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Al Ahli vs Al Khaleej Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-68
27-12 25-17 20-19 20-20
Position#3
Record8-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game78.0
Al Ahli 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Position#10
Record4-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game82.6
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 13· Al-Ahli Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Khaleej
18 Oct 2024
AL A98
AL K61
12 Jan 2024
AL A92
AL K68
25 Feb 2014
AL A104
AL K22
15 Nov 2012
AL A77
AL K69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Khaleej winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
85-62
85
62
+23
77avg 77
A26/12
QBL
Al-Hilal
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
72avg 77
A29/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 77
H30/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#2
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 77
A01/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 77
A02/01
QBL
ISSA Town
#10
W
112-86
112
86
+26
no box
A02/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#7
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 77
H06/01
QBL
Bahrain U18
#11
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H08/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
W
89-84
89
84
+5
78avg 77
A09/01
WASL
Bahrain Club
#9
W
125-62
125
62
+63
no box
H12/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
19-11
23-10
21-22
22-30
23-18
22-20
19-15
22-18
18-12
29-17
17-27
25-16
22-15
18-16
18-18
19-15
13-15
21-17
24-22
32-21
28-21
28-23
24-21
20-19
21-25
22-15
24-15
–
–
–
–
17-23
17-24
18-22
37-15
33-9
33-12
29-19
30-22
164.8Avg total
92.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)84.778.0162.7+6.773%
Season at home (5)87.081.4168.4+5.660%
Season away (6)82.875.2158.0+7.783%
Last 10 (10)92.572.3164.8+20.2100%
Last 5 (5)101.674.0175.6+27.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.395.7184.0-7.333%
vs Similar (8)81.581.9163.4-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)88.471.9160.3+16.584%
This opponent (Al Khaleej) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al KhaleejSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKhaleej
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#9
W
75-66
75
66
+9
59avg 63
A27/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
61avg 63
H03/11
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
65-103
65
103
-38
52avg 63
A06/11
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
76-95
76
95
-19
42avg 63
H10/11
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
69avg 63
A17/11
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
81-29
81
29
+52
82avg 63
H15/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
80-82
80
82
-2
65avg 63
H22/12
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
90-108
90
108
-18
76avg 63
A29/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
91-88
91
88
+3
84avg 63
A01/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
61avg 63
H09/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
18-11
15-13
26-16
22-26
15-13
18-26
21-18
16-27
17-24
15-32
17-20
19-22
16-27
15-23
26-23
21-15
30-19
21-15
15-19
41-12
24-7
16-10
–
14-20
20-18
17-19
29-25
18-30
24-27
27-26
21-25
19-24
26-21
28-27
18-16
7-29
16-22
22-26
31-20
161.6Avg total
79.7Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.782.6162.2-2.933%
Season at home (6)78.779.5158.2-0.817%
Season away (6)80.785.7166.3-5.050%
Last 10 (10)79.781.9161.6-2.240%
Last 5 (5)83.680.8164.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)61.387.6149.0-26.30%
vs Similar (2)83.077.0160.0+6.0100%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Al AhliAl Khaleej
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/12
QBL
Al-Hilal
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H30/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#2
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A01/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A02/01
QBL
ISSA Town
#10
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A02/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H06/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A09/01
WASL
Bahrain Club
#9
W
66-21
66
21
+45
H12/01
Premier League
81.0Avg total
45.1Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.337.680.0+4.762%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.240.084.2+4.246%-
Last 30 away (16)40.935.776.6+5.275%-
Last 10 (9)45.135.981.0+9.267%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.883.4+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.047.092.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (8)39.242.181.4-2.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.334.177.3+9.278%-
This opponent (Al Khaleej) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al KhaleejLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Salam
#9
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/10
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H03/11
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A06/11
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H10/11
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A17/11
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
65-19
65
19
+46
H15/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H22/12
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A29/12
Premier League
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A01/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H09/01
Premier League
81.9Avg total
39.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)40.141.781.8-1.625%-
Last 30 at home (6)40.040.780.7-0.717%-
Last 30 away (6)40.242.782.8-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.081.9-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.083.8-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.845.681.4-9.912%-
vs Similar (2)39.541.080.5-1.50%-
vs Weaker (2)58.026.584.5+31.5100%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.6
50.6%
53.6%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.7
31.3%
32.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.511.7
70.9%
68.3%11.7
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Khaleejtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Khaleej: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game
52%
34%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.2
48.2%
53.6%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.4
30.7%
32.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.1
69.4%
68.3%16.1
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWWWWWWWWW
Al Khaleej
LWLLWWLLLW
#3
League position
#10
+8.1
Net rating
-2.9
106.0
Offensive rating
102.0
97.9
Defensive rating
104.8
49.3%
Effective FG%
47.2%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.3%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.3%
3-point %
30.7%
55.4%
Assist %
45.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 102.0Defence97.9 · 104.8Shooting49.3% · 47.2%3-point %31.3% · 30.7%Ball care15.3% · 14.3%Off. rebounds31.6% · 25.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Khaleej
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
0
Al Khaleej wins
DateGameScore
23/10/23Al Khaleej v Al Ahli83-91
25/02/14Al Ahli v Al Khaleej104-22
26/11/13Al Khaleej v Al Ahli26-100
15/11/12Al Ahli v Al Khaleej77-69
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24HBahrain Club125-62
09/01/24AAl-Rayyan89-84
08/01/24HBahrain U1895-64
06/01/24HAl Sadd87-74
02/01/24AISSA Town112-86
02/01/24AAl-Rayyan77-69
01/01/24AAl Ittihad83-65
30/12/23HAl Gharafa86-74
29/12/23AAl-Hilal86-83
26/12/23AAl Khor85-62
Al Khaleejlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24HAl Ittihad76-97
01/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa91-88
29/12/23AOhod90-108
22/12/23HAl Wehda80-82
15/12/23HDbae81-29
17/11/23AAl Taawon87-68
10/11/23HAl Nasr76-95
06/11/23AAl-Hilal65-103
03/11/23HAl-Fateh76-83
27/10/23AAl Salam75-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW73%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%60%83%
Points / game84.787.082.8
Allowed / game78.081.475.2
Point differential+6.7+5.6+7.7
Avg total162.7168.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Khaleej
Premier League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %33%17%50%
Points / game79.778.780.7
Allowed / game82.679.585.7
Point differential-2.9-0.8-5.0
Avg total162.2158.2166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Nasr1211192%89.271.8+17.3
2 Al Ittihad1311285%88.777.3+11.4
3 Al-Hilal129375%99.877.9+21.8
4 Al Ahli118373%84.778.0+6.7
5 Ohod117464%84.079.7+4.3
6 Al Wehda127558%88.080.6+7.4
7 Al-Fateh116555%93.581.6+11.8
8 Al Khaleej124833%79.782.6-2.9
9 Al Salam124833%67.075.6-8.6
10 Al Safa of Safwa123925%78.486.7-8.2
11 Al Taawon120120%65.395.2-29.8
12 Dbae100100%56.592.8-36.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2725202092
Al Khaleej1217192068
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