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Akita vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 81-87
16-26 27-14 22-27 16-20
Position#21
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Position#19
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game89.0
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2026-27
Meetings · Akita v Brave Thunders
08 Oct 2026
AKIT81
BRAV87
25 Jan 2026
AKIT97
BRAV77
24 Jan 2026
AKIT89
BRAV98
11 Dec 2022
AKIT80
BRAV89
10 Dec 2022
AKIT85
BRAV92
20 Mar 2022
AKIT83
BRAV90
19 Mar 2022
AKIT79
BRAV94
24 Jan 2021
AKIT96
BRAV81
23 Jan 2021
AKIT67
BRAV80
03 May 2020
AKIT v BRAV
upcoming
02 May 2020
AKIT v BRAV
upcoming
11 Dec 2016
AKIT69
BRAV81
10 Dec 2016
AKIT60
BRAV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
76-108
76
108
-32
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H02/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#6
L
55-81
55
81
-26
A26/09
B League
Sendai
#6
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A27/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
17-16
22-19
20-22
24-35
22-28
16-23
14-22
10-21
21-19
14-19
27-23
30-18
19-26
12-28
16-22
22-19
13-23
13-24
24-19
17-24
14-25
17-16
22-22
16-25
13-17
9-23
17-16
13-17
19-17
18-18
25-21
16-25
9-10
22-33
16-22
19-22
18-13
22-19
17-32
157.1Avg total
71.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.282.5149.8-15.225%
Season at homeno games
Season away (4)67.282.5149.8-15.225%
Last 10 (10)71.086.1157.1-15.110%
Last 5 (5)67.883.4151.2-15.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)73.085.8158.8-12.817%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H22/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A25/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A26/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A02/05
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
A03/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
63-93
63
93
-30
H26/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H27/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A03/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A04/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
28-24
19-28
28-21
14-20
17-16
16-22
24-22
25-27
22-22
21-16
16-25
19-19
19-27
14-28
27-15
24-18
12-21
18-11
20-21
22-21
23-19
24-24
19-20
14-16
17-30
14-25
18-22
19-19
23-27
16-24
20-20
22-23
30-20
21-26
17-30
18-15
23-14
27-25
14-20
167.5Avg total
80.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.289.0167.2-10.825%
Season at home (2)70.591.5162.0-21.00%
Season away (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)80.287.3167.5-7.130%
Last 5 (5)80.288.0168.2-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.086.2159.3-13.214%
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.978.9158.7+1.057%
vs Weaker (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.3-1.3
AkitaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H02/05
B League
Saga
#12
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H03/05
B League
Sendai
#6
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A26/09
B League
Sendai
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A27/09
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A03/10
B League
Tokyo Sunrockers
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A04/10
B League
76.5Avg total
34.7Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.280.8-5.727%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.343.184.4-1.842%-
Last 30 away (18)35.143.378.4-8.317%-
Last 10 (10)34.741.876.5-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.839.069.8-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (30)37.643.280.8-5.727%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#17
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A25/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A26/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A02/05
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A03/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H26/09
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H27/09
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A03/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A04/10
B League
83.7Avg total
40.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.578.8-4.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.739.271.9-6.515%-
Last 30 away (17)40.843.384.1-2.529%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.883.7-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.883.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.043.479.5-7.410%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.337.475.7+0.943%-
vs Weaker (2)46.536.082.5+10.5100%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.017.9
52.6%
53.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.8
31.4%
32.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws13.39.0
67.7%
73.7%9.0
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.921.5
53.9%
53.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
32.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
73.7%12.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLWLLLLLLL
Brave Thunders
WLLLWWLLLL
#21
League position
#19
-9.3
Net rating
-7.9
86.3
Offensive rating
93.0
95.6
Defensive rating
100.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.4%
3-point %
32.0%
70.0%
Assist %
72.7%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 93.0Defence95.6 · 100.8Shooting50.2% · 51.6%3-point %31.4% · 32.0%Ball care17.3% · 15.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Akita   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Akita wins
7
Brave Thunders wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26Akita v Brave Thunders97-77
24/01/26Akita v Brave Thunders89-98 OT
06/10/24Brave Thunders v Akita68-89
05/10/24Brave Thunders v Akita81-73
27/01/24Brave Thunders v Akita80-67
26/01/24Brave Thunders v Akita87-69
11/12/22Akita v Brave Thunders80-89
10/12/22Akita v Brave Thunders85-92 OT
10/04/22Brave Thunders v Akita86-87
09/04/22Brave Thunders v Akita82-68
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers76-86
03/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-90
27/09/26ASendai75-73
26/09/26ASendai55-81
03/05/26HSaga70-87
02/05/26HSaga72-85
26/04/26AToyama77-94
25/04/26AToyama72-82
22/04/26HHokkaido76-108
19/04/26AAltiri Chiba74-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26AAltiri Chiba82-74
03/10/26AAltiri Chiba90-99
27/09/26HDiamond Dolphins78-90
26/09/26HDiamond Dolphins63-93
03/05/26AYokohama88-84
02/05/26AYokohama74-71
26/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas79-89
25/04/26AKoshigaya Alphas84-90
22/04/26HRyukyu71-80
19/04/26AOsaka93-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
Home--
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games4-4
Win %25%-25%
Points / game67.2-67.2
Allowed / game82.5-82.5
Point differential-15.2--15.2
Avg total149.8-149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.270.586.0
Allowed / game89.091.586.5
Point differential-10.8-21.0-0.5
Avg total167.2162.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins440100%89.573.5+16.0
2 Hiroshima D.550100%91.675.8+15.8
3 NeoPhoenix440100%90.276.8+13.5
4 Gunma440100%81.270.2+11.0
5 Tokyo Sunrockers54180%91.080.0+11.0
6 Alvark54180%96.486.8+9.6
7 Kyoto54180%85.478.6+6.8
8 SeaHorses Mikawa43175%88.074.2+13.8
9 Shimane53260%84.480.0+4.4
10 Levanga Hokkaido53260%94.892.8+2.0
11 Yokohama53260%77.476.6+0.8
12 Utsunomiya Brex42250%81.276.5+4.8
13 Ryukyu42250%81.085.8-4.8
14 Sendai52340%85.882.4+3.4
15 Shiga52340%89.086.0+3.0
16 Shinshu52340%84.484.6-0.2
17 Toyama52340%82.286.2-4.0
18 Kobe52340%78.484.4-6.0
19 Brave Thunders41325%78.289.0-10.8
20 Akita41325%67.282.5-15.2
21 Altiri Chiba51420%76.084.0-8.0
22 Chiba51420%92.8103.0-10.2
23 Nagasaki51420%71.483.8-12.4
24 Osaka51420%65.679.2-13.6
25 Ibaraki Robots5050%78.283.8-5.6
26 Saga5050%74.493.8-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita1627221681
Brave Thunders2614272087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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