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San Diego State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 67-38
33-24 34-14
Position#65
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game63.9
San Diego State 🏆
USA
vs
Air Force
USA
Position#367
Record3-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · San Diego State v Air Force
17 Dec 2025
SAN 81
AIR 58
08 Jan 2025
SAN 67
AIR 38
28 Dec 2022
SAN 71
AIR 55
12 Feb 2022
SAN 76
AIR 64
05 Mar 2020
SAN 73
AIR 60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Diego State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#37
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H19/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
71-53
71
53
+18
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
84-62
84
62
+22
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
71-50
71
50
+21
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
L
66-67
66
67
-1
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-40
36-40
32-28
39-25
31-41
37-37
25-30
40-35
29-24
55-38
33-31
41-26
40-33
41-42
25-16
46-34
43-32
23-35
33-32
43-36
139.1Avg total
73.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.563.9138.4+10.675%
Season at home (8)73.864.2138.0+9.562%
Season away (4)76.063.2139.2+12.8100%
Last 10 (10)73.166.0139.1+7.170%
Last 5 (5)73.663.4137.0+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)63.872.5136.2-8.850%
vs Similar (16)72.267.6139.8+4.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)78.259.2137.4+19.0100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H24/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-35
42-43
31-24
51-24
33-22
28-41
23-36
34-34
30-29
30-44
27-23
42-38
26-41
50-40
31-32
28-45
26-38
32-39
36-33
29-37
135.4Avg total
65.6Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)65.170.0135.1-4.921%
Season at home (9)65.666.8132.3-1.233%
Season away (5)64.275.8140.0-11.60%
Last 10 (10)65.669.8135.4-4.220%
Last 5 (5)65.473.2138.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)64.873.8138.6-9.019%
vs Similar (3)67.375.0142.3-7.70%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -2.3-2.32nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -1.9-1.9
San Diego StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gonzaga
#37
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H19/11
NCAA
Creighton
#59
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A26/11
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H27/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A01/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#358
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A05/12
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#360
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H08/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#179
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/12
NCAA
California
#268
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H22/12
NCAA
Utah State
#28
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H28/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A04/01
NCAA
62.9Avg total
32.2Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.430.063.4+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.130.265.2+4.971%-
Last 30 away (13)31.229.860.9+1.438%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.762.9+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.828.863.6+6.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.833.060.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (16)32.833.065.8-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)36.624.060.6+12.6100%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
California
#268
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Boise State
#55
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A21/12
NCAA
UNLV
#165
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#306
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H04/01
NCAA
60.3Avg total
29.0Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.434.463.8-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.534.062.5-5.531%-
Last 30 away (14)30.434.965.3-4.443%-
Last 10 (10)29.031.360.3-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)29.233.462.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.834.663.3-5.833%-
vs Similar (3)35.033.068.0+2.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (San Diego State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
San Diego State wins
0
Air Force wins
DateGameScore
07/02/24Air Force v San Diego State64-77
22/01/23Air Force v San Diego State60-70
29/12/22San Diego State v Air Force71-55
13/02/22San Diego State v Air Force76-64
25/01/21Air Force v San Diego State59-91
23/01/21Air Force v San Diego State61-98
05/03/20San Diego State v Air Force73-60
09/02/20Air Force v San Diego State74-89
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ABoise State76-68
28/12/24HUtah State66-67
22/12/24HCalifornia71-50
12/12/24HCalifornia Baptist81-75
08/12/24HSan Diego Toreros74-57
05/12/24AFresno State84-62
01/12/24AHouston73-70 OT
27/11/24HOregon68-78
26/11/24ACreighton71-53
19/11/24HGonzaga67-80
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HWyoming65-70
31/12/24HUNLV58-77
21/12/24ABoise State59-77
17/12/24ANorthern Colorado76-81
07/12/24HStony Brook69-61
03/12/24AMiami (Ohio)60-73
01/12/24AWright State57-70
27/11/24HSacramento State61-63
24/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers82-48
22/11/24ACalifornia69-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Diego State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %75%62%100%
Points / game74.573.876.0
Allowed / game63.964.263.2
Point differential+10.6+9.5+12.8
Avg total138.4138.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%25%
Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %21%33%0%
Points / game65.165.664.2
Allowed / game70.066.875.8
Point differential-4.9-1.2-11.6
Avg total135.1132.3140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1615194%83.467.4+15.9
2 New Mexico1613381%85.474.8+10.6
3 Boise State1612475%77.665.9+11.8
4 San Diego State129375%74.563.9+10.6
5 Grand Canyon1511473%79.869.5+10.3
6 Colorado State159660%74.168.7+5.4
7 UNLV159660%72.570.3+2.3
8 Wyoming169756%70.769.6+1.1
9 Nevada158753%75.167.5+7.7
10 San Jose State1771041%76.273.7+2.5
11 Fresno State1641225%73.682.8-9.2
12 Air Force1431121%65.170.0-4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
San Diego State333467
Air Force241438
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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