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Baylor vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 80-57
39-30 41-27
Position#67
Record6-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game70.6
Baylor 🏆
USA
vs
Position#183
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Baylor v Tarleton
14 Nov 2025
BAYL94
TARL81
17 Nov 2024
BAYL104
TARL41
06 Dec 2022
BAYL80
TARL57
15 Dec 2020
BAYL v TARL
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baylor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BaylorUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#26
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H17/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
H19/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
117-53
117
53
+64
H07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H19/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H20/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
89-60
89
60
+29
H23/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
70-96
70
96
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
64-63
64
63
+1
A03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-27
42-22
29-42
51-38
61-21
56-32
42-34
45-36
44-26
51-36
33-30
46-56
37-35
43-40
39-30
50-30
25-51
45-45
38-33
26-30
155.9Avg total
85.2Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.170.6155.8+14.575%
Season at home (6)91.267.7158.8+23.583%
Season away (2)67.079.5146.5-12.550%
Last 10 (10)85.270.7155.9+14.570%
Last 5 (5)76.476.0152.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.069.0141.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.475.2149.6-0.938%
vs Weaker (20)77.866.0143.8+11.880%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
50-69
50
69
-19
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
24-29
26-40
23-26
33-35
29-32
30-30
39-30
56-19
44-31
45-50
35-19
35-35
25-35
39-36
32-44
39-39
35-28
40-37
49-23
49-32
137.7Avg total
72.7Scored
65.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.665.0142.6+12.662%
Season at home (4)83.060.0143.0+23.075%
Season away (4)72.270.0142.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)72.765.0137.7+7.750%
Last 5 (5)75.665.6141.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.671.2134.9-7.621%
vs Similar ◀ (4)75.573.8149.2+1.850%
vs Weaker (11)72.557.6130.1+14.8100%
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +3.9+3.9
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +6.2+6.21st half: +3.8+3.82nd half2nd half: +9.0+9.02nd half: +3.9+3.9
BaylorTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BaylorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#26
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H17/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H19/03
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
61-21
61
21
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Norfolk State
#71
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H15/11
NCAA
Virginia
#36
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H19/11
NCAA
UCLA
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H23/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
25-51
25
51
-26
A30/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A03/12
NCAA
72.0Avg total
39.1Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.232.067.2+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.630.267.7+7.478%-
Last 30 away (12)31.834.866.5-3.042%-
Last 10 (10)39.132.972.0+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.870.2-1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.534.071.5+3.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.133.967.0-0.862%-
vs Weaker (20)35.931.166.9+4.860%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sam Houston St.
#146
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A04/03
NCAA
Abilene Christian
#60
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/12
NCAA
63.2Avg total
33.5Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.229.763.0+3.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.028.962.9+5.156%-
Last 30 away (14)32.430.763.1+1.650%-
Last 10 (10)33.529.763.2+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)35.229.865.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.133.362.4-4.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)36.834.571.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (11)35.824.159.9+11.791%-
This opponent (Baylor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Baylor wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
Baylorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22AGonzaga64-63
30/11/22AMarquette70-96
23/11/22HMcNeese State89-60
20/11/22HUCLA80-75
19/11/22HVirginia79-86
15/11/22HNorthern Colorado95-62
12/11/22HNorfolk State87-70
07/11/22HMiss. Valley St.117-53
19/03/22HNorth Carolina86-93 OT
17/03/22HNorfolk State85-49
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HWiley98-55
30/11/22HWeber State75-65
26/11/22AWichita State71-83
22/11/22HDrake64-71
21/11/22ABoston College70-54
18/11/22ABelmont89-81
11/11/22HKansas Christian95-49
08/11/22AArizona State59-62
06/03/22AAbilene Christian56-61
04/03/22ASam Houston St.50-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Baylor
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game85.191.267.0
Allowed / game70.667.779.5
Point differential+14.5+23.5-12.5
Avg total155.8158.8146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game77.683.072.2
Allowed / game65.060.070.0
Point differential+12.6+23.0+2.2
Avg total142.6143.0142.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston880100%74.848.0+26.8
2 Kansas98189%77.765.4+12.2
3 Arizona State98189%71.860.1+11.7
4 Iowa State87188%71.856.8+15.0
5 Arizona87188%91.577.6+13.9
6 Kansas State87188%72.261.9+10.4
7 TCU76186%74.462.6+11.9
8 Utah Utes97278%71.858.7+13.1
9 West Virginia86275%79.965.0+14.9
10 Baylor86275%85.170.6+14.5
11 UCF Knights86275%71.261.8+9.5
12 Texas Tech75271%71.759.6+12.1
13 Cincinnati96367%79.469.0+10.4
14 Oklahoma State85362%73.863.8+10.0
15 Brigham Young95456%75.771.8+3.9
16 Colorado94544%71.368.8+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tarleton85362%77.665.0+12.6
2 Southern Utah95456%88.872.3+16.4
3 Abilene Christian95456%77.064.3+12.7
4 California Baptist95456%63.961.3+2.6
5 Utah Valley State84450%74.471.2+3.1
6 UT Arlington94544%70.361.9+8.4
7 Utah Tech94544%71.275.3-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Baylor394180
Tarleton302757
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