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Al Ahli vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-74
20-19 21-25 22-15 24-15
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game70.1
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
vs
Position#7
Record5-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game80.1
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Sadd
30 Mar 2026
AL A73
AL S80
31 Jan 2026
AL A60
AL S76
03 Nov 2025
AL A80
AL S90
07 Apr 2025
AL A86
AL S96
18 Jan 2025
AL A86
AL S108
06 Jan 2024
AL A87
AL S74
31 Mar 2023
AL A68
AL S79
03 Mar 2022
AL A85
AL S65
25 Feb 2020
AL A79
AL S86
08 Jan 2019
AL A79
AL S85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#5
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 77
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 77
A23/12
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
56avg 77
H23/12
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
85-62
85
62
+23
77avg 77
A26/12
QBL
Al-Hilal
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
72avg 77
A29/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 77
H30/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#2
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 77
A01/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 77
A02/01
QBL
ISSA Town
#10
W
112-86
112
86
+26
no box
A02/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-11
23-16
17-25
25-12
20-24
17-16
13-7
17-29
20-13
22-20
10-25
20-23
10-22
20-26
15-21
28-20
22-19
19-11
23-10
21-22
22-30
23-18
22-20
19-15
22-18
18-12
29-17
17-27
25-16
22-15
18-16
18-18
19-15
13-15
21-17
24-22
32-21
28-21
28-23
24-21
156.6Avg total
81.7Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.970.1152.1+11.879%
Season at home (6)85.872.8158.7+13.083%
Season away (8)79.068.1147.1+10.975%
Last 10 (10)81.774.9156.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)88.875.4164.2+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.395.7184.0-7.333%
vs Similar (8)81.081.1162.1-0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.472.2158.6+14.284%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Gharafa
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 61
A25/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
63-78
63
78
-15
44avg 61
H28/11
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 61
A02/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
44avg 61
H05/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
57avg 61
A13/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
77avg 61
A17/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
57avg 61
H23/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
77-74
77
74
+3
63avg 61
A26/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
90-70
90
70
+20
71avg 61
H30/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
H02/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
19-21
16-15
22-16
16-16
12-26
14-16
21-20
19-23
20-20
16-18
22-18
13-24
21-18
15-22
13-25
22-16
26-26
13-28
13-13
19-25
23-30
26-26
22-30
13-17
12-22
17-13
29-16
24-10
24-18
14-20
15-26
15-22
24-17
26-9
25-22
22-20
19-24
20-24
26-19
160.3Avg total
77.5Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.480.1155.4-4.736%
Season at home (7)73.478.1151.6-4.743%
Season away (7)77.382.0159.3-4.729%
Last 10 (10)77.582.8160.3-5.330%
Last 5 (5)84.884.2169.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)69.083.8152.8-14.817%
vs Similar (12)76.078.3154.3-2.333%
vs Weaker (12)91.376.2167.5+15.292%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +0.3+0.3
Al AhliAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/12
QBL
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H23/12
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/12
QBL
Al-Hilal
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/12
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H30/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#2
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A01/01
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A02/01
QBL
ISSA Town
#10
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A02/01
Premier League
76.7Avg total
40.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.479.9+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.240.683.8+2.750%-
Last 30 away (18)41.935.377.3+6.683%-
Last 10 (10)40.835.976.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.281.0+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.047.092.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (8)41.642.484.0-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.433.876.3+8.684%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Gharafa
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A25/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/11
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H05/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A13/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A17/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
25-39
25
39
-14
H23/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A26/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H30/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H02/01
QBL
80.2Avg total
38.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.379.8+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.976.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.638.782.3+4.962%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.180.2-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.080.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)32.744.076.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (12)40.438.078.4+2.450%-
vs Weaker (12)46.935.882.7+11.292%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.120.9
47.4%
49.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.5
31.0%
29.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
68.0%12.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.117.4
43.4%
49.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.9
31.2%
29.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.212.8
79.0%
68.0%12.8
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWWWWWLLLW
Al Sadd
LWWWLLLLLL
#2
League position
#7
+4.3
Net rating
-9.0
101.5
Offensive rating
96.7
97.2
Defensive rating
105.7
47.1%
Effective FG%
44.8%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.0%
3-point %
31.2%
55.3%
Assist %
45.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 96.7Defence97.2 · 105.7Shooting47.1% · 44.8%3-point %31.0% · 31.2%Ball care16.4% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
28/11/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli63-78
26/04/23Al Sadd v Al Ahli90-87
31/03/23Al Ahli v Al Sadd68-79
03/03/22Al Ahli v Al Sadd85-65
28/11/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli78-82 OT
05/01/21Al Sadd v Al Ahli92-75
15/12/20Al Sadd v Al Ahli93-88
25/02/20Al Ahli v Al Sadd79-86
07/12/19Al Sadd v Al Ahli61-102
26/01/19Al Sadd v Al Ahli83-70
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24AISSA Town112-86
02/01/24AAl-Rayyan77-69
01/01/24AAl Ittihad83-65
30/12/23HAl Gharafa86-74
29/12/23AAl-Hilal86-83
26/12/23AAl Khor85-62
23/12/23HAl Nasr73-89
23/12/23AAl Shamal72-81
21/12/23AAl Najma67-76
17/12/23AQatar Sports76-64
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/24HAl Gharafa96-98 OT
30/12/23HAl Khor90-70
26/12/23AAl Shamal77-74
23/12/23HQatar Sports71-68
17/12/23AAl Arabi90-111
13/12/23AAl Wakrah74-83
05/12/23HAl-Rayyan62-89
02/12/23AAl Wakrah77-79
28/11/23HAl Ahli63-78
25/11/23AAl Gharafa75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW79%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %79%83%75%
Points / game81.985.879.0
Allowed / game70.172.868.1
Point differential+11.8+13.0+10.9
Avg total152.1158.7147.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%50%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL36%
HomeLLWWL43%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game75.473.477.3
Allowed / game80.178.182.0
Point differential-4.7-4.7-4.7
Avg total155.4151.6159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahli1411379%81.970.1+11.8
2 Al Arabi1411379%81.171.1+10.0
3 Al-Rayyan138562%77.570.7+6.8
4 Al Gharafa148657%80.181.9-1.8
5 Al Wakrah137654%78.581.8-3.3
6 Qatar Sports135838%76.075.4+0.6
7 Al Sadd145936%75.480.1-4.7
8 Al Shamal134931%75.979.1-3.2
9 Al Khor1421214%72.388.5-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2021222487
Al Sadd1925151574
← all games of the day
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