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Al Ahli vs Al Muharraq Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-65
21-15 17-22 21-16 19-12
Position#7
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game71.4
Al Ahli 🏆
Bahrain
vs
Al Muharraq
Bahrain
Position#2
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game68.9
BahrainPremier League
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Muharraq
29 Mar 2026
AL A69
AL M96
15 Jan 2026
AL A78
AL M65
05 Dec 2025
AL A60
AL M77
28 May 2025
AL A57
AL M68
22 May 2025
AL A77
AL M72
24 Jan 2025
AL A58
AL M88
18 Apr 2024
AL A91
AL M77
30 Jan 2024
AL A95
AL M65
21 Jan 2024
AL A88
AL M92
05 Jan 2023
AL A79
AL M84
07 Apr 2022
AL A76
AL M84
31 Mar 2022
AL A90
AL M76
09 Nov 2021
AL A76
AL M74
20 Jan 2021
AL A71
AL M77
27 Feb 2019
AL A86
AL M92
15 Jan 2019
AL A75
AL M74
11 Oct 2018
AL A71
AL M79
15 Apr 2018
AL A89
AL M87
09 Apr 2018
AL A71
AL M74
08 Jan 2018
AL A58
AL M69
25 Mar 2017
AL A58
AL M89
07 Mar 2017
AL A78
AL M93
02 Jan 2016
AL A93
AL M81
06 Feb 2015
AL A71
AL M76
10 Mar 2014
AL A70
AL M75
12 Jun 2013
AL A58
AL M66
04 Feb 2013
AL A78
AL M66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Muharraq winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliBahrainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
76avg 80
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
112-73
112
73
+39
110avg 80
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 80
H31/12
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
58-63
58
63
-5
no box
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 80
H03/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
51avg 80
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A10/01
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 80
A12/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
21-12
19-22
22-26
15-22
16-9
13-15
23-17
31-12
13-30
37-6
31-25
19-20
21-10
24-18
14-22
33-22
25-12
19-21
21-28
10-25
11-17
16-5
21-16
24-22
28-21
23-13
24-19
12-33
15-16
22-19
17-13
21-22
11-24
20-13
23-19
26-27
35-27
26-23
22-23
161.6Avg total
85.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.771.4142.1-0.844%
Season at home (4)65.868.8134.5-3.050%
Season away (5)74.673.6148.2+1.040%
Last 10 (10)85.076.6161.6+8.470%
Last 5 (5)81.479.4160.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)70.377.1147.4-6.823%
vs Similar (5)76.871.6148.4+5.260%
vs Weaker (12)95.079.1174.1+15.992%
This opponent (Al Muharraq) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al MuharraqBahrainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMuharraq
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
W
68-57
68
57
+11
no box
A28/05
Premier League
Al Ahli
#5
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H31/05
Premier League
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
107-79
107
79
+28
no box
H13/11
Premier League
Al Ahli
#7
W
77-60
77
60
+17
no box
A05/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
97-67
97
67
+30
no box
A11/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
H20/12
Premier League
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
85-61
85
61
+24
no box
A25/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
104-90
104
90
+14
no box
H29/12
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
W
86-67
86
67
+19
no box
H04/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A08/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-7
17-21
23-13
10-16
19-7
22-21
15-30
24-18
24-21
29-24
31-20
23-14
13-8
14-14
22-18
28-20
21-10
24-18
31-15
21-24
20-7
24-15
11-23
22-16
21-11
31-17
23-13
10-20
19-19
31-26
28-19
26-26
25-8
25-17
20-17
16-25
19-21
15-21
23-7
22-17
154.4Avg total
86.0Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.068.9157.9+20.1100%
Season at home (4)93.574.2167.8+19.2100%
Season away (4)84.563.5148.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.068.4154.4+17.6100%
Last 5 (5)86.269.0155.2+17.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)91.476.0167.4+15.487%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +8.0+8.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.6+0.6
Al AhliAl Muharraq
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H31/12
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A12/01
QBL
81.6Avg total
41.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.977.9+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.635.575.1+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)40.340.080.3+0.362%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.381.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.646.885.4-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)33.538.672.1-5.231%-
vs Similar (5)37.635.072.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (12)48.138.386.4+9.8100%-
This opponent (Al Muharraq) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al MuharraqLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A28/05
Premier League
Al Ahli
#5
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H31/05
Premier League
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H13/11
Premier League
Al Ahli
#7
W
27-22
27
22
+5
A05/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A11/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H20/12
Premier League
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A25/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H29/12
Premier League
Al Najma
#6
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/01
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A08/01
Premier League
74.4Avg total
43.1Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.737.282.9+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.338.887.1+9.681%-
Last 30 away (14)42.635.478.1+7.271%-
Last 10 (10)43.131.374.4+11.890%-
Last 5 (5)46.032.478.4+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)45.737.282.9+8.577%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.929.0
58.1%
-58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
-12.9
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Muharraqtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Muharraq: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.119.6
54.3%
-39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.5
31.8%
-31.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.7
76.2%
-14.7
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WLLWLWWWWW
Al Muharraq
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#2
+18.5
Net rating
-0.7
115.6
Offensive rating
106.7
97.1
Defensive rating
107.4
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
13.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
31.8%
48.4%
Assist %
64.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Muharraq
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Al Ahli wins
7
Al Muharraq wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25Al Ahli v Al Muharraq60-77
31/05/25Al Muharraq v Al Ahli80-76
28/05/25Al Ahli v Al Muharraq57-68
25/05/25Al Muharraq v Al Ahli83-86
22/05/25Al Ahli v Al Muharraq77-72 OT
19/05/25Al Muharraq v Al Ahli101-87
08/03/25Al Muharraq v Al Ahli70-67
24/01/25Al Ahli v Al Muharraq58-88
02/01/25Al Muharraq v Al Ahli112-105
26/04/24Al Muharraq v Al Ahli91-101
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26AAl Gharafa109-100
10/01/26AAl Hala75-78
08/01/26AAl Arabi66-81
03/01/26HAl Khor99-75
03/01/26AAl Manama58-63
31/12/25HQatar Sports98-83
28/12/25ANuwaidrad78-70
27/12/25AAl Shamal112-73
24/12/25HAl Najma67-63
24/12/25HAl Wakrah88-80
Al Muharraqlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26AAl Manama79-66
04/01/26HAl Najma86-67
29/12/25HAl Hala104-90
25/12/25ANuwaidrad85-61
20/12/25HAl Manama77-61
11/12/25AAl Hala97-67
05/12/25AAl Ahli77-60
13/11/25HNuwaidrad107-79
31/05/25HAl Ahli80-76
28/05/25AAl Ahli68-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
Premier League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game70.765.874.6
Allowed / game71.468.873.6
Point differential-0.8-3.0+1.0
Avg total142.1134.5148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Muharraq
Premier League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.093.584.5
Allowed / game68.974.263.5
Point differential+20.1+19.2+21.0
Avg total157.9167.8148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Muharraq880100%89.068.9+20.1
2 Al Ittihad880100%83.168.0+15.1
3 Al Manama96367%70.267.1+3.1
4 Samaheej85362%77.566.9+10.6
5 Al Najma85362%82.076.0+6.0
6 Sitra Club84450%83.978.4+5.5
7 Al Ahli94544%70.771.4-0.8
8 Al Hala103730%74.082.4-8.4
9 Bahrain Club82625%73.687.2-13.6
10 ISSA Town81712%70.488.0-17.6
11 Nuwaidrad101910%74.889.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2117211978
Al Muharraq1522161265
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