PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 100-109
27-26 27-35 23-26 23-22
Position#7
Record4-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game96.8
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#4
Record8-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.5
QatarQBL
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Ahli
12 Jan 2026
AL G100
AL A109
01 Jan 2025
AL G82
AL A90
15 Nov 2023
AL G61
AL A95
10 Apr 2023
AL G73
AL A58
06 Mar 2022
AL G76
AL A75
21 Feb 2022
AL G75
AL A64
22 Jan 2020
AL G89
AL A72
13 Jan 2019
AL G83
AL A73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 76
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
90-106
90
106
-16
76avg 76
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
66avg 76
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
79-102
79
102
-23
67avg 76
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
89avg 76
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
62avg 76
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 76
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
85-98
85
98
-13
71avg 76
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
100-73
100
73
+27
101avg 76
A05/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
103-99
103
99
+4
94avg 76
H08/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
25-32
18-19
17-25
16-30
24-29
23-29
27-18
15-20
19-11
21-20
21-17
18-28
24-13
13-29
24-32
23-19
18-33
26-24
32-35
17-19
19-25
16-27
25-27
15-28
19-20
22-34
26-19
26-23
19-19
13-29
27-27
16-19
33-14
24-21
27-19
24-20
33-23
24-33
22-23
182.6Avg total
87.5Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.396.8186.2-7.531%
Season at home (6)93.3102.5195.8-9.233%
Season away (7)85.992.0177.9-6.129%
Last 10 (10)87.595.1182.6-7.630%
Last 5 (5)89.493.8183.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)82.994.3177.1-11.414%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)89.183.9173.0+5.267%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A18/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
76avg 79
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
112-73
112
73
+39
110avg 79
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 79
H31/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 79
H03/01
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
58-63
58
63
-5
no box
A03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
51avg 79
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A10/01
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
18-20
25-21
17-22
26-20
21-12
19-22
22-26
15-22
16-9
13-15
23-17
31-12
13-30
37-6
31-25
19-20
21-10
24-18
14-22
33-22
25-12
19-21
21-28
24-22
28-21
23-13
24-19
10-25
11-17
16-5
21-16
12-33
15-16
22-19
17-13
21-22
11-24
20-13
23-19
157.5Avg total
82.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.280.5169.7+8.862%
Season at home (7)88.379.7168.0+8.671%
Season away (6)90.381.3171.7+9.050%
Last 10 (10)82.974.6157.5+8.370%
Last 5 (5)79.276.0155.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.377.1147.4-6.823%
vs Similar (6)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)93.777.2170.9+16.591%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.6+0.6
Al GharafaAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A08/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
H04/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A08/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A25/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A05/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/01
QBL
87.1Avg total
42.7Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.443.985.3-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.344.584.9-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.385.8-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.744.487.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.086.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.843.784.5-3.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (9)43.044.387.3-1.344%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A18/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H31/12
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/01
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A03/01
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
Premier League
78.4Avg total
39.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.276.4+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.635.374.9+4.367%-
Last 30 away (15)38.939.178.0-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.678.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.042.880.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.538.672.1-5.231%-
vs Similar (6)37.834.572.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.936.983.8+10.0100%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.723.3
53.3%
54.5%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.6
34.2%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.710.9
61.6%
73.4%10.9
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 92.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.327.1
56.1%
54.5%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.4
32.4%
33.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.113.2
72.9%
73.4%13.2
They take 74.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
WWLLLLLWLL
Al Ahli
LLLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#4
-10.3
Net rating
+16.8
105.5
Offensive rating
114.6
115.7
Defensive rating
97.8
52.5%
Effective FG%
53.5%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
26.7%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
34.2%
3-point %
32.4%
50.5%
Assist %
48.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 114.6Defence115.7 · 97.8Shooting52.5% · 53.5%3-point %34.2% · 32.4%Ball care15.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds26.7% · 34.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Gharafa wins
6
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Al Ahli v Al Gharafa98-83
10/03/25Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-66
01/01/25Al Gharafa v Al Ahli82-90
30/12/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa86-74
15/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli61-95
13/05/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa59-53
10/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli73-58
09/03/22Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-90
06/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli76-75
21/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli75-64
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HQatar Sports103-99
05/01/26AAl Shamal100-73
01/01/26HAl Wakrah85-98
29/12/25AAl-Rayyan82-101
25/12/25AAl Sadd77-98
15/12/25AQatar Sports99-111
11/12/25HAl Sadd79-102
08/12/25AAl Wakrah76-68
04/12/25HAl-Rayyan90-106
08/11/25AAl Arabi84-95
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AAl Hala75-78
08/01/26AAl Arabi66-81
03/01/26AAl Manama58-63
03/01/26HAl Khor99-75
31/12/25HQatar Sports98-83
28/12/25ANuwaidrad78-70
27/12/25AAl Shamal112-73
24/12/25HAl Najma67-63
24/12/25HAl Wakrah88-80
18/12/25ANuwaidrad88-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW31%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game89.393.385.9
Allowed / game96.8102.592.0
Point differential-7.5-9.2-6.1
Avg total186.2195.8177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %8%17%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%71%50%
Points / game89.288.390.3
Allowed / game80.579.781.3
Point differential+8.8+8.6+9.0
Avg total169.7168.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1312192%97.981.5+16.5
2 Al Arabi1311285%95.584.1+11.5
3 Al Sadd139469%92.486.9+5.5
4 Al Ahli138562%89.280.5+8.8
5 Al Wakrah136746%81.787.3-5.6
6 Al Shamal135838%85.689.5-3.8
7 Al Gharafa134931%89.396.8-7.5
8 Qatar Sports1321115%84.997.1-12.2
9 Al Khor121118%79.893.9-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa27272323100
Al Ahli26352622109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.