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Koshigaya Alphas vs Akita Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 93-80 (OT)
22-26 21-20 15-10 20-22 15-2
Position#20
Record13-27
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Position#14
Record19-21
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game74.1
JapanB League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Akita
06 Apr 2025
KOSH73
AKIT55
05 Apr 2025
KOSH68
AKIT80
12 Mar 2025
KOSH93
AKIT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akita winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 75
A25/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
90-75
90
75
+15
95avg 75
A26/01
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
64avg 75
H29/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
90-100
90
100
-10
84avg 75
H01/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
L
65-76
65
76
-11
57avg 75
H02/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
76avg 75
A08/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
70-77
70
77
-7
61avg 75
A09/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
87-80
87
80
+7
85avg 75
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
64-59
64
59
+5
55avg 75
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 75
A05/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
18-23
16-17
24-15
24-17
21-24
19-18
26-16
18-21
24-17
9-26
16-23
25-26
23-18
27-30
15-26
21-20
21-22
11-23
12-11
24-15
19-21
20-24
14-20
25-14
14-33
12-15
19-15
11-19
22-24
27-23
27-14
14-15
13-14
15-8
22-22
18-18
29-23
14-20
18-23
156.3Avg total
77.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)77.281.0158.3-3.832%
Season at home (20)79.383.2162.5-3.830%
Season away (20)75.279.0154.1-3.835%
Last 10 (10)77.179.2156.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)75.476.0151.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)77.283.9161.1-6.712%
vs Similar (12)81.877.1158.8+4.767%
vs Weaker (2)88.570.0158.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
71-67
71
67
+4
65avg 67
H25/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
88-59
88
59
+29
85avg 67
H26/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
66-70
66
70
-4
52avg 67
H29/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
69avg 67
A01/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
70avg 67
A02/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
86avg 67
H08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 67
H09/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-105
72
105
-33
64avg 67
H01/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 67
H02/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
91-60
91
60
+31
90avg 67
H05/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
13-21
10-14
22-16
23-25
25-6
24-16
16-12
16-16
13-15
19-22
18-17
16-18
17-16
17-16
19-19
13-17
18-21
30-16
14-13
18-6
23-29
19-30
24-13
27-25
18-14
15-22
20-25
19-30
18-20
20-25
15-30
22-14
15-29
12-14
23-17
22-14
25-10
29-18
15-18
151.6Avg total
77.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)73.674.1147.7-0.548%
Season at home (21)74.873.1147.9+1.752%
Season away (19)72.375.2147.4-2.942%
Last 10 (10)77.374.3151.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)79.880.6160.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.279.9151.2-8.723%
vs Similar (11)71.970.3142.2+1.655%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.861.8138.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.6+0.6
Koshigaya AlphasAkita
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/01
B League
Saga
#18
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A26/01
B League
Gunma
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/01
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H01/02
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H02/02
B League
Osaka
#13
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
B League
Osaka
#13
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A09/02
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A01/03
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/03
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A05/03
B League
81.1Avg total
40.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.083.1+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.240.784.9+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.481.3-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.381.1+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.277.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.241.981.2-2.738%-
vs Similar (12)44.639.684.2+5.058%-
vs Weaker (2)49.542.592.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Akita) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H25/01
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H26/01
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H29/01
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A01/02
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A02/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/02
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H09/02
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H01/03
B League
NeoPhoenix
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H02/03
B League
Sendai
#23
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H05/03
B League
74.9Avg total
38.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.036.172.2-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.535.472.9+2.259%-
Last 30 away (13)34.137.271.2-3.123%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.274.9+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.279.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.539.375.8-2.838%-
vs Similar (11)33.735.569.3-1.827%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.330.369.7+9.083%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.5
48.3%
51.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.7
41.5%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.112.0
70.2%
72.7%12.0
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.2
47.9%
51.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.1
33.6%
33.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws15.510.8
69.7%
72.7%10.8
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWLLLLLWW
Akita
WLLLWWLLWW
#20
League position
#14
-3.4
Net rating
+4.9
104.8
Offensive rating
105.8
108.3
Defensive rating
100.8
53.8%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.3%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
38.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
41.5%
3-point %
33.6%
66.9%
Assist %
75.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.8 · 105.8Defence108.3 · 100.8Shooting53.8% · 49.0%3-point %41.5% · 33.6%Ball care19.8% · 19.3%Off. rebounds27.0% · 38.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Akita
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
1
Akita wins
DateGameScore
23/10/24Akita v Koshigaya Alphas78-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25AHokkaido79-84
02/03/25AIbaraki Robots64-59
01/03/25AIbaraki Robots87-80
09/02/25AOsaka70-77
08/02/25AOsaka77-80
02/02/25HHiroshima D.65-76
01/02/25HHiroshima D.90-100
29/01/25HGunma67-87
26/01/25ASaga90-75
25/01/25ASaga82-74
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HSendai91-60
02/03/25HNeoPhoenix72-74
01/03/25HNeoPhoenix72-105
09/02/25HDiamond Dolphins80-86
08/02/25HDiamond Dolphins84-78
02/02/25AKyoto75-67
01/02/25AKyoto74-77 OT
29/01/25HHokkaido66-70
26/01/25HIbaraki Robots88-59
25/01/25HIbaraki Robots71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL32%
HomeLWLLL30%
AwayLLWWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402020
Win %32%30%35%
Points / game77.279.375.2
Allowed / game81.083.279.0
Point differential-3.8-3.8-3.8
Avg total158.3162.5154.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)20% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWLLLW52%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %48%52%42%
Points / game73.674.872.3
Allowed / game74.173.175.2
Point differential-0.5+1.7-2.9
Avg total147.7147.9147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%19%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)43% (7)43% (7)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix3935490%92.978.7+14.3
2 Utsunomiya Brex4033782%86.275.8+10.4
3 Gunma40291172%78.671.6+7.0
4 Alvark40291172%76.770.5+6.2
5 SeaHorses Mikawa40281270%82.775.0+7.6
6 Ryukyu40281270%83.876.7+7.2
7 Shimane40261465%80.374.4+5.9
8 Chiba40261465%81.377.7+3.6
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya40221855%74.871.1+3.6
10 Diamond Dolphins40221855%82.081.2+0.8
11 Osaka40211952%82.281.8+0.4
12 Kyoto40202050%80.579.6+0.9
13 Akita40192148%73.674.1-0.5
14 Nagasaki40182245%75.878.2-2.4
15 Nagoya Fighting Eagles40182245%78.080.8-2.8
16 Hiroshima D.40182245%78.682.2-3.6
17 Yokohama40162440%75.379.5-4.2
18 Hokkaido40142635%73.779.3-5.5
19 Koshigaya Alphas40132732%77.281.0-3.8
20 Brave Thunders40132732%77.485.5-8.1
21 Saga40112928%74.078.8-4.8
22 Ibaraki Robots4083220%72.981.5-8.6
23 Sendai4083220%72.782.7-10.1
24 Shiga3943510%76.189.7-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Koshigaya Alphas222115201593
Akita26201022280
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