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Aktobe vs Kaspiy Aktau Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#6
Record8-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game75.1
KazakhstanNational League· SP Qonys
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau
23 Jan 2025
AKTO v KASP
upcoming
22 Jan 2025
AKTO v KASP
upcoming
27 Oct 2023
AKTO89
KASP75
26 Oct 2023
AKTO85
KASP74
14 Apr 2022
AKTO56
KASP52
13 Apr 2022
AKTO74
KASP80
31 Mar 2021
AKTO69
KASP67
30 Mar 2021
AKTO71
KASP59
21 Dec 2020
AKTO75
KASP99
20 Dec 2020
AKTO75
KASP88
30 Oct 2019
AKTO78
KASP56
29 Oct 2019
AKTO80
KASP70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aktobe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktobe
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
81-109
81
109
-28
77avg 77
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
82-85
82
85
-3
71avg 77
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
94-68
94
68
+26
95avg 77
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
71-92
71
92
-21
59avg 77
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 77
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 77
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
63-67
63
67
-4
60avg 77
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
62avg 77
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 77
H24/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
30-23
23-29
13-29
26-21
16-23
20-22
20-19
26-15
18-22
19-22
13-22
17-15
20-21
30-16
27-16
18-22
10-17
18-26
25-27
20-18
16-16
16-24
18-25
14-15
13-28
19-25
26-25
19-8
23-16
14-24
7-19
16-26
19-16
20-16
15-20
18-16
18-25
15-15
22-22
158.6Avg total
75.2Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.183.6160.7-6.421%
Season at home (10)77.680.1157.7-2.530%
Season away (4)76.092.2168.2-16.20%
Last 10 (10)75.283.4158.6-8.210%
Last 5 (5)69.679.8149.4-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.283.5162.7-4.429%
vs Similar (10)86.082.6168.6+3.470%
vs Weaker (3)74.772.7147.3+2.033%
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 67
H03/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
83-70
83
70
+13
91avg 67
H04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
64avg 67
A16/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
70-62
70
62
+8
66avg 67
A17/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
60-98
60
98
-38
no box
A21/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A22/12
National League
Almaty
#4
L
72-74
72
74
-2
71avg 67
H05/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
91-68
91
68
+23
105avg 67
H06/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
63-75
63
75
-12
58avg 67
H13/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
55-71
55
71
-16
46avg 67
H14/01
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
17-10
26-18
27-25
18-20
16-16
24-16
25-18
16-14
13-22
21-25
19-25
22-7
15-21
15-17
18-17
16-20
12-30
11-20
21-28
23-25
17-32
18-12
12-18
24-16
15-18
17-19
16-21
22-17
29-16
20-18
20-17
20-23
15-12
15-18
13-22
12-19
15-20
13-19
15-13
148.7Avg total
72.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.175.1147.2-3.040%
Season at home (10)75.872.9148.7+2.950%
Season away (10)68.477.3145.7-8.930%
Last 10 (10)72.576.2148.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)70.275.0145.2-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.987.1155.0-19.114%
vs Similar (12)74.477.5151.9-3.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)78.572.2150.8+6.275%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
AktobeKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A05/11
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H09/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H10/11
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A03/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H08/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H09/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H23/12
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/12
National League
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.881.3-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.740.780.3-1.039%-
Last 30 away (12)41.841.082.8+0.842%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.241.781.9-1.529%-
vs Similar (10)41.242.183.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)40.031.371.3+8.767%-
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aktobe
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A16/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A17/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A21/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A22/12
National League
Almaty
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H05/01
National League
Almaty
#4
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H06/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H13/01
National League
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H14/01
National League
73.5Avg total
35.9Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.240.674.8-6.530%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.838.574.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)32.542.875.3-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)35.937.673.5-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.144.076.1-11.97%-
vs Similar (12)36.339.675.9-3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)34.832.066.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Aktobe wins
4
Kaspiy Aktau wins
DateGameScore
04/12/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe83-70
03/12/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe92-71
06/03/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe58-89
05/03/24Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe81-99
27/10/23Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau89-75
26/10/23Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau85-74
14/04/22Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau56-52
13/04/22Aktobe v Kaspiy Aktau74-80
09/12/21Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe63-65
08/12/21Kaspiy Aktau v Aktobe64-61
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HTobol Kostanay73-78
23/12/24HTobol Kostanay70-78
09/12/24HPavlodar63-67
08/12/24HPavlodar72-93
04/12/24AKaspiy Aktau70-83
03/12/24AKaspiy Aktau71-92
10/11/24HAstana 294-68
09/11/24HAstana 276-81
06/11/24ATobol Kostanay82-85
05/11/24ATobol Kostanay81-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/25HTobol Kostanay55-71
13/01/25HTobol Kostanay63-75
06/01/25HAlmaty91-68
05/01/25HAlmaty72-74
22/12/24AAstana 270-87
21/12/24AAstana 260-98
17/12/24APavlodar70-62
16/12/24APavlodar69-86
04/12/24HAktobe83-70
03/12/24HAktobe92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aktobe
National League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL30%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %21%30%0%
Points / game77.177.676.0
Allowed / game83.680.192.2
Point differential-6.4-2.5-16.2
Avg total160.7157.7168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL40%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game72.175.868.4
Allowed / game75.172.977.3
Point differential-3.0+2.9-8.9
Avg total147.2148.7145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay1614288%84.973.9+11.1
2 Irbis Almaty1612475%81.568.9+12.6
3 Almaty1712571%82.678.2+4.5
4 Atyrau1711665%82.376.7+5.6
5 Kaspiy Aktau2081240%72.175.1-3.0
6 Astana 21871139%75.578.8-3.3
7 Aktobe1431121%77.183.6-6.4
8 Pavlodar2231914%70.485.9-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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