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Akita vs Osaka Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 85-73
20-26 18-14 19-13 28-20
Position#14
Record12-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game72.2
Akita 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#13
Record13-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game80.3
JapanB League· CNA Arena Akita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Akita v Osaka
03 Feb 2027
AKIT v OSAK
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
AKIT v OSAK
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
AKIT77
OSAK76
31 Jan 2026
AKIT80
OSAK93
29 Dec 2024
AKIT80
OSAK84
28 Dec 2024
AKIT85
OSAK73
22 Jan 2023
AKIT79
OSAK83
21 Jan 2023
AKIT85
OSAK79
08 Nov 2020
AKIT73
OSAK72
07 Nov 2020
AKIT80
OSAK72
06 Oct 2019
AKIT70
OSAK77
05 Oct 2019
AKIT81
OSAK58
03 Mar 2019
AKIT73
OSAK88
02 Mar 2019
AKIT70
OSAK55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Akita winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AkitaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAkita
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
73-66
73
66
+7
64avg 67
H30/11
B League
Shiga
#24
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 67
H01/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
83-77
83
77
+6
82avg 67
A07/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
61-69
61
69
-8
47avg 67
A08/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
61-46
61
46
+15
57avg 67
H11/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
67-63
67
63
+4
62avg 67
A14/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
59-70
59
70
-11
48avg 67
A15/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
67-72
67
72
-5
62avg 67
A18/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
62avg 67
H21/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
63-72
63
72
-9
57avg 67
H22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
23-17
18-23
15-10
14-17
19-18
22-13
22-25
22-19
9-27
21-17
31-14
17-19
14-6
15-18
15-26
16-12
13-10
22-13
10-11
14-23
16-12
21-13
16-15
18-18
15-19
13-18
13-15
19-15
11-19
11-20
26-18
18-12
18-21
13-20
21-21
14-18
8-18
20-11
21-25
136.3Avg total
68.1Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.572.2143.7-0.750%
Season at home (11)71.170.8141.9+0.355%
Season away (13)71.873.3145.2-1.546%
Last 10 (10)68.168.2136.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)65.270.2135.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.277.6148.8-6.420%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.274.2147.3-1.058%
vs Weaker (8)73.665.2138.9+8.488%
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 76
A30/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
69avg 76
A01/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
53avg 76
H07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
76-70 OT
76
70
+6
75avg 76
H08/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
89-84
89
84
+5
85avg 76
A11/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
63avg 76
A14/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
76-95
76
95
-19
67avg 76
A15/12
B League
Saga
#18
W
77-68
77
68
+9
77avg 76
H18/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
91avg 76
H21/12
B League
Chiba
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
72avg 76
H22/12
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
19-22
19-20
24-15
18-23
18-18
24-11
14-19
10-22
17-16
22-16
17-17
14-19
14-11
13-15
23-19
23-16
15-20
28-21
23-27
20-14
22-25
20-15
14-23
17-25
18-30
18-16
23-24
21-23
17-15
21-13
18-17
28-11
19-27
19-15
22-23
12-34
23-24
23-16
23-15
156.3Avg total
78.5Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.980.3162.2+1.654%
Season at home (13)82.578.1160.6+4.562%
Season away (11)81.182.9164.0-1.845%
Last 10 (10)78.577.8156.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)79.681.0160.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.185.3164.4-6.225%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.576.8158.3+4.767%
vs Weaker (6)84.277.3161.5+6.883%
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
AkitaOsaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AkitaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#24
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H30/11
B League
Shiga
#24
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H01/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/12
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A08/12
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H11/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A14/12
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A15/12
B League
Gunma
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/12
B League
Alvark
#4
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H21/12
B League
Alvark
#4
L
22-36
22
36
-14
H22/12
B League
65.1Avg total
31.5Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.235.972.1+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.835.972.7+0.960%-
Last 30 away (15)35.635.971.5-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)31.533.665.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.065.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.338.273.5-2.930%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)36.336.372.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)37.132.569.6+4.662%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A30/11
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#22
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A01/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H07/12
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H08/12
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A14/12
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A15/12
B League
Saga
#18
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/12
B League
Chiba
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H21/12
B League
Chiba
#5
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H22/12
B League
78.0Avg total
36.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.141.180.3-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.439.279.6+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.943.180.9-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.578.0-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.685.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.443.882.2-5.442%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.837.676.3+1.258%-
vs Weaker (6)41.342.884.2-1.517%-
This opponent (Akita) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Akitatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Akita: 67.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.3
43.2%
51.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.4
31.3%
33.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.811.6
69.0%
72.7%11.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.6
51.0%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.2
29.8%
33.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.715.1
69.6%
72.7%15.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Akita
LLLLWWLWWW
Osaka
LWWLLWWLWW
#14
League position
#13
+0.0
Net rating
+1.0
96.4
Offensive rating
105.8
96.4
Defensive rating
104.8
44.9%
Effective FG%
48.6%
45.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
37.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.3%
3-point %
29.8%
78.9%
Assist %
67.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 105.8Defence96.4 · 104.8Shooting44.9% · 48.6%3-point %31.3% · 29.8%Ball care17.1% · 18.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 37.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Akita   ■ Osaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Akita wins
4
Osaka wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Osaka v Akita65-63
16/12/23Osaka v Akita65-78
22/01/23Akita v Osaka79-83
21/01/23Akita v Osaka85-79
08/11/20Akita v Osaka73-72
07/11/20Akita v Osaka80-72
09/02/20Osaka v Akita64-88
08/02/20Osaka v Akita76-72
06/10/19Akita v Osaka70-77
05/10/19Akita v Osaka81-58
Akitalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HAlvark63-72
21/12/24HAlvark70-74
18/12/24AGunma67-72
15/12/24ARyukyu59-70
14/12/24ARyukyu67-63
11/12/24HIbaraki Robots61-46
08/12/24AHokkaido61-69
07/12/24AHokkaido83-77
01/12/24HShiga77-73
30/11/24HShiga73-66
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HChiba81-89
21/12/24HChiba88-76
18/12/24HSaga77-68
15/12/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-95
14/12/24AUtsunomiya Brex76-77
11/12/24AYokohama89-84
08/12/24HSun Rockers Shibuya76-70 OT
07/12/24HSun Rockers Shibuya66-71
01/12/24AIbaraki Robots74-71
30/11/24AIbaraki Robots82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Akita
B League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayWLWLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %50%55%46%
Points / game71.571.171.8
Allowed / game72.270.873.3
Point differential-0.7+0.3-1.5
Avg total143.7141.9145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%9%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)67% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Osaka
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL54%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWWWLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %54%62%45%
Points / game81.982.581.1
Allowed / game80.378.182.9
Point differential+1.6+4.5-1.8
Avg total162.2160.6164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix2420483%91.278.8+12.5
2 Alvark2420483%79.070.1+8.8
3 Utsunomiya Brex2419579%82.875.4+7.5
4 Gunma2417771%79.170.9+8.2
5 Ryukyu2417771%82.675.8+6.8
6 Chiba2417771%81.275.6+5.5
7 SeaHorses Mikawa2416867%80.574.6+5.9
8 Shimane2415962%80.173.7+6.4
9 Sun Rockers Shibuya2415962%76.971.5+5.4
10 Kyoto24131154%82.079.7+2.3
11 Osaka24131154%81.980.3+1.6
12 Diamond Dolphins24121250%82.883.2-0.4
13 Akita24121250%71.572.2-0.7
14 Nagasaki24121250%73.975.4-1.5
15 Hiroshima D.24101442%77.082.6-5.6
16 Saga2491538%75.076.3-1.2
17 Yokohama2491538%76.080.2-4.2
18 Hokkaido2491538%74.279.7-5.5
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles2491538%74.180.7-6.6
20 Ibaraki Robots2471729%74.982.1-7.2
21 Koshigaya Alphas2461825%77.182.5-5.5
22 Sendai2451921%72.180.3-8.2
23 Brave Thunders2442017%75.187.0-11.9
24 Shiga242228%74.286.8-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Akita2018192885
Osaka2614132073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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