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Air Force vs San Jose State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 62-69
31-29 31-40
Position#367
Record3-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Position#251
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Air Force v San Jose State
05 Jan 2027
AIR v SAN
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
AIR 80
SAN 86
11 Jan 2025
AIR 62
SAN 69
13 Jan 2024
AIR 67
SAN 70
04 Mar 2023
AIR 61
SAN 63
01 Mar 2022
AIR 58
SAN 54
16 Jan 2021
AIR v SAN
upcoming
15 Feb 2020
AIR 95
SAN 86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Jose State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H24/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
38-67
38
67
-29
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
51-24
33-22
28-41
23-36
34-34
30-29
30-44
27-23
42-38
26-41
50-40
31-32
28-45
26-38
32-39
36-33
29-37
24-33
14-34
131.2Avg total
62.5Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)63.369.8133.1-6.520%
Season at home (9)65.666.8132.3-1.233%
Season away (6)59.874.3134.2-14.50%
Last 10 (10)62.568.7131.2-6.220%
Last 5 (5)59.274.4133.6-15.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)63.673.4137.0-9.819%
vs Similar (3)67.375.0142.3-7.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A28/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A05/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#618
W
117-80
117
80
+37
H10/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
89-65
89
65
+24
H22/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H28/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H31/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A04/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-20
38-44
38-36
44-30
38-39
39-44
57-47
60-33
45-40
46-51
45-33
44-32
35-28
36-45
15-33
35-39
26-44
47-35
36-45
42-40
158.0Avg total
81.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.273.7149.9+2.541%
Season at home (11)75.773.4149.1+2.445%
Season away (6)77.074.3151.3+2.733%
Last 10 (10)81.376.7158.0+4.650%
Last 5 (5)72.274.8147.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.875.8139.6-12.012%
vs Similar (9)72.075.6147.6-3.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)89.870.5160.2+19.275%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: +0.1+0.12nd half2nd half: -3.8-3.82nd half: +3.8+3.8
Air ForceSan Jose State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#65
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A09/01
NCAA
59.8Avg total
28.7Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.334.764.0-5.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.534.062.5-5.531%-
Last 30 away (14)30.235.565.7-5.336%-
Last 10 (10)28.731.159.8-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.635.464.0-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.734.963.6-6.230%-
vs Similar (3)35.033.068.0+2.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Jose State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Jose StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#105
W
31-20
31
20
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#25
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/12
NCAA
Lincoln University (CA)
#618
W
57-47
57
47
+10
H10/12
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H15/12
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H28/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#49
L
15-33
15
33
-18
H31/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A04/01
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H08/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
36.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.667.5-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.335.169.4-0.847%-
Last 30 away (13)28.836.465.2-7.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.573.1+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)31.436.668.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)28.835.664.4-6.824%-
vs Similar (9)33.635.969.4-2.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)41.235.276.5+6.075%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Air Force wins
7
San Jose State wins
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/25ASan Diego State38-67
04/01/25HWyoming65-70
31/12/24HUNLV58-77
21/12/24ABoise State59-77
17/12/24ANorthern Colorado76-81
07/12/24HStony Brook69-61
03/12/24AMiami (Ohio)60-73
01/12/24AWright State57-70
27/11/24HSacramento State61-63
24/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers82-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/25HUtah State78-85
04/01/25AUNLV73-79
31/12/24HColorado State50-72
28/12/24HBoise State71-73
22/12/24HKennesaw State89-65
15/12/24HCal Poly107-100 OT
10/12/24HLincoln University (CA)117-80
05/12/24ANew Mexico77-83
28/11/24ALong Beach State82-66
27/11/24HNC Greensboro69-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game63.365.659.8
Allowed / game69.866.874.3
Point differential-6.5-1.2-14.5
Avg total133.1132.3134.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Jose State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWWLLL45%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %41%45%33%
Points / game76.275.777.0
Allowed / game73.773.474.3
Point differential+2.5+2.4+2.7
Avg total149.9149.1151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%18%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%83.467.4+15.9
2 New Mexico1714382%84.073.2+10.8
3 Boise State1612475%77.665.9+11.8
4 San Diego State1410471%72.161.9+10.1
5 Grand Canyon1611569%78.869.7+9.1
6 Colorado State159660%74.168.7+5.4
7 UNLV159660%72.570.3+2.3
8 Wyoming169756%70.769.6+1.1
9 Nevada158753%75.167.5+7.7
10 San Jose State1771041%76.273.7+2.5
11 Fresno State1641225%73.682.8-9.2
12 Air Force1531220%63.369.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force313162
San Jose State294069
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