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Aktobe vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 24 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 103-71
32-20 22-12 26-20 23-19
Position#5
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game82.0
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
vs
Position#1
Record4-2
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game78.0
KazakhstanNational League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Aktobe v Astana
04 Apr 2023
AKTO73
AST79
03 Apr 2023
AKTO55
AST107
25 Nov 2022
AKTO74
AST53
24 Nov 2022
AKTO103
AST71
27 Dec 2021
AKTO54
AST79
26 Dec 2021
AKTO61
AST77
07 Feb 2021
AKTO80
AST102
06 Feb 2021
AKTO68
AST109
02 Dec 2019
AKTO59
AST95
01 Dec 2019
AKTO65
AST94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Astana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H07/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H08/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A15/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
104-70
104
70
+34
A16/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H24/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H25/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
A02/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A03/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H20/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
80-95
80
95
-15
H21/11
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
25-17
18-17
15-23
30-21
24-26
12-23
17-28
13-18
15-9
19-29
14-17
21-9
33-23
28-12
22-26
26-24
22-14
21-14
14-19
13-27
20-17
16-18
23-18
14-30
27-26
12-13
23-16
20-31
27-26
10-17
12-14
20-19
2-23
23-26
17-18
15-23
21-31
27-22
17-19
158.2Avg total
76.2Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Season at home (6)75.384.0159.3-8.717%
Season away (4)77.579.0156.5-1.525%
Last 10 (10)76.282.0158.2-5.820%
Last 5 (5)71.886.8158.6-15.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)61.379.1140.4-17.818%
vs Similar (8)75.983.6159.5-7.812%
vs Weaker (11)66.264.5130.7+1.664%
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H13/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
54-109
54
109
-55
A16/10
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
60-80
60
80
-20
H23/10
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
58-93
58
93
-35
A27/10
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A29/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A30/10
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A31/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
57-88
57
88
-31
H05/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
64-101
64
101
-37
H18/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
59-86
59
86
-27
A23/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-12
27-24
15-15
20-27
20-28
6-32
8-22
16-28
9-22
19-16
16-14
12-25
12-23
19-25
15-20
18-22
19-27
19-30
25-23
30-30
30-21
5-20
18-19
17-23
8-17
13-22
15-11
8-27
16-20
10-21
23-20
15-23
20-33
18-25
11-20
12-27
15-23
24-20
8-16
154.7Avg total
65.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.778.0163.7+7.767%
Season at home (4)87.569.0156.5+18.5100%
Season away (2)82.096.0178.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)65.389.4154.7-24.110%
Last 5 (5)63.287.6150.8-24.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)61.287.3148.5-26.17%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.964.2156.1+27.688%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: -8.4-8.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -5.6-5.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -7.5-7.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.6-2.6
AktobeAstana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H08/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A15/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
W
54-32
54
32
+22
A16/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/10
National League
Atyrau
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H25/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A02/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A03/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
22-42
22
42
-20
H20/11
National League
Irbis Almaty
#4
L
36-54
36
54
-18
H21/11
National League
83.3Avg total
40.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.439.474.8-4.041%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.838.172.9-3.337%-
Last 30 away (10)36.441.978.3-5.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.243.183.3-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.850.686.4-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)32.740.473.1-7.636%-
vs Similar (8)40.143.683.8-3.550%-
vs Weaker (10)34.535.069.5-0.540%-
This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parma Perm
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H13/10
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A16/10
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H23/10
VTB United League
Samara
#10
L
24-48
24
48
-24
A27/10
VTB United League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A29/10
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#3
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A30/10
National League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
25-40
25
40
-15
A31/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#8
L
24-47
24
47
-23
H05/11
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
35-56
35
56
-21
H18/11
VTB United League
Nizhny Novgorod
#5
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A23/11
VTB United League
81.8Avg total
33.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.476.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.134.773.8+4.456%-
Last 30 away (12)37.841.579.2-3.842%-
Last 10 (10)33.947.981.8-14.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.248.883.0-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.143.572.6-14.47%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.932.179.0+14.888%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.513.8
45.2%
50.5%27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
30.4%20.4
🏀 Free throws12.07.7
64.2%
69.6%7.7
They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Aktobe wins
10
Astana wins
DateGameScore
21/04/22Astana v Aktobe100-32
20/04/22Astana v Aktobe100-58
27/12/21Aktobe v Astana54-79
26/12/21Aktobe v Astana61-77
24/12/21Astana v Aktobe104-58
23/12/21Astana v Aktobe98-59
07/02/21Aktobe v Astana80-102
06/02/21Aktobe v Astana68-109
10/11/20Astana v Aktobe106-55
09/11/20Astana v Aktobe100-62
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22HIrbis Almaty80-95
20/11/22HIrbis Almaty62-86
03/11/22ATobol Kostanay69-88
02/11/22ATobol Kostanay76-85
25/10/22HAtyrau72-80
24/10/22HAtyrau83-71
16/10/22AIrbis Almaty104-70
15/10/22AIrbis Almaty61-73
08/10/22HTobol Kostanay83-98
07/10/22HTobol Kostanay72-74
Astanalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/22ANizhny Novgorod59-86
18/11/22HCSKA Moscow64-101
05/11/22HEnisey57-88
31/10/22ALokomotiv Kuban53-73
30/10/22ATobol Kostanay83-90
29/10/22ATobol Kostanay81-102
27/10/22ASamara58-93
23/10/22HNizhny Novgorod60-80
16/10/22AUnics Kazan54-109
13/10/22HParma Perm84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %20%17%25%
Points / game76.275.377.5
Allowed / game82.084.079.0
Point differential-5.8-8.7-1.5
Avg total158.2159.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Astana
National League 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.787.582.0
Allowed / game78.069.096.0
Point differential+7.7+18.5-14.0
Avg total163.7156.5178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay108280%85.282.0+3.2
2 Astana64267%85.778.0+7.7
3 Irbis Almaty84450%78.081.4-3.4
4 Atyrau104640%79.378.6+0.7
5 Aktobe102820%76.282.0-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aktobe32222623103
Astana2012201971
← all games of the day
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