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Air Force vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 81-67
37-38 44-29
Position#251
Record7-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game60.6
vs
Position#183
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Air Force winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Air ForceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H11/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
69-73 OT
69
73
-4
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
51-64
51
64
-13
H18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
81-53
81
53
+28
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
79-58
79
58
+21
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-27
38-44
28-31
33-30
29-32
22-32
45-26
38-30
30-19
34-32
24-23
35-33
41-23
40-30
29-30
35-38
39-21
40-37
44-27
36-28
131.0Avg total
70.5Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.460.6130.0+8.764%
Season at home (9)71.259.7130.9+11.678%
Season away (2)61.065.0126.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)70.560.5131.0+10.070%
Last 5 (5)72.658.0130.6+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)57.571.2128.8-13.712%
vs Similar (11)67.460.5127.8+6.964%
vs Weaker (2)71.554.5126.0+17.0100%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
49-75
49
75
-26
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-32
30-30
39-30
56-19
44-31
45-50
35-19
35-35
25-35
39-36
32-44
39-39
35-28
40-37
49-23
49-32
30-39
27-41
27-30
22-45
140.2Avg total
72.7Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.767.5140.2+5.250%
Season at home (4)83.060.0143.0+23.075%
Season away (6)65.872.5138.3-6.733%
Last 10 (10)72.767.5140.2+5.250%
Last 5 (5)70.071.6141.6-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.871.4135.2-7.623%
vs Similar (6)68.075.0143.0-7.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)71.655.9127.5+15.7100%
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.8+1.8
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +8.7+8.71st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +1.8+1.8
Air ForceTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Air ForceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware
#201
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#277
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H18/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-19
30
19
+11
H23/11
NCAA
Montana
#159
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H27/11
NCAA
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#321
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Portland State
#283
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A03/12
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H06/12
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H10/12
NCAA
60.5Avg total
34.6Scored
25.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.029.758.7-0.733%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.428.458.8+2.144%-
Last 30 away (12)26.831.758.4-4.917%-
Last 10 (10)34.625.960.5+8.770%-
Last 5 (5)35.424.860.2+10.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)25.731.957.6-6.212%-
vs Similar (11)33.028.061.0+5.055%-
vs Weaker (2)34.520.054.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arizona State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A11/12
NCAA
65.6Avg total
34.5Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.530.262.7+2.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.228.962.1+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)31.931.463.3+0.540%-
Last 10 (10)34.531.165.6+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.867.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)28.833.762.5-4.815%-
vs Similar (6)34.034.568.5-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)34.823.758.5+11.190%-
This opponent (Air Force) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Air Force wins
1
Tarleton wins
DateGameScore
22/12/21Tarleton v Air Force67-45
Air Forcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HArkansas State80-55
06/12/22HSouth Dakota Coyotes79-58
03/12/22APortland State64-68
01/12/22HArkansas-Pine Bluff81-53
27/11/22HMontana59-56
23/11/22HMiss. Valley St.64-51
22/11/22HUSC Upstate83-56
18/11/22HPortland51-64
15/11/22HTX A&M Commerce69-73 OT
11/11/22HDelaware75-71
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22AUCF Knights49-75
07/12/22ABaylor57-80
03/12/22HWiley98-55
30/11/22HWeber State75-65
26/11/22AWichita State71-83
22/11/22HDrake64-71
21/11/22ABoston College70-54
18/11/22ABelmont89-81
11/11/22HKansas Christian95-49
08/11/22AArizona State59-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Air Force
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %64%78%0%
Points / game69.471.261.0
Allowed / game60.659.765.0
Point differential+8.7+11.6-4.0
Avg total130.0130.9126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%56%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%11%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%75%33%
Points / game72.783.065.8
Allowed / game67.560.072.5
Point differential+5.2+23.0-6.7
Avg total140.2143.0138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%75%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State990100%88.272.0+16.2
2 New Mexico10100100%83.867.6+16.2
3 UNLV1110191%78.562.6+15.9
4 Boise State119282%71.257.1+14.1
5 Nevada129375%72.664.1+8.5
6 San Diego State118373%76.767.2+9.5
7 San Jose State128467%69.166.5+2.6
8 Colorado State117464%78.668.0+10.6
9 Air Force117464%69.460.6+8.7
10 Grand Canyon117464%68.460.5+7.9
11 Wyoming115645%73.669.6+4.0
12 Fresno State103730%62.163.1-1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Valley State128467%77.567.8+9.8
2 Southern Utah117464%88.473.8+14.5
3 California Baptist117464%65.061.5+3.5
4 Abilene Christian127558%75.465.2+10.2
5 Utah Tech116555%76.472.2+4.2
6 Tarleton105550%72.767.5+5.2
7 UT Arlington114736%68.662.5+6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Air Force374481
Tarleton382967
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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