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Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 87-81
27-10 15-23 20-23 25-25
Position#1
Record8-0
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game66.5
Al Ittihad 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Al Ahli
Saudi Arabia
Position#3
Record8-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game72.0
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 9· Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ittihad v Al Ahli
07 Feb 2025
AL I57
AL A76
27 Dec 2024
AL I87
AL A81
01 Jan 2024
AL I65
AL A83
04 Nov 2023
AL I78
AL A85
28 May 2023
AL I81
AL A100
13 Jan 2023
AL I85
AL A89
30 Sep 2022
AL I69
AL A74
25 Oct 2021
AL I75
AL A73
13 Oct 2021
AL I76
AL A90
22 Mar 2021
AL I81
AL A79
26 Dec 2020
AL I79
AL A107
03 Feb 2019
AL I72
AL A77
27 Nov 2018
AL I54
AL A66
24 Oct 2018
AL I69
AL A79
22 Mar 2018
AL I86
AL A92
26 Oct 2017
AL I64
AL A70
11 Apr 2017
AL I79
AL A80
07 Apr 2017
AL I77
AL A76
19 May 2016
AL I73
AL A86
12 May 2016
AL I76
AL A73
03 Dec 2015
AL I83
AL A88
18 Dec 2014
AL I70
AL A68
01 Mar 2014
AL I59
AL A47
16 Dec 2012
AL I73
AL A55
10 Dec 2012
AL I42
AL A61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ittihad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al IttihadSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIttihad
Date
Competition
Al Qadsia
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 78
A06/11
WASL
Al Nasr
#4
W
82-62
82
62
+20
84avg 78
H02/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
no box
A06/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
66-67
66
67
-1
no box
H09/12
WASL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
A13/12
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
no box
A13/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
W
67-64
67
64
+3
no box
H16/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
91-55
91
55
+36
no box
A20/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
68-94
68
94
-26
no box
H20/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#5
L
68-88
68
88
-20
no box
A26/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
29-25
19-17
21-28
19-17
29-12
13-21
21-12
26-23
26-16
23-11
20-11
15-21
18-14
15-13
18-19
20-18
12-20
20-15
28-15
16-24
23-21
17-22
17-29
22-16
16-18
11-19
18-11
16-20
28-7
28-14
19-14
14-24
17-27
15-16
22-27
16-19
17-24
19-22
16-23
151.9Avg total
77.3Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.266.5150.8+17.8100%
Season at home (4)83.272.0155.2+11.2100%
Season away (4)85.261.0146.2+24.2100%
Last 10 (10)77.374.6151.9+2.750%
Last 5 (5)73.479.4152.8-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.787.1155.8-18.420%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.678.4159.0+2.345%
vs Weaker (9)89.267.4156.7+21.8100%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 79
A07/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 79
H12/12
QBL
AlUla
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 79
A13/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
96-65
96
65
+31
88avg 79
H16/12
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 79
H16/12
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
H16/12
WASL
Al Nasr
#4
W
113-103
113
103
+10
110avg 79
H20/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 79
A25/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H26/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
6-21
22-22
24-26
22-16
20-16
23-14
32-22
23-16
24-15
21-20
17-29
20-11
26-16
23-11
27-27
18-21
18-19
23-25
15-18
16-12
17-17
23-17
7-31
24-12
31-17
35-35
23-39
24-14
16-23
18-25
24-18
19-19
19-25
23-19
21-29
19-16
24-17
22-19
23-16
166.1Avg total
85.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)94.472.0166.4+22.4100%
Season at home (5)101.673.0174.6+28.6100%
Season away (3)82.370.3152.7+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.880.3166.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)85.684.0169.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.386.2163.5-8.920%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.682.0164.6+0.650%
vs Weaker (12)90.968.8159.7+22.2100%
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
Al IttihadAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al IttihadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Qadsia
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A06/11
WASL
Al Nasr
#4
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H02/12
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A06/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/12
WASL
Al-Fateh
#5
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A13/12
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A13/12
Premier League
AlUla
#2
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H16/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A20/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H20/12
Premier League
Al Ahli
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A26/12
Premier League
78.0Avg total
39.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.879.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.638.781.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.077.2-0.833%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.778.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.077.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.844.178.9-9.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.738.178.8+2.645%-
vs Weaker (9)46.233.980.1+12.389%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/12
QBL
AlUla
#2
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/12
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H16/12
WASL
Al Nasr
#4
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H20/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/12
Premier League
75.3Avg total
41.2Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.137.580.6+5.670%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.836.681.4+8.276%-
Last 30 away (13)40.938.779.6+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)41.234.175.3+7.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.834.476.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.942.682.5-2.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.137.478.5+3.862%-
vs Weaker (12)47.233.380.5+13.892%-
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ittihadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ittihad: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.4
53.4%
50.2%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.0
28.7%
30.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.113.9
65.9%
67.8%13.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.6
55.0%
50.2%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.0
33.2%
30.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.913.5
67.8%
67.8%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ittihad
LLWWLWLWWL
Al Ahli
WLWWLLWWWL
#1
League position
#3
+9.6
Net rating
+10.5
101.9
Offensive rating
108.5
92.3
Defensive rating
98.0
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.7%
3-point %
33.2%
63.3%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 108.5Defence92.3 · 98.0Shooting49.1% · 53.2%3-point %28.7% · 33.2%Ball care18.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds32.2% · 25.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Al Ittihad   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Al Ittihad wins
9
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
26/12/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad88-68
21/03/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad81-80
27/01/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad88-80
01/01/24Al Ittihad v Al Ahli65-83
04/11/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli78-85
28/05/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli81-100
13/01/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli85-89
30/12/22Al Ahli v Al Ittihad85-84 OT
15/12/22Al Ahli v Al Ittihad79-99
30/09/22Al Ittihad v Al Ahli69-74
Al Ittihadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24AAl Ahli68-88
20/12/24HAl Manama68-94
20/12/24AOhod91-55
16/12/24HAlUla67-64
13/12/24AAl Muharraq73-96
13/12/24AAl-Fateh80-68
09/12/24HAl Manama66-67
06/12/24AAl Khowildiah95-61
02/12/24HAl Nasr82-62
06/11/24AAl Qadsia83-91
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/24HAl Ittihad88-68
25/12/24AAl Shamal82-92
21/12/24HAl Hala82-80
20/12/24HAl Nasr113-103
16/12/24HKuwait SC63-77
16/12/24HAl-Rayyan74-83
16/12/24HOhod96-65
13/12/24AAlUla85-80
12/12/24HAl Wakrah97-68
07/12/24AAl Sadd78-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ittihad
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.283.285.2
Allowed / game66.572.061.0
Point differential+17.8+11.2+24.2
Avg total150.8155.2146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.4101.682.3
Allowed / game72.073.070.3
Point differential+22.4+28.6+12.0
Avg total166.4174.6152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahli880100%94.472.0+22.4
2 Al Ittihad880100%84.266.5+17.8
3 AlUla86275%97.069.6+27.4
4 Al Nasr86275%95.880.9+14.9
5 Al Safa of Safwa83538%70.483.2-12.9
6 Al Salam93633%78.980.1-1.2
7 Al-Fateh93633%77.882.4-4.7
8 Al Khaleej93633%69.178.9-9.8
9 Ohod92722%73.398.1-24.8
10 Al Khowildiah8080%65.289.2-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ittihad2715202587
Al Ahli1023232581
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