PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Akita vs Saga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 72-85
22-19 13-23 13-24 24-19
Position#26
Record10-48
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Saga 🏆
Japan
Position#12
Record30-28
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2025-26
Meetings · Akita v Saga
07 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
06 Mar 2027
AKIT v SAGA
upcoming
03 May 2026
AKIT70
SAGA87
02 May 2026
AKIT72
SAGA85
20 Oct 2024
AKIT74
SAGA72
19 Oct 2024
AKIT61
SAGA70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A08/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H11/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
46-79
46
79
-33
A15/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
65-83
65
83
-18
A18/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
76-108
76
108
-32
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A26/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
19-21
18-16
24-24
17-24
24-25
22-28
11-15
31-22
22-26
19-17
22-20
16-18
21-9
15-25
25-25
13-19
13-23
15-22
5-15
19-19
21-23
10-23
15-18
15-18
17-16
22-19
20-22
24-35
22-28
16-23
14-22
10-21
21-19
14-19
27-23
30-18
19-26
12-28
16-22
160.6Avg total
73.7Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)73.385.5158.9-12.217%
Season at home (28)76.086.1162.1-10.129%
Season away (30)70.885.0155.8-14.17%
Last 10 (10)73.786.9160.6-13.220%
Last 5 (5)72.888.4161.2-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.486.9162.3-11.517%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
L
66-87
66
87
-21
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-89
90
89
+1
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
103-68
103
68
+35
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A26/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
23-16
13-26
7-23
21-25
13-15
26-17
19-19
26-23
25-25
17-18
22-23
20-22
20-19
25-29
18-17
12-22
31-22
19-16
15-23
14-25
27-24
21-13
21-12
27-20
25-15
29-19
22-14
21-24
17-11
19-19
14-12
23-23
17-25
24-21
14-23
22-26
23-17
19-29
27-24
163.9Avg total
82.1Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)82.282.1164.3+0.152%
Season at home (30)81.582.9164.4-1.450%
Season away (28)82.981.2164.1+1.754%
Last 10 (10)82.181.8163.9+0.350%
Last 5 (5)85.279.2164.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.084.7162.7-6.730%
vs Similar (9)82.284.2166.4-2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)87.276.9164.1+10.382%
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
AkitaSaga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvark
#8
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H11/04
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H12/04
B League
Sendai
#11
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A15/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/04
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A19/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H22/04
B League
Toyama
#24
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A25/04
B League
Toyama
#24
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A26/04
B League
82.0Avg total
38.5Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.344.483.7-5.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.242.584.7-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)36.846.182.8-9.312%-
Last 10 (10)38.543.582.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.644.684.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)39.344.483.7-5.130%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sendai
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A05/04
B League
Hokkaido
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H08/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H11/04
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/04
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#23
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A19/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H22/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/04
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A26/04
B League
85.1Avg total
43.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.484.2+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.582.7-0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)44.541.285.7+3.367%-
Last 10 (10)43.042.185.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.085.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.242.080.2-3.830%-
vs Similar (9)43.940.384.2+3.667%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.241.687.8+4.564%-
This opponent (Akita) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.7
50.5%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.5
30.8%
33.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.511.1
67.3%
73.1%11.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.5
54.8%
53.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.8
34.8%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.611.8
75.6%
73.1%11.8
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLLLLLWWLL
Saga
LLWWWLLWWL
#26
League position
#12
-15.0
Net rating
-1.2
85.4
Offensive rating
96.3
100.5
Defensive rating
97.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.8%
3-point %
34.8%
69.1%
Assist %
78.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence85.4 · 96.3Defence100.5 · 97.5Shooting48.7% · 53.6%3-point %30.8% · 34.8%Ball care15.5% · 14.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Akita   ■ Saga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Akita wins
2
Saga wins
DateGameScore
20/10/24Akita v Saga74-72
19/10/24Akita v Saga61-70
05/11/23Saga v Akita70-64
04/11/23Saga v Akita65-66
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AToyama77-94
25/04/26AToyama72-82
22/04/26HHokkaido76-108
19/04/26AAltiri Chiba74-75
18/04/26AAltiri Chiba65-83
15/04/26ASendai46-79
12/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas87-85 OT
11/04/26HKoshigaya Alphas94-85
08/04/26AYokohama74-92
05/04/26AAlvark72-86
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26ARyukyu91-96
25/04/26ARyukyu78-92
22/04/26HDiamond Dolphins71-66
19/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles103-68
18/04/26ANagoya Fighting Eagles83-74
15/04/26HSeaHorses Mikawa77-83
12/04/26HKyoto83-87
11/04/26HKyoto90-89
08/04/26HHokkaido79-76
05/04/26ASendai66-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLWWL29%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games582830
Win %17%29%7%
Points / game73.376.070.8
Allowed / game85.586.185.0
Point differential-12.2-10.1-14.1
Avg total158.9162.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)50% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %7%11%3%
Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL52%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583028
Win %52%50%54%
Points / game82.281.582.9
Allowed / game82.182.981.2
Point differential+0.1-1.4+1.7
Avg total164.3164.4164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)54% (13)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki59471280%91.779.6+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex58441476%85.879.8+6.0
3 SeaHorses Mikawa58421672%84.077.5+6.5
4 Diamond Dolphins58411771%83.274.5+8.8
5 Ryukyu58411771%82.075.0+7.0
6 Gunma58401869%83.172.6+10.5
7 Chiba58401869%83.976.6+7.3
8 Alvark58401869%80.876.8+4.0
9 Hokkaido58362262%87.986.2+1.7
10 Sendai58352360%82.779.7+3.1
11 NeoPhoenix58342459%85.783.5+2.2
12 Hiroshima D.58312753%85.983.6+2.3
13 Saga58302852%82.282.1+0.1
14 Shimane58273147%79.580.9-1.4
15 Yokohama58263245%79.481.8-2.3
16 Sun Rockers Shibuya58243441%76.580.3-3.8
17 Osaka58233540%81.282.9-1.8
18 Shiga58223638%80.485.2-4.8
19 Koshigaya Alphas58203834%75.382.2-6.9
20 Altiri Chiba58193933%78.883.8-5.0
21 Kyoto59194032%74.581.5-7.1
22 Nagoya Fighting Eagles58174129%79.784.7-4.9
23 Ibaraki Robots58174129%75.881.4-5.7
24 Toyama58164228%81.288.5-7.3
25 Brave Thunders58144424%75.784.3-8.5
26 Akita58104817%73.385.5-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita2213132472
Saga1923241985
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.