11/02
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#272
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H16/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H17/02
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A23/02
NCAA
Montana State
#213
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A25/02
NCAA
Portland State
#184
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H02/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A10/03
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/03
NCAA
61.6Avg total
30.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.333.564.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.833.568.3+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)27.933.561.3-5.627%-
Last 10 (10)30.830.861.6+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.866.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.035.967.9-3.939%-
vs Similar (9)28.031.359.3-3.344%-
vs Weaker (3)37.325.362.7+12.033%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/24AWeber State91-82
05/03/24HWeber State76-64
02/03/24AEast. Washington104-108 OT
01/03/24AIdaho62-48
25/02/24HSacramento State63-66
23/02/24HPortland State72-67
18/02/24AMontana69-88
10/02/24ANorthern Arizona71-76
09/02/24ANorthern Colorado70-73
04/02/24HIdaho75-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AEast. Washington74-69
10/03/24AIdaho72-64
05/03/24HEast. Washington88-91
02/03/24HPortland State73-61
25/02/24AMontana State66-63
23/02/24AMontana61-68
17/02/24HNorthern Colorado75-80
16/02/24HNorthern Arizona58-73
11/02/24AWeber State53-58
09/02/24AIdaho State40-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW47%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %47%59%33%
Points / game74.876.872.6
Allowed / game74.371.078.0
Point differential+0.6+5.8-5.4
Avg total149.1147.8150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)60% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %9%12%7%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW30%
HomeLLLWL38%
AwayLLWWW24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %30%38%24%
Points / game67.072.162.2
Allowed / game70.369.271.3
Point differential-3.3+2.9-9.1
Avg total137.3141.4133.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (14)33% (9)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Montana32221069%77.671.6+6.0
2 East. Washington32211166%80.875.2+5.6
3 Weber State32201262%75.467.5+7.9
4 Northern Colorado32191359%80.277.8+2.4
5 Portland State32171553%71.971.8+0.1
6 Montana State32151747%74.874.3+0.6
7 Idaho State33141942%70.970.0+0.8
8 Northern Arizona33141942%68.676.6-8.0
9 Idaho32112134%67.871.2-3.4
10 Sacramento State33102330%67.070.3-3.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State423274
Sacramento State383371
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