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Al Ahli vs Al Ittihad Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-80
16-16 22-17 27-21 16-26
Position#3
Record16-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game73.5
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Position#2
Record18-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game77.2
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 22· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Ittihad
15 Mar 2025
AL A75
AL I76
12 Mar 2025
AL A79
AL I54
26 Dec 2024
AL A88
AL I68
21 Mar 2024
AL A81
AL I80
27 Jan 2024
AL A88
AL I80
30 Dec 2022
AL A85
AL I84
15 Dec 2022
AL A79
AL I99
17 Jan 2022
AL A87
AL I108
11 Jan 2021
AL A60
AL I63
05 Jan 2019
AL A75
AL I73
13 Jan 2018
AL A78
AL I46
28 Dec 2017
AL A91
AL I92
12 Apr 2017
AL A58
AL I69
26 Jan 2017
AL A51
AL I67
26 May 2016
AL A63
AL I65
23 May 2016
AL A68
AL I73
11 Feb 2016
AL A64
AL I77
12 Mar 2015
AL A62
AL I71
25 Nov 2014
AL A83
AL I63
03 Jan 2014
AL A88
AL I71
30 Nov 2013
AL A73
AL I100
21 Mar 2013
AL A75
AL I49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ittihad winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
105avg 79
H02/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
90-62
90
62
+28
79avg 79
A05/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
83-91
83
91
-8
64avg 79
A12/02
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
77-58
77
58
+19
no box
A06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
58avg 79
A08/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
101-56
101
56
+45
110avg 79
H11/03
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
no box
A14/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
73-58
73
58
+15
67avg 79
A15/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
78avg 79
H18/03
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
L
73-86
73
86
-13
no box
A21/03
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
26-26
25-18
28-32
17-26
26-12
26-11
21-13
16-24
19-20
30-15
18-32
26-12
18-19
19-16
14-11
24-16
18-17
12-26
14-14
29-14
28-18
26-16
18-8
25-19
12-23
16-24
25-12
20-14
15-10
20-15
18-19
19-28
17-24
24-26
26-20
15-19
27-18
15-23
16-26
159.9Avg total
84.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.373.5161.8+14.876%
Season at home (10)93.577.6171.1+15.970%
Season away (11)83.569.8153.4+13.782%
Last 10 (10)84.275.7159.9+8.560%
Last 5 (5)84.076.0160.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.089.5171.5-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.975.9157.8+6.067%
vs Weaker (17)93.466.6160.1+26.894%
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIttihad
Date
Competition
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
58-101
58
101
-43
51avg 79
A14/02
WASL
Al Shorta
#13
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 79
A06/03
WASL
Al Manama
#1
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H06/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
108-67
108
67
+41
123avg 79
A08/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
90avg 79
H11/03
Premier League
Al Shorta
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
86avg 79
H13/03
WASL
Al Muharraq
#5
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
A15/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
42avg 79
A15/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
92avg 79
H18/03
Premier League
Al Shorta
#13
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 79
A20/03
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
5-25
11-25
15-27
25-23
14-25
25-15
9-26
25-26
18-19
14-15
26-17
30-10
30-14
25-16
23-27
29-24
23-17
25-9
11-22
21-18
24-13
25-13
21-36
8-14
19-15
21-19
14-25
16-12
12-26
16-26
15-21
21-17
21-14
15-19
33-16
25-21
17-14
5-24
23-17
156.8Avg total
78.2Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.677.2166.9+12.486%
Season at home (11)89.076.2165.2+12.891%
Season away (10)90.378.4168.7+11.980%
Last 10 (10)78.278.6156.8-0.450%
Last 5 (5)74.476.0150.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.386.0159.3-12.729%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.881.9167.7+3.955%
vs Weaker (12)96.476.4172.8+20.092%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
Al AhliAl Ittihad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#9
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H02/02
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A05/02
Premier League
Kuwait SC
#3
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/02
WASL
Al Hala
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A06/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H11/03
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A15/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H18/03
Premier League
Al Manama
#1
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A21/03
Premier League
79.8Avg total
42.2Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)44.336.080.4+8.369%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.937.385.2+10.667%-
Last 30 away (17)41.835.176.9+6.771%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.679.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.437.478.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.545.284.8-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.738.276.9+0.444%-
vs Weaker (16)48.832.581.2+16.294%-
This opponent (Al Ittihad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al IttihadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sagesse Beirut
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A14/02
WASL
Al Shorta
#13
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/03
WASL
Al Manama
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H06/03
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
W
60-24
60
24
+36
A08/03
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H11/03
Premier League
Al Shorta
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H13/03
WASL
Al Muharraq
#5
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A15/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/03
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H18/03
Premier League
Al Shorta
#13
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A20/03
WASL
78.1Avg total
41.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.239.885.0+5.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.941.488.3+5.562%-
Last 30 away (17)43.938.682.5+5.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.178.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.832.869.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.644.979.4-10.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.740.985.6+3.855%-
vs Weaker (12)51.835.887.7+16.083%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.723.9
53.5%
53.6%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.1
31.7%
32.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws14.89.4
63.5%
68.3%9.4
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ittihadtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ittihad: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
53.6%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.0
31.6%
32.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.611.9
64.0%
68.3%11.9
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLWWWLWLWW
Al Ittihad
LWLLWWWWLL
#3
League position
#2
+15.7
Net rating
+6.0
111.5
Offensive rating
103.1
95.8
Defensive rating
97.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
12.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.7%
3-point %
31.6%
55.5%
Assist %
65.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 103.1Defence95.8 · 97.1Shooting51.2% · 50.6%3-point %31.7% · 31.6%Ball care12.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.8% · 31.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Ittihad
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al Ahli wins
3
Al Ittihad wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Al Ahli v Al Ittihad88-80
01/01/24Al Ittihad v Al Ahli65-83
04/11/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli78-85
28/05/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli81-100
13/01/23Al Ittihad v Al Ahli85-89
30/12/22Al Ahli v Al Ittihad85-84 OT
15/12/22Al Ahli v Al Ittihad79-99
30/09/22Al Ittihad v Al Ahli69-74
17/01/22Al Ahli v Al Ittihad87-108
25/10/21Al Ittihad v Al Ahli75-73
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24AAl Manama73-86
18/03/24HAl-Hilal86-98
15/03/24AAl Nasr73-58
14/03/24AAl Najma87-82 OT
11/03/24HAl Wehda101-56
08/03/24AOhod68-73
06/03/24AAl Hala77-58
12/02/24AKuwait SC83-91
05/02/24AAl Safa of Safwa90-62
02/02/24HAl Salam104-93
Al Ittihadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24AAl Shorta70-76
18/03/24HAl Nasr90-66
15/03/24AAl-Hilal59-85
15/03/24AAl Muharraq62-73
13/03/24HAl Shorta91-80
11/03/24HOhod88-72
08/03/24AAl Wehda108-67
06/03/24HAl Manama83-77
06/03/24AAl Shorta73-89
14/02/24ASagesse Beirut58-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL76%
HomeWWWWL70%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %76%70%82%
Points / game88.393.583.5
Allowed / game73.577.669.8
Point differential+14.8+15.9+13.7
Avg total161.8171.1153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%70%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ittihad
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %86%91%80%
Points / game89.689.090.3
Allowed / game77.276.278.4
Point differential+12.4+12.8+11.9
Avg total166.9165.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%55%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Hilal2118386%99.277.9+21.3
2 Al Ittihad2118386%89.677.2+12.4
3 Al Ahli2116576%88.373.5+14.8
4 Al Nasr2116576%86.674.9+11.7
5 Ohod2113862%85.981.1+4.8
6 Al-Fateh21111052%91.682.9+8.7
7 Al Wehda2191243%84.284.7-0.5
8 Al Salam2181338%73.681.0-7.4
9 Al Khaleej2171433%80.085.0-5.1
10 Al Safa of Safwa2171433%80.588.5-8.0
11 Dbae2131814%72.5100.0-27.5
12 Al Taawon210210%69.494.5-25.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1622271681
Al Ittihad1617212680
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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