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Pavlodar vs Kaspiy Aktau Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 62-70
7-22 21-15 17-15 17-18
Position#8
Record3-10
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#6
Record6-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game74.4
KazakhstanNational League· Scysor No
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pavlodar v Kaspiy Aktau
17 Dec 2024
PAVL62
KASP70
16 Dec 2024
PAVL86
KASP69
19 Nov 2023
PAVL77
KASP85
18 Nov 2023
PAVL74
KASP96
10 Apr 2023
PAVL60
KASP61
19 Nov 2022
PAVL70
KASP47
24 Oct 2022
PAVL77
KASP73
01 Dec 2017
PAVL64
KASP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pavlodar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kaspiy Aktau winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PavlodarKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPavlodar
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
72-111
72
111
-39
55avg 62
H23/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
65-80
65
80
-15
58avg 62
A01/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
61avg 62
A02/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
57-66
57
66
-9
57avg 62
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
50avg 62
H06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
66-89
66
89
-23
53avg 62
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
62-71
62
71
-9
49avg 62
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
93-72
93
72
+21
98avg 62
A08/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
67-63
67
63
+4
66avg 62
A09/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
86-69
86
69
+17
79avg 62
H16/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-38
26-31
21-23
14-19
18-30
18-14
19-17
10-19
16-18
16-20
20-26
14-16
11-13
14-18
13-20
19-15
9-23
15-25
15-31
17-19
15-20
19-22
18-30
14-17
14-23
10-13
18-10
20-25
15-14
28-13
25-19
25-26
8-19
16-23
24-14
19-7
14-16
22-13
25-21
25-19
148.9Avg total
69.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)69.382.8152.2-13.523%
Season at home (9)67.886.9154.7-19.111%
Season away (4)72.873.8146.5-1.050%
Last 10 (10)69.079.9148.9-10.930%
Last 5 (5)74.872.8147.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)70.790.4161.0-19.711%
vs Similar (2)78.586.0164.5-7.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAktau
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
71-56
71
56
+15
74avg 66
H20/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
45avg 66
A26/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
68-70
68
70
-2
62avg 66
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
53-65
53
65
-12
48avg 66
A30/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
69-74
69
74
-5
55avg 66
A31/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
72avg 66
H11/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
76-78
76
78
-2
75avg 66
H12/11
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
92-71
92
71
+21
94avg 66
H03/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
83-70
83
70
+13
91avg 66
H04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
69-86
69
86
-17
64avg 66
A16/12
National League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-7
15-16
18-17
19-16
10-25
16-17
11-20
21-14
21-13
12-18
14-25
21-14
15-18
8-16
11-18
19-13
16-10
13-14
21-17
19-33
15-17
17-23
15-20
26-25
20-16
15-28
15-24
26-10
22-18
17-10
26-18
27-25
18-20
16-16
24-16
25-18
16-14
13-22
21-25
19-25
144.3Avg total
71.2Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.974.4148.3-0.546%
Season at home (6)79.573.5153.0+6.067%
Season away (7)69.175.1144.3-6.029%
Last 10 (10)71.273.1144.3-1.930%
Last 5 (5)78.678.0156.6+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)69.588.4157.9-18.916%
vs Similar (8)75.075.4150.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)81.375.7157.0+5.767%
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.9+2.9
PavlodarKaspiy Aktau
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PavlodarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tobol Kostanay
#2
L
37-69
37
69
-32
H23/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A01/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A02/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H05/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
24-48
24
48
-24
H06/11
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H01/12
National League
Astana 2
#3
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H02/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A08/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
24-42
24
42
-18
A09/12
National League
Kaspiy Aktau
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H16/12
National League
72.1Avg total
31.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.546.180.6-11.510%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.947.881.7-13.96%-
Last 30 away (14)35.344.179.4-8.814%-
Last 10 (10)31.540.672.1-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.235.267.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)34.146.780.9-12.67%-
vs Similar (2)40.037.077.0+3.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kaspiy Aktau) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Kaspiy AktauLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana 2
#3
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H20/10
National League
Almaty
#4
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A26/10
National League
Almaty
#4
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A27/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A30/10
National League
Irbis Almaty
#1
W
29-24
29
24
+5
A31/10
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H11/11
National League
Atyrau
#5
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H12/11
National League
Aktobe
#7
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H03/12
National League
Aktobe
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H04/12
National League
Pavlodar
#8
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A16/12
National League
65.2Avg total
31.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.541.875.4-8.320%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.541.576.9-6.031%-
Last 30 away (17)32.142.174.2-10.112%-
Last 10 (10)31.433.865.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.870.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)32.944.977.9-12.05%-
vs Similar (8)34.837.672.4-2.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.033.367.3+0.733%-
This opponent (Pavlodar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pavlodar wins
7
Kaspiy Aktau wins
Pavlodarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HKaspiy Aktau86-69
09/12/24AAktobe67-63
08/12/24AAktobe93-72
02/12/24HAstana 262-71
01/12/24HAstana 266-89
06/11/24HAtyrau56-98
05/11/24HAtyrau57-66
02/11/24AAtyrau66-80
01/11/24AAtyrau65-80
23/10/24HTobol Kostanay72-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24APavlodar69-86
04/12/24HAktobe83-70
03/12/24HAktobe92-71
12/11/24HAtyrau76-78
11/11/24HAtyrau73-85
31/10/24AIrbis Almaty69-74
30/10/24AIrbis Almaty53-65
27/10/24AAlmaty68-70
26/10/24AAlmaty58-76
20/10/24HAstana 271-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pavlodar
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW23%
HomeLLLLW11%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %23%11%50%
Points / game69.367.872.8
Allowed / game82.886.973.8
Point differential-13.5-19.1-1.0
Avg total152.2154.7146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%11%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kaspiy Aktau
National League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL46%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game73.979.569.1
Allowed / game74.473.575.1
Point differential-0.5+6.0-6.0
Avg total148.3153.0144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tobol Kostanay108280%88.177.7+10.4
2 Irbis Almaty97278%77.663.4+14.1
3 Atyrau1410471%82.774.8+7.9
4 Almaty117464%80.576.6+3.8
5 Kaspiy Aktau136746%73.974.4-0.5
6 Astana 21441029%71.680.5-8.9
7 Aktobe123925%78.184.5-6.4
8 Pavlodar1331023%69.382.8-13.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pavlodar721171762
Kaspiy Aktau2215151870
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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