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Koshigaya Alphas vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 90-84
27-25 22-22 16-21 25-16
Position#19
Record18-38
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#25
Record14-42
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game84.1
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Brave Thunders
26 Apr 2026
KOSH89
BRAV79
25 Apr 2026
KOSH90
BRAV84
05 Nov 2025
KOSH76
BRAV65
08 Dec 2024
KOSH100
BRAV74
07 Dec 2024
KOSH101
BRAV77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A08/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A11/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A12/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
87-70
87
70
+17
A15/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H18/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A22/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
14-20
21-33
20-23
17-20
15-26
23-18
23-20
22-18
17-13
20-18
25-28
17-24
21-29
17-11
23-28
22-31
26-22
17-19
20-22
18-16
9-21
25-15
25-25
26-15
26-15
16-22
19-18
23-20
16-11
8-19
19-23
16-23
14-23
18-12
21-21
19-22
20-28
20-23
19-29
162.6Avg total
77.9Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)74.882.2157.1-7.432%
Season at home (28)73.880.1153.9-6.236%
Season away (28)75.984.4160.2-8.529%
Last 10 (10)77.984.7162.6-6.820%
Last 5 (5)77.082.2159.2-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)73.586.9160.4-13.414%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.078.6160.6+3.471%
vs Weaker (2)85.090.5175.5-5.50%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H01/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H04/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H05/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A08/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
77-97
77
97
-20
A11/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A12/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H15/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A18/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
93-103
93
103
-10
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H22/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
20-14
33-21
23-20
18-16
14-25
22-26
17-18
13-27
22-17
24-14
23-17
20-33
13-13
20-16
20-25
25-26
24-24
8-23
20-24
16-25
22-24
12-29
14-9
21-19
11-25
13-16
18-24
19-26
21-25
15-20
21-27
18-30
28-24
19-28
28-21
14-20
17-16
16-22
24-22
162.4Avg total
75.9Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)75.584.1159.6-8.625%
Season at home (30)73.682.0155.6-8.423%
Season away (26)77.786.4164.2-8.727%
Last 10 (10)75.986.5162.4-10.620%
Last 5 (5)73.490.4163.8-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.285.5159.7-11.313%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.274.6153.8+4.680%
vs Weaker (2)87.593.0180.5-5.550%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Koshigaya AlphasBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brave Thunders
#25
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A01/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H04/04
B League
Osaka
#17
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H05/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A11/04
B League
Akita
#26
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A12/04
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#21
W
52-30
52
30
+22
A15/04
B League
Alvark
#8
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/04
B League
Alvark
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H19/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A22/04
B League
78.2Avg total
37.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.841.979.7-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.641.177.7-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.781.5-3.925%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.078.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.876.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)36.943.079.9-6.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.737.978.6+2.943%-
vs Weaker (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H05/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/04
B League
Gunma
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A12/04
B League
Chiba
#6
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H15/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A18/04
B League
Osaka
#17
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A19/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H22/04
B League
81.2Avg total
36.9Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.941.878.7-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.839.073.8-4.225%-
Last 30 away (14)39.245.084.2-5.814%-
Last 10 (10)36.944.381.2-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.884.2-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)37.043.380.3-6.313%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.633.470.0+3.260%-
vs Weaker (2)36.046.082.0-10.00%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.1
52.6%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.3
34.8%
33.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.413.8
71.1%
73.1%13.8
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.7
51.6%
53.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.28.3
28.4%
33.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.311.4
65.9%
73.1%11.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWLLLWLL
Brave Thunders
LLLLLLLWLW
#19
League position
#25
-7.4
Net rating
-12.6
92.7
Offensive rating
89.8
100.1
Defensive rating
102.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
47.7%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.8%
3-point %
28.4%
71.2%
Assist %
72.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.7 · 89.8Defence100.1 · 102.3Shooting52.5% · 47.7%3-point %34.8% · 28.4%Ball care17.1% · 12.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Koshigaya Alphas wins
1
Brave Thunders wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/26ASendai78-102
19/04/26HAlvark69-79
18/04/26HAlvark66-73
15/04/26AIbaraki Robots87-70
12/04/26AAkita85-87 OT
11/04/26AAkita85-94
08/04/26AChiba78-92
05/04/26HOsaka84-77
04/04/26HOsaka78-84
01/04/26ABrave Thunders69-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/26HRyukyu71-80
19/04/26AOsaka93-103
18/04/26AOsaka76-98
15/04/26HChiba63-84
12/04/26AGunma64-87
11/04/26AGunma77-97
08/04/26ASun Rockers Shibuya73-87
05/04/26HYokohama82-75
04/04/26HYokohama71-85
01/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas89-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL32%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562828
Win %32%36%29%
Points / game74.873.875.9
Allowed / game82.280.184.4
Point differential-7.4-6.2-8.5
Avg total157.1153.9160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %5%0%11%
Brave Thunders
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWLWLL23%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563026
Win %25%23%27%
Points / game75.573.677.7
Allowed / game84.182.086.4
Point differential-8.6-8.4-8.7
Avg total159.6155.6164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%13%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki56441279%91.679.7+11.9
2 Utsunomiya Brex57431475%85.779.9+5.9
3 Diamond Dolphins57411672%83.474.2+9.2
4 SeaHorses Mikawa56401671%84.177.8+6.3
5 Gunma56391770%82.872.6+10.2
6 Ryukyu56391770%81.674.6+6.9
7 Chiba57391868%83.876.6+7.2
8 Alvark56381868%80.376.8+3.5
9 Hokkaido56352162%88.485.9+2.5
10 Sendai57352261%82.979.5+3.3
11 NeoPhoenix56342261%86.283.5+2.7
12 Hiroshima D.57312654%86.183.5+2.6
13 Saga56302654%82.181.7+0.4
14 Shimane56263046%79.581.0-1.5
15 Yokohama57253244%79.381.9-2.5
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya56233341%76.380.3-4.1
17 Osaka56223439%81.082.8-1.8
18 Shiga56223439%80.684.9-4.3
19 Altiri Chiba56183832%78.883.8-5.1
20 Kyoto56183832%73.881.0-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas56183832%74.882.2-7.4
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles56173930%80.184.6-4.6
23 Ibaraki Robots56164029%75.781.5-5.8
24 Toyama56144225%81.089.0-8.0
25 Brave Thunders56144225%75.584.1-8.6
26 Akita56104618%73.385.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2722162590
Brave Thunders2522211684
← all games of the day
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