Aktobe vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 03 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 55-107

15-29 9-27 11-27 20-24

Position#5

Record5-21

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game79.5

Aktobe

Astana 🏆

Position#1

Record11-5

FormLLLWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game72.7

National League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Aktobe v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aktobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

54-70

-16

A23/12

National League

Atyrau

66-72

-6

A24/12

National League

Astana

78-88

-10

A17/01

National League

Astana

71-89

-18

A18/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

78-83

-5

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

79-82

-3

A22/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

84-99

-15

H05/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

84-90

-6

H06/03

National League

Atyrau

57-78

-21

A15/03

National League

Atyrau

78-84

-6

A16/03

National League

12-20

12-16

20-13

10-21

25-14

11-23

22-22

8-13

25-22

23-33

8-14

22-19

16-30

20-21

17-24

18-14

19-19

15-20

18-25

26-19

18-21

17-30

22-13

22-18

18-26

17-22

26-25

23-26

14-20

27-15

21-31

22-24

17-22

19-19

6-16

15-21

21-31

27-15

17-23

13-15

156.4Avg total

72.9Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	74.6	79.5	154.1	-4.9	19%
Season at home (12)	76.8	80.0	156.8	-3.2	25%
Season away (14)	72.6	79.1	151.7	-6.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	83.5	156.4	-10.6	0%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	86.6	163.0	-10.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	71.8	74.9	146.7	-3.2	25%
vs Similar (14)	77.0	83.4	160.4	-6.4	14%
vs Weaker (4)	74.0	70.5	144.5	+3.5	75%

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samara

#10

75-89

-14

A15/02

VTB United League

Parma Perm

73-74

-1

H04/03

VTB United League

Saratov

73-80

-7

H09/03

VTB United League

Samara

#10

73-92

-19

H13/03

VTB United League

Saratov

70-79

-9

A16/03

VTB United League

Enisey

67-77

-10

A19/03

VTB United League

Parma Perm

59-94

-35

A22/03

VTB United League

Minsk

#12

69-84

-15

A26/03

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

84-51

+33

H30/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

88-71

+17

H31/03

National League

16-26

14-25

24-17

21-21

17-13

20-17

15-28

21-16

14-15

18-20

22-22

19-23

9-23

21-28

18-26

25-15

11-23

18-20

27-18

14-18

20-19

6-26

13-13

28-19

18-23

11-22

19-19

11-30

30-21

18-16

5-25

16-22

26-16

18-8

24-7

16-20

26-21

21-22

19-14

22-14

152.2Avg total

73.1Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	84.6	72.7	157.2	+11.9	69%
Season at home (10)	90.8	64.8	155.6	+26.0	100%
Season away (6)	74.2	85.8	160.0	-11.7	17%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	79.1	152.2	-6.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	75.4	148.8	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	67.1	86.6	153.7	-19.4	6%
vs Similar (4)	77.0	69.8	146.8	+7.2	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	89.4	64.8	154.1	+24.6	88%

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AktobeAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.8	39.8	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.5	41.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.0	41.6	-6.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	22.0	41.8	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	18.5	39.2	+2.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.8	40.2	-3.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.0	44.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.1	22.4	38.6	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	16.0	40.8	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	26.1	18.2	44.4	+7.9	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	20.1	39.3	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.9	37.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.1	40.9	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.3	22.1	42.4	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.8	16.5	34.2	+1.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.4	36.9	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	18.8	33.6	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	15.9	22.4	38.4	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	16.5	34.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.8	18.4	41.1	+4.4	75%	-

AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

24-36

-12

A23/12

National League

Atyrau

36-37

-1

A24/12

National League

Astana

48-55

-7

A17/01

National League

Astana

36-51

-15

A18/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

34-39

-5

A21/01

National League

Tobol Kostanay

35-51

-16

A22/01

National League

Irbis Almaty

35-48

-13

H05/03

National League

Irbis Almaty

41-35

H06/03

National League

Atyrau

36-41

-5

A15/03

National League

Atyrau

48-46

A16/03

National League

81.2Avg total

37.3Scored

43.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	40.9	79.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	37.9	39.5	77.4	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	42.1	80.5	-3.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	43.9	81.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	44.2	83.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.0	42.6	80.6	-4.6	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.5	35.0	73.5	+3.5	75%	-

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samara

#10

30-51

-21

A15/02

VTB United League

Parma Perm

37-30

H04/03

VTB United League

Saratov

32-35

-3

H09/03

VTB United League

Samara

#10

30-51

-21

H13/03

VTB United League

Saratov

29-43

-14

A16/03

VTB United League

Enisey

26-45

-19

A19/03

VTB United League

Parma Perm

29-45

-16

A22/03

VTB United League

Minsk

#12

48-37

+11

A26/03

VTB United League

Tobol Kostanay

44-24

+20

H30/03

National League

Tobol Kostanay

47-43

H31/03

National League

75.6Avg total

35.2Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.7	38.6	78.3	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.7	44.2	79.9	-8.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.2	40.4	75.6	-5.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	32.1	44.9	76.9	-12.8	6%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.8	32.5	75.2	+10.2	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	48.9	36.6	85.5	+12.2	88%	-

This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.0	36.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	17.6	33.9	-1.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.6	38.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.6	40.0	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.4	16.7	34.1	+0.8	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	18.3	36.6	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.4	19.7	37.1	-2.3	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.9	37.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	15.6	31.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.6	21.8	39.4	-4.2	11%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.8	17.5	33.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.8	13.0	32.8	+6.8	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.2	37.0	-1.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.3	17.9	35.2	-0.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.8	39.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	16.2	17.4	33.6	-1.2	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.6	37.0	-0.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.1	17.8	36.8	+1.3	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.7	19.6	37.3	-1.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.4	19.8	37.3	-2.4	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	19.8	38.2	-1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.8	15.1	35.9	+5.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.1	37.3	73.3	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	39.2	78.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.6	35.6	69.1	-2.0	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.6	39.6	75.2	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.4	79.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.6	34.1	67.7	-0.5	42%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	33.2	34.5	67.8	-1.2	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	37.5	73.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	37.4	36.1	73.5	+1.4	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	35.1	39.3	74.4	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	38.7	76.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	36.6	71.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	35.1	41.7	76.7	-6.6	28%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.2	37.2	71.5	-3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.5	28.1	68.6	+12.4	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.5	13.8	45.2%	50.5%	27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.8	30.4%	30.4%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	12.0	7.7	64.2%	69.6%	7.7

They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.2	56.8%	50.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.6	36.4%	30.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.4	73.8%	69.6%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	16.8	50.5%	50.5%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.4	33.7%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	13.7	9.5	69.4%	69.6%	9.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.5	53.8%	50.5%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.3	35.5%	30.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	69.6%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aktobe wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
18/01/23	Astana v Aktobe	89-71
17/01/23	Astana v Aktobe	88-78
25/11/22	Aktobe v Astana	74-53
24/11/22	Aktobe v Astana	103-71
21/04/22	Astana v Aktobe	100-32
20/04/22	Astana v Aktobe	100-58
27/12/21	Aktobe v Astana	54-79
26/12/21	Aktobe v Astana	61-77
24/12/21	Astana v Aktobe	104-58
23/12/21	Astana v Aktobe	98-59

Aktobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/23	A	Atyrau	78-84
15/03/23	A	Atyrau	57-78
06/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	84-90
05/03/23	H	Irbis Almaty	84-99
22/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	79-82
21/01/23	A	Tobol Kostanay	78-83
18/01/23	A	Astana	71-89
17/01/23	A	Astana	78-88
24/12/22	A	Atyrau	66-72
23/12/22	A	Atyrau	54-70

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	88-71
30/03/23	H	Tobol Kostanay	84-51
26/03/23	A	Minsk	69-84
22/03/23	A	Parma Perm	59-94
19/03/23	A	Enisey	67-77
16/03/23	A	Saratov	70-79
13/03/23	H	Samara	73-92
09/03/23	H	Saratov	73-80
04/03/23	H	Parma Perm	73-74
15/02/23	A	Samara	75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe

National League 2022-23

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	19%
Home	WLLLL	25%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	19%	25%	14%
Points / game	74.6	76.8	72.6
Allowed / game	79.5	80.0	79.1
Point differential	-4.9	-3.2	-6.4
Avg total	154.1	156.8	151.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	25%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Astana

National League 2022-23

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	69%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLLLW	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	10	6
Win %	69%	100%	17%
Points / game	84.6	90.8	74.2
Allowed / game	72.7	64.8	85.8
Point differential	+11.9	+26.0	-11.7
Avg total	157.2	155.6	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	62%	90%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	16	11	5	69%	84.6	72.7	+11.9
2	Atyrau	24	16	8	67%	76.7	72.4	+4.3
3	Tobol Kostanay	28	15	13	54%	78.4	84.5	-6.1
4	Irbis Almaty	26	13	13	50%	78.7	78.5	+0.2
5	Aktobe	26	5	21	19%	74.6	79.5	-4.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aktobe	15	9	11	20	55
Astana	29	27	27	24	107

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Aktobe vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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