Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022

Tip-off: 12:00

Final 102-81

22-18 27-19 30-19 23-25

Position#3

Record3-1

FormLWWLW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game83.8

Tobol Kostanay 🏆

Astana

Position#1

Record4-0

FormLWLLL

Points / game87.5

Allowed / game69.0

National League

Other2022-23

Meetings · Tobol Kostanay v Astana

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tobol Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Astana winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tobol Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

59-104

104

-45

H28/04

National League

Aktobe

70-67

A06/05

National League

Aktobe

69-72

-3

A07/05

National League

Aktobe

79-77

H10/05

National League

Aktobe

61-66 OT

-5

H11/05

National League

Aktobe

73-81

-8

A14/05

National League

Aktobe

74-72

A07/10

National League

Aktobe

98-83

+15

A08/10

National League

Atyrau

67-107

107

-40

A11/10

National League

Atyrau

83-73

+10

A12/10

National League

13-28

23-21

12-27

11-28

19-16

17-13

17-15

17-23

19-21

14-16

12-15

24-20

23-22

20-26

21-16

15-13

14-21

14-12

15-12

14-12

18-19

18-17

15-29

22-16

17-14

17-25

17-18

23-15

21-30

26-24

23-12

28-17

22-28

17-29

17-22

11-28

16-12

21-16

19-22

27-23

153.5Avg total

73.3Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.5	83.8	164.2	-3.2	75%
Season at home	no games
Season away (4)	80.5	83.8	164.2	-3.2	75%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	80.2	153.5	-6.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	83.2	162.2	-4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	66.8	85.7	152.5	-18.9	17%
vs Similar (6)	82.5	76.7	159.2	+5.8	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Astana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

92-59

+33

H29/09

National League

Atyrau

77-64

+13

H30/09

National League

Saratov

72-94

-22

A04/10

VTB United League

Irbis Almaty

82-79 OT

H06/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

99-74

+25

H07/10

National League

MBA Moscow

69-103

103

-34

H09/10

VTB United League

Parma Perm

84-72

+12

H13/10

VTB United League

Unics Kazan

54-109

109

-55

A16/10

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

60-80

-20

H23/10

VTB United League

Samara

#10

58-93

-35

A27/10

VTB United League

15-12

24-23

30-12

23-12

18-14

21-19

17-14

21-17

15-25

15-22

19-25

23-22

15-19

12-12

22-24

23-17

27-15

28-24

20-19

24-16

24-23

9-20

21-32

15-28

21-21

21-12

27-24

15-15

20-27

20-28

6-32

8-22

16-28

9-22

19-16

16-14

12-25

12-23

19-25

15-20

157.4Avg total

74.7Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	87.5	69.0	156.5	+18.5	100%
Season at home (4)	87.5	69.0	156.5	+18.5	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	74.7	82.7	157.4	-8.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	65.0	91.4	156.4	-26.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	61.7	89.3	151.0	-27.6	8%
vs Similar (1)	64.0	65.0	129.0	-1.0	0%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	92.4	57.4	149.8	+35.1	100%

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Tobol KostanayAstana

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.4	23.2	41.6	-4.8	31%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.1	24.2	43.3	-5.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (18)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.6	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.6	39.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	17.7	23.9	41.6	-6.3	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.0	37.2	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (21)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.8	20.8	38.6	-3.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.8	43.4	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	14.9	22.5	37.4	-7.5	15%	-
vs Similar (1)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.9	13.9	36.8	+9.1	88%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.8	55%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.5	21.3	37.8	-4.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.9	38.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.3	20.5	36.7	-4.2	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.0	16.7	36.7	+3.3	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (21)	19.8	15.9	35.6	+3.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.2	20.4	39.7	-1.2	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.5	37.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.2	21.0	35.2	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.5	20.8	36.2	-5.3	15%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	15.0	27.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.4	14.5	37.9	+8.9	81%	-

Tobol KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Astana

36-49

-13

H28/04

National League

Aktobe

36-29

A06/05

National League

Aktobe

33-37

-4

A07/05

National League

Aktobe

43-48

-5

H10/05

National League

Aktobe

28-33

-5

H11/05

National League

Aktobe

36-36

A14/05

National League

Aktobe

34-39

-5

A07/10

National League

Aktobe

47-54

-7

A08/10

National League

Atyrau

39-57

-18

A11/10

National League

Atyrau

37-28

A12/10

National League

77.9Avg total

36.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.4	42.9	78.3	-7.4	28%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	37.0	41.3	78.3	-4.3	36%	-
Last 30 away (18)	34.4	43.8	78.3	-9.4	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.9	41.0	77.9	-4.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	42.8	81.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	33.9	44.4	78.3	-10.5	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Astana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AstanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Atyrau

39-35

H29/09

National League

Atyrau

39-33

H30/09

National League

Saratov

30-47

-17

A04/10

VTB United League

Irbis Almaty

27-31

-4

H06/10

National League

Irbis Almaty

55-39

+16

H07/10

National League

MBA Moscow

33-43

-10

H09/10

VTB United League

Parma Perm

42-33

H13/10

VTB United League

Unics Kazan

40-55

-15

A16/10

VTB United League

Nizhny Novgorod

25-50

-25

H23/10

VTB United League

Samara

#10

24-48

-24

A27/10

VTB United League

76.8Avg total

35.4Scored

41.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	35.2	74.1	+3.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (21)	39.7	32.6	72.3	+7.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (9)	37.0	41.2	78.2	-4.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	41.4	76.8	-6.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	45.8	78.6	-13.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	30.4	43.2	73.6	-12.8	15%	-
vs Similar (1)	29.0	40.0	69.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	46.4	28.4	74.8	+18.0	94%	-

This opponent (Tobol Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.1	21.1	38.2	-4.0	34%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (18)	16.8	21.3	38.1	-4.5	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	18.8	35.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.2	21.8	38.0	-5.7	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (21)	18.9	18.3	37.2	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (9)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	25.8	44.2	-7.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.2	24.6	40.8	-8.5	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	12.0	7.0	19.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	22.4	15.2	37.6	+7.2	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	21.7	40.2	-3.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	16.1	22.3	38.4	-6.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.1	21.3	41.4	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.7	39%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.7	21.2	41.8	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.7	36.0	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (21)	19.6	16.1	35.7	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (9)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	19.8	33.6	-6.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	15.2	21.5	36.6	-6.3	23%	-
vs Similar (1)	14.0	8.0	22.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.0	13.4	36.4	+9.6	94%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	42.8	78.5	-7.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	33.7	43.2	76.9	-9.5	18%	-
Last 30 away (18)	36.9	42.6	79.4	-5.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	38.3	74.3	-2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	40.4	80.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	34.2	43.6	77.8	-9.4	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.3	39.7	81.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	35.7	74.4	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (21)	38.5	34.4	72.9	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (9)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	40.6	78.9	-2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	45.6	77.8	-13.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	31.3	46.1	77.4	-14.8	15%	-
vs Similar (1)	26.0	15.0	41.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	45.4	28.6	74.0	+16.9	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Tobol Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Astanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astana: 55.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers27.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws7.7 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game

49%

33%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.5	13.8	45.2%	50.5%	27.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	6.8	30.4%	30.4%	20.4
🏀 Free throws	12.0	7.7	64.2%	69.6%	7.7

They take 52.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.8	19.2	56.8%	50.5%	38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	9.6	36.4%	30.4%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.1	10.4	73.8%	69.6%	10.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	16.8	50.5%	50.5%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.4	33.7%	30.4%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	13.7	9.5	69.4%	69.6%	9.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	19.5	53.8%	50.5%	39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.3	35.5%	30.4%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.8	75.4%	69.6%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Tobol Kostanay wins

Astana wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	59-104
26/04/22	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	101-60
25/04/22	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	95-69
20/01/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-105
19/01/22	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	60-102
13/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	112-49
12/12/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	107-48
23/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	54-94
22/10/21	Tobol Kostanay v Astana	50-100
07/04/21	Astana v Tobol Kostanay	0-20

Tobol Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/10/22	A	Atyrau	83-73
11/10/22	A	Atyrau	67-107
08/10/22	A	Aktobe	98-83
07/10/22	A	Aktobe	74-72
14/05/22	A	Aktobe	73-81
11/05/22	H	Aktobe	61-66 OT
10/05/22	H	Aktobe	79-77
07/05/22	A	Aktobe	69-72
06/05/22	A	Aktobe	70-67
28/04/22	H	Astana	59-104

Astanalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/22	A	Samara	58-93
23/10/22	H	Nizhny Novgorod	60-80
16/10/22	A	Unics Kazan	54-109
13/10/22	H	Parma Perm	84-72
09/10/22	H	MBA Moscow	69-103
07/10/22	H	Irbis Almaty	99-74
06/10/22	H	Irbis Almaty	82-79 OT
04/10/22	A	Saratov	72-94
30/09/22	H	Atyrau	77-64
29/09/22	H	Atyrau	92-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tobol Kostanay

National League 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLW	75%
Home	-	-
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	-	4
Win %	75%	-	75%
Points / game	80.5	-	80.5
Allowed / game	83.8	-	83.8
Point differential	-3.2	-	-3.2
Avg total	164.2	-	164.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	-	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Astana

National League 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	4	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	87.5	87.5	-
Allowed / game	69.0	69.0	-
Point differential	+18.5	+18.5	-
Avg total	156.5	156.5	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	75%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	25%	25%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Astana	4	4	0	100%	87.5	69.0	+18.5
2	Tobol Kostanay	4	3	1	75%	80.5	83.8	-3.2
3	Atyrau	7	3	4	43%	77.7	77.4	+0.3
4	Aktobe	6	2	4	33%	79.2	77.7	+1.5
5	Irbis Almaty	5	1	4	20%	72.8	87.2	-14.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Tobol Kostanay	22	27	30	23	102
Astana	18	19	19	25	81

← all games of the day

Tobol Kostanay vs Astana Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature