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Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-74
22-18 18-12 29-17 17-27
Position#2
Record9-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game69.9
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Gharafa
Qatar
Position#4
Record7-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.4
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Gharafa
13 Oct 2026
AL A68
AL G76
22 Oct 2025
AL A98
AL G83
10 Mar 2025
AL A81
AL G66
30 Dec 2023
AL A86
AL G74
13 May 2023
AL A59
AL G53
09 Mar 2022
AL A81
AL G90
20 Nov 2021
AL A81
AL G83
27 Dec 2020
AL A62
AL G105
04 Jan 2020
AL A71
AL G86
10 Feb 2019
AL A70
AL G67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
L
92-110
92
110
-18
85avg 77
H11/12
WASL
Al Arabi
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
74avg 77
H13/12
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
no box
H14/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
61-81
61
81
-20
47avg 77
A15/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
W
76-64
76
64
+12
70avg 77
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
A21/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
56avg 77
H23/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 77
A23/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
85-62
85
62
+23
77avg 77
A26/12
QBL
Al-Hilal
#1
W
86-83
86
83
+3
72avg 77
A29/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
23-20
25-35
23-32
19-22
16-21
23-11
21-16
19-28
27-22
17-17
24-27
16-20
14-15
18-20
13-26
11-11
23-16
17-25
25-12
20-24
17-16
13-7
17-29
10-22
20-26
15-21
28-20
20-13
22-20
10-25
20-23
22-19
19-11
23-10
21-22
22-30
23-18
22-20
19-15
158.8Avg total
77.8Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.069.9151.9+12.175%
Season at home (5)85.872.6158.4+13.280%
Season away (7)79.368.0147.3+11.371%
Last 10 (10)77.881.0158.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)76.678.2154.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)88.395.7184.0-7.333%
vs Similar (8)81.084.0165.0-3.038%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.971.3156.2+13.679%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
100avg 72
A07/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 72
A11/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
61-95
61
95
-34
42avg 72
H15/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
76avg 72
H25/11
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
98-76
98
76
+22
89avg 72
H28/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
55-66
55
66
-11
40avg 72
A03/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
84-79 OT
84
79
+5
no box
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
93avg 72
H16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
83-66
83
66
+17
84avg 72
A20/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
80-89 OT
80
89
-9
no box
H24/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
19-16
24-24
29-31
23-22
11-18
23-18
22-30
16-26
11-15
14-30
20-24
26-18
21-19
15-16
16-22
37-22
17-20
11-14
33-20
12-24
20-9
13-13
10-20
21-19
21-15
13-21
16-16
21-35
23-21
13-20
41-13
22-15
24-16
15-22
22-13
20-18
22-24
15-19
18-14
162.0Avg total
81.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.280.4159.6-1.258%
Season at home (6)82.383.7166.0-1.367%
Season away (6)76.077.2153.2-1.250%
Last 10 (10)81.180.9162.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)80.077.8157.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.087.2157.2-17.28%
vs Similar (12)79.076.3155.3+2.767%
vs Weaker (6)85.872.5158.3+13.383%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Al AhliAl Gharafa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kuwait SC
#3
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
WASL
Al Arabi
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H13/12
QBL
Al Manama
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H14/12
Premier League
Al Wehda
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A15/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A17/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/12
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H23/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/12
QBL
Al-Hilal
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A29/12
Premier League
78.1Avg total
38.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.438.379.7+3.262%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.940.983.8+2.046%-
Last 30 away (16)40.236.176.4+4.175%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.778.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)45.047.092.0-2.033%-
vs Similar (8)40.943.184.0-2.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.134.775.8+6.472%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H15/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#7
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H25/11
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H28/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H16/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/12
QBL
79.7Avg total
41.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.977.4-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.841.380.1-2.550%-
Last 30 away (14)38.136.174.2+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)41.038.779.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.280.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.842.076.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (12)39.737.777.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (6)43.535.078.5+8.583%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.8
48.4%
49.4%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
29.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.712.0
71.9%
68.0%12.0
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.623.1
50.7%
49.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.6
29.2%
29.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws17.411.8
67.8%
68.0%11.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWLLLWLLWL
Al Gharafa
LWWWLWWLLW
#2
League position
#4
+4.9
Net rating
-1.4
105.1
Offensive rating
98.3
100.2
Defensive rating
99.7
49.4%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
33.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
29.2%
57.0%
Assist %
53.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 98.3Defence100.2 · 99.7Shooting49.4% · 48.4%3-point %34.1% · 29.2%Ball care16.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds32.7% · 33.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Gharafa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Al Ahli wins
8
Al Gharafa wins
DateGameScore
15/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli61-95
13/05/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa59-53
10/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli73-58
09/03/22Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-90
06/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli76-75
21/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli75-64
20/11/21Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-83
27/12/20Al Ahli v Al Gharafa62-105
22/01/20Al Gharafa v Al Ahli89-72
04/01/20Al Ahli v Al Gharafa71-86
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AAl-Hilal86-83
26/12/23AAl Khor85-62
23/12/23AAl Shamal72-81
23/12/23HAl Nasr73-89
21/12/23AAl Najma67-76
17/12/23AQatar Sports76-64
15/12/23AAl Wehda61-81
14/12/23HAl Manama87-94
13/12/23HAl Arabi79-70
11/12/23HKuwait SC92-110
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HAl-Rayyan80-89 OT
20/12/23AAl Khor83-66
16/12/23HAl Shamal98-89
12/12/23AQatar Sports84-79 OT
03/12/23AAl Arabi55-66
28/11/23HAl Wakrah98-76
25/11/23HAl Sadd78-75
15/11/23HAl Ahli61-95
11/11/23AAl-Rayyan79-88
07/11/23AAl Khor95-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game82.085.879.3
Allowed / game69.972.668.0
Point differential+12.1+13.2+11.3
Avg total151.9158.4147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%40%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Gharafa
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game79.282.376.0
Allowed / game80.483.777.2
Point differential-1.2-1.3-1.2
Avg total159.6166.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahli129375%82.069.9+12.1
2 Al Arabi129375%80.670.0+10.6
3 Al-Rayyan128467%78.270.2+8.1
4 Al Gharafa127558%79.280.4-1.2
5 Al Wakrah127558%78.379.8-1.4
6 Qatar Sports125742%75.974.8+1.1
7 Al Shamal124833%75.778.4-2.8
8 Al Sadd124833%72.479.4-7.0
9 Al Khor121118%69.689.0-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2218291786
Al Gharafa1812172774
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