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Boise State vs Air Force Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 77-59
32-31 45-28
Position#55
Record8-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game66.5
vs
Position#367
Record3-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Boise State v Air Force
24 Jan 2026
BOIS96
AIR 54
21 Dec 2024
BOIS77
AIR 59
03 Feb 2024
BOIS94
AIR 56
18 Jan 2022
BOIS62
AIR 56
08 Jan 2021
BOIS80
AIR 69
06 Jan 2021
BOIS78
AIR 59
02 Jan 2021
BOIS v AIR
upcoming
11 Feb 2020
BOIS74
AIR 57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Air Force winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#45
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A10/11
NCAA
Corban
#507
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H13/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H17/11
NCAA
Hampton
#193
W
83-69
83
69
+14
H24/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H04/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
69-74
69
74
-5
H07/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
67-65 OT
67
65
+2
H15/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
82-51
82
51
+31
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
43-48
50-29
50-36
36-35
48-36
41-21
42-48
44-42
39-40
26-26
35-37
48-31
39-33
24-44
45-30
32-26
27-33
36-27
46-24
147.7Avg total
78.9Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.666.5146.1+13.273%
Season at home (8)82.462.8145.1+19.688%
Season away (3)72.376.3148.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)78.968.8147.7+10.170%
Last 5 (5)73.263.4136.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)71.473.0144.4-1.653%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.560.3141.8+21.283%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H16/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H24/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
76-81
76
81
-5
A17/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-30
51-37
27-36
27-27
32-37
39-42
27-35
42-43
31-24
51-24
33-22
28-41
23-36
34-34
30-29
30-44
27-23
42-38
26-41
50-40
135.5Avg total
67.2Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)66.368.7135.0-2.527%
Season at home (7)66.764.9131.6+1.943%
Season away (4)65.575.5141.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)67.268.3135.5-1.130%
Last 5 (5)64.669.6134.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)64.774.0138.7-9.319%
vs Similar (4)67.273.8141.0-6.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -3.5-3.52nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +2.4+2.4
Boise StateAir Force
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Francisco
#45
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A10/11
NCAA
Corban
#507
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H13/11
NCAA
Clemson
#22
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/11
NCAA
Hampton
#193
W
41-21
41
21
+20
H24/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A27/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#350
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H04/12
NCAA
Washington State
#148
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H07/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#14
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H15/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H18/12
NCAA
68.4Avg total
36.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.931.167.0+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.429.565.9+6.874%-
Last 30 away (11)35.033.868.8+1.264%-
Last 10 (10)36.731.768.4+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.864.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)32.633.466.0-0.759%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.228.167.3+11.283%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H08/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H16/11
NCAA
California
#268
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H24/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#345
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H27/11
NCAA
Wright State
#239
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A01/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#339
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H07/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#39
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A17/12
NCAA
59.1Avg total
27.8Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.234.964.1-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.535.163.6-6.625%-
Last 30 away (14)29.934.764.6-4.843%-
Last 10 (10)27.831.359.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)27.830.258.0-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)28.334.763.0-6.331%-
vs Similar (4)34.536.270.8-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boise State wins
1
Air Force wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/24HTexas Southern82-51
15/12/24HSt. Marys (CA)67-65 OT
07/12/24HWashington State69-74
04/12/24HUtah Tech87-64
27/11/24ABoston College61-63
25/11/24ASouth Dakota St.83-82
24/11/24HHampton83-69
17/11/24HClemson84-71
13/11/24HCorban100-65
10/11/24ASan Francisco73-84
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24ANorthern Colorado76-81
07/12/24HStony Brook69-61
03/12/24AMiami (Ohio)60-73
01/12/24AWright State57-70
27/11/24HSacramento State61-63
24/11/24HMercyhurst Lakers82-48
22/11/24ACalifornia69-78
16/11/24HBelmont71-79
11/11/24HLIU Sharks54-63
08/11/24HJacksonville State73-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %73%88%33%
Points / game79.682.472.3
Allowed / game66.562.876.3
Point differential+13.2+19.6-4.0
Avg total146.1145.1148.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%12%0%
Air Force
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL27%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %27%43%0%
Points / game66.366.765.5
Allowed / game68.764.975.5
Point differential-2.5+1.9-10.0
Avg total135.0131.6141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1110191%86.365.5+20.8
2 San Diego State97278%75.764.7+11.0
3 New Mexico129375%87.075.4+11.6
4 Boise State118373%79.666.5+13.2
5 Nevada118373%77.766.3+11.5
6 Grand Canyon117464%78.470.8+7.5
7 Colorado State116555%74.070.5+3.5
8 Wyoming116555%73.771.6+2.1
9 UNLV116555%71.569.5+1.9
10 San Jose State126650%77.873.2+4.6
11 Fresno State114736%72.479.0-6.6
12 Air Force113827%66.368.7-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Boise State324577
Air Force312859
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