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Akita vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 May 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 70-87
17-24 14-25 17-16 22-22
Position#26
Record10-49
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record31-28
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game81.9
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akita v Saga
07 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
06 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
03 May 2026
AKIT70
SAGA87
02 May 2026
AKIT72
SAGA85
20 Oct 2024
AKIT74
SAGA72
19 Oct 2024
AKIT61
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H11/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
46-79
46
79
-33
A15/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
76-108
76
108
-32
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H02/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
24-25
22-28
11-15
31-22
22-26
19-17
22-20
16-18
21-9
15-25
25-25
13-19
13-23
15-22
5-15
19-19
21-23
10-23
15-18
15-18
17-16
22-19
20-22
24-35
22-28
16-23
14-22
10-21
21-19
14-19
27-23
30-18
19-26
12-28
16-22
22-19
13-23
13-24
24-19
160.5Avg total
73.7Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)73.385.5158.8-12.217%
Season at home (29)75.986.1162.0-10.228%
Season away (30)70.885.0155.8-14.17%
Last 10 (10)73.786.8160.5-13.120%
Last 5 (5)74.288.8163.0-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.486.9162.3-11.517%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
85-72
85
72
+13
A02/05
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
26-23
25-25
17-18
22-23
20-22
20-19
25-29
18-17
12-22
31-22
19-16
15-23
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
21-24
17-11
19-19
14-12
23-23
17-25
24-21
14-23
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
19-22
23-13
24-13
19-24
164.3Avg total
84.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)82.281.9164.1+0.353%
Season at home (30)81.582.9164.4-1.450%
Season away (29)83.080.9163.9+2.155%
Last 10 (10)84.080.3164.3+3.760%
Last 5 (5)85.678.8164.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.385.4162.8-8.122%
vs Similar (9)82.284.2166.4-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.076.5163.5+10.583%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -7.0-7.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
AkitaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#15
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/04
B League
Saga
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H02/05
B League
82.1Avg total
39.0Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.244.183.3-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.742.584.2-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)36.745.782.4-8.913%-
Last 10 (10)39.043.182.1-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.683.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.244.183.3-4.830%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
Akita
#26
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A02/05
B League
84.4Avg total
42.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.184.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.482.6-0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)44.440.885.2+3.669%-
Last 10 (10)42.641.884.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.282.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.941.979.8-4.033%-
vs Similar (9)43.940.384.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.841.186.9+4.867%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
53.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
33.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.310.4
68.0%
73.1%10.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.3
56.1%
53.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
33.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.412.4
75.6%
73.1%12.4
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLLLLLLWWL
Saga
WLLWWWLLWW
#26
League position
#12
-14.9
Net rating
+2.9
85.5
Offensive rating
98.9
100.3
Defensive rating
96.0
49.4%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
13.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.5%
3-point %
34.9%
69.7%
Assist %
78.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence85.5 · 98.9Defence100.3 · 96.0Shooting49.4% · 54.5%3-point %32.5% · 34.9%Ball care16.1% · 13.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akita wins
3
Saga wins
DateGameScore
02/05/26Akita v Saga72-85
20/10/24Akita v Saga74-72
19/10/24Akita v Saga61-70
05/11/23Saga v Akita70-64
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26HSaga72-85
26/04/26AToyama77-94
25/04/26AToyama72-82
22/04/26HHokkaido76-108
19/04/26AAltiri Chiba74-75
18/04/26AAltiri Chiba65-83
15/04/26ASendai46-79
12/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas87-85 OT
11/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas94-85
08/04/26AYokohama74-92
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/26AAkita85-72
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
25/04/26ARyukyu78-92
22/04/26HDiamond Dolphins71-66
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
15/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-83
12/04/26HKyoto83-87
11/04/26HKyoto90-89
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLWWLL28%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games592930
Win %17%28%7%
Points / game73.375.970.8
Allowed / game85.586.185.0
Point differential-12.2-10.2-14.1
Avg total158.8162.0155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%10%3%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593029
Win %53%50%55%
Points / game82.281.583.0
Allowed / game81.982.980.9
Point differential+0.3-1.4+2.1
Avg total164.1164.4163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%17%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)54% (13)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki59471280%91.779.6+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex59451476%85.879.8+5.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa59431673%84.077.5+6.5
4 Gunma59411869%83.172.8+10.3
5 Diamond Dolphins59411869%82.974.7+8.2
6 Chiba59411869%84.176.7+7.5
7 Ryukyu59411869%82.075.1+6.9
8 Alvark59411869%81.377.2+4.0
9 Hokkaido59362361%88.286.6+1.6
10 Sendai59352459%82.779.7+3.0
11 NeoPhoenix59352459%85.783.2+2.6
12 Hiroshima D.59312853%85.983.8+2.1
13 Saga59312853%82.281.9+0.3
14 Shimane59283147%79.781.0-1.3
15 Yokohama59263344%79.381.6-2.3
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya59243541%76.580.4-3.8
17 Osaka59233639%81.283.0-1.8
18 Shiga59233639%80.685.2-4.6
19 Koshigaya Alphas59203934%75.382.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba59194032%78.884.0-5.2
21 Kyoto59194032%74.581.5-7.1
22 Ibaraki Robots59184131%75.981.4-5.5
23 Nagoya Fighting Eagles59174229%79.884.8-5.0
24 Toyama59174229%81.588.5-7.1
25 Brave Thunders59154425%75.784.0-8.3
26 Akita59104917%73.385.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita1714172270
Saga2425162287
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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