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Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-76
21-23 20-16 15-24 19-13
Position#3
Record15-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game72.2
vs
Position#1
Record16-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game65.8
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 18· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Ittihad
15 Mar 2025
AL A75
AL I76
12 Mar 2025
AL A79
AL I54
26 Dec 2024
AL A88
AL I68
21 Mar 2024
AL A81
AL I80
27 Jan 2024
AL A88
AL I80
30 Dec 2022
AL A85
AL I84
15 Dec 2022
AL A79
AL I99
17 Jan 2022
AL A87
AL I108
11 Jan 2021
AL A60
AL I63
05 Jan 2019
AL A75
AL I73
13 Jan 2018
AL A78
AL I46
28 Dec 2017
AL A91
AL I92
12 Apr 2017
AL A58
AL I69
26 Jan 2017
AL A51
AL I67
26 May 2016
AL A63
AL I65
23 May 2016
AL A68
AL I73
11 Feb 2016
AL A64
AL I77
12 Mar 2015
AL A62
AL I71
25 Nov 2014
AL A83
AL I63
03 Jan 2014
AL A88
AL I71
30 Nov 2013
AL A73
AL I100
21 Mar 2013
AL A75
AL I49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ittihad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#6
L
97-100 OT
97
100
-3
no box
H10/02
WASL
Al Hala
#8
W
107-81
107
81
+26
no box
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
69-75
69
75
-6
no box
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
127-54
127
54
+73
133avg 80
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
95-78
95
78
+17
94avg 80
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
W
91-87
91
87
+4
79avg 80
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
81-66
81
66
+15
66avg 80
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
79-54
79
54
+25
no box
H12/03
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
63avg 80
H13/03
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
26-25
25-23
21-23
30-10
29-21
27-17
21-33
16-18
30-18
12-19
11-20
36-9
31-22
32-13
28-10
29-15
22-19
25-22
19-22
19-21
17-24
26-13
29-29
14-19
22-20
19-13
12-18
17-17
25-16
20-17
19-16
16-12
30-9
20-18
13-15
19-26
29-15
17-24
17-23
164.8Avg total
89.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)95.572.2167.7+23.288%
Season at home (8)98.675.8174.4+22.988%
Season away (9)92.769.1161.8+23.689%
Last 10 (10)89.575.3164.8+14.260%
Last 5 (5)80.073.0153.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.986.9165.7-8.029%
vs Similar ◀ (6)80.786.2166.8-5.517%
vs Weaker (17)90.169.2159.4+20.988%
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIttihad
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
W
96-87
96
87
+9
no box
A04/02
WASL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H07/02
Premier League
Al Ahli
#5
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
H07/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
W
64-63
64
63
+1
no box
H11/02
WASL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A01/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/03
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
57-82
57
82
-25
no box
H06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
115-46
115
46
+69
no box
H07/03
Premier League
Al Qadsia
#5
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
A11/03
WASL
Al Ahli
#5
L
54-79
54
79
-25
no box
A12/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
30-22
23-21
22-27
19-20
21-7
22-20
31-24
23-13
13-26
9-21
12-16
19-15
11-16
16-18
18-14
24-24
17-18
15-23
14-22
11-26
19-16
30-23
24-22
13-27
9-20
18-17
17-18
29-13
29-8
32-13
25-12
17-22
21-16
18-26
13-18
12-16
9-30
18-20
15-13
151.9Avg total
75.9Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.465.8156.2+24.694%
Season at home (9)92.366.9159.2+25.4100%
Season away (8)88.264.6152.9+23.688%
Last 10 (10)75.976.0151.9-0.140%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.287.1156.3-17.918%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.876.8151.6-2.040%
vs Weaker (8)97.959.2157.1+38.6100%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.5+0.5
Al AhliAl Ittihad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Manama
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/02
WASL
Al Hala
#8
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H28/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A03/03
WASL
Ohod
#9
W
67-31
67
31
+36
A03/03
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A05/03
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A07/03
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A08/03
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H10/03
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H12/03
Premier League
Al Arabi
#2
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H13/03
QBL
82.8Avg total
47.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.637.680.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.936.979.8+6.164%-
Last 30 away (16)42.238.280.4+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)47.435.482.8+12.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.877.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.343.480.7-6.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.042.083.0-1.067%-
vs Weaker (17)45.333.678.9+11.782%-
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A04/02
WASL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H07/02
Premier League
Al Ahli
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H07/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H11/02
WASL
Al Muharraq
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A01/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/03
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
58-21
58
21
+37
H07/03
Premier League
Al Qadsia
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
WASL
Al Ahli
#5
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A12/03
Premier League
73.9Avg total
36.7Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.878.5-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.536.575.0+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.842.781.5-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)36.737.273.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.872.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.644.579.2-9.918%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (8)47.232.279.5+15.088%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.624.8
55.6%
50.2%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.5
33.9%
30.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
67.8%14.4
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ittihadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ittihad: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.4
53.4%
50.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.0
28.7%
30.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.113.9
65.9%
67.8%13.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LWWLWWWLWL
Al Ittihad
LLWLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#1
+19.7
Net rating
+9.6
113.8
Offensive rating
101.9
94.1
Defensive rating
92.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
49.1%
44.0%
Opp. effective FG%
45.7%
15.8%
Turnover %
18.7%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
28.7%
54.7%
Assist %
63.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 101.9Defence94.1 · 92.3Shooting53.9% · 49.1%3-point %33.9% · 28.7%Ball care15.8% · 18.7%Off. rebounds31.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Ittihad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Al Ahli wins
1
Al Ittihad wins
DateGameScore
12/03/25Al Ahli v Al Ittihad79-54
07/02/25Al Ittihad v Al Ahli57-76
27/12/24Al Ittihad v Al Ahli87-81
26/12/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad88-68
21/03/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad81-80
27/01/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad88-80
01/01/24Al Ittihad v Al Ahli65-83
04/11/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli78-85
28/05/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli81-100
13/01/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli85-89
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25HAl Arabi82-88
12/03/25HAl Ittihad79-54
10/03/25HAl Gharafa81-66
08/03/25AAl Muharraq67-70
07/03/25AAl Nasr91-87
05/03/25AQatar Sports95-78
03/03/25AOhod127-54
03/03/25AAl Manama69-75
28/02/25HAl Hala107-81
10/02/25HAl Manama97-100 OT
Al Ittihadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AAl Ahli54-79
11/03/25AAl Qadsia69-82
07/03/25HOhod115-46
06/03/25HAl Manama57-82
03/03/25AAlUla84-87
01/03/25AAl Muharraq70-87
11/02/25HKuwait SC64-63
07/02/25HAl Ahli57-76
07/02/25HAl-Fateh93-71
04/02/25AKuwait SC96-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %88%88%89%
Points / game95.598.692.7
Allowed / game72.275.869.1
Point differential+23.2+22.9+23.6
Avg total167.7174.4161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%88%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ittihad
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game90.492.388.2
Allowed / game65.866.964.6
Point differential+24.6+25.4+23.6
Avg total156.2159.2152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%67%88%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ittihad1716194%90.465.8+24.6
2 AlUla1816289%102.875.3+27.4
3 Al Ahli1715288%95.572.2+23.2
4 Al Nasr1811761%93.684.1+9.6
5 Al-Fateh1881044%78.384.2-5.9
6 Al Khaleej1871139%70.476.0-5.6
7 Al Salam1861233%76.684.5-7.9
8 Al Safa of Safwa1851328%73.087.4-14.4
9 Ohod1831517%70.2100.9-30.7
10 Al Khowildiah1821611%69.787.3-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2120151975
Al Ittihad2316241376
← all games of the day
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