PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Arabi vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-66
33-12 16-15 19-22 13-17
Position#1
Record10-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game85.6
Al Arabi 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli
Qatar
Position#4
Record8-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game80.4
QatarQBL
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Arabi v Al Ahli
27 Oct 2026
AL A114
AL A101
08 Jan 2026
AL A81
AL A66
04 Jan 2025
AL A74
AL A76
23 Jan 2024
AL A68
AL A61
03 May 2023
AL A68
AL A83
16 Feb 2022
AL A63
AL A90
10 Jan 2021
AL A91
AL A77
19 Jan 2020
AL A98
AL A72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Arabi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al ArabiQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabi
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#8
W
121-91
121
91
+30
121avg 84
A01/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
95-84
95
84
+11
68avg 84
H08/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
80avg 84
A06/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
90-87
90
87
+3
78avg 84
H10/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
88-106
88
106
-18
74avg 84
A20/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
86-82
86
82
+4
73avg 84
A22/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
87-106
87
106
-19
75avg 84
A25/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
113-66
113
66
+47
91avg 84
H29/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
85avg 84
H01/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
102-83
102
83
+19
106avg 84
H05/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-21
31-22
26-14
27-34
19-24
32-25
19-18
25-17
15-17
24-19
27-17
19-25
27-15
13-21
23-22
27-29
19-30
24-25
32-19
13-32
14-20
16-28
27-13
29-21
30-23
15-26
14-28
28-29
26-15
26-12
37-19
24-20
22-21
29-18
18-16
22-28
27-19
21-19
28-22
26-23
182.4Avg total
95.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)96.885.6182.3+11.283%
Season at home (6)99.081.2180.2+17.8100%
Season away (6)94.590.0184.5+4.567%
Last 10 (10)95.886.6182.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)95.884.0179.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.882.2163.0-1.460%
vs Similar (4)83.288.8172.0-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)94.780.4175.1+14.386%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#6
L
74-77
74
77
-3
no box
A12/12
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
118-94
118
94
+24
114avg 80
A15/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A18/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
76avg 80
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
W
67-63
67
63
+4
no box
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
112-73
112
73
+39
110avg 80
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 80
H31/12
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
58-63
58
63
-5
no box
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 80
H03/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-16
17-25
20-19
26-27
33-11
32-25
27-31
28-17
18-20
25-21
17-22
26-20
21-12
19-22
22-26
15-22
16-9
13-15
23-17
31-12
13-30
37-6
31-25
19-20
21-10
24-18
14-22
33-22
25-12
19-21
21-28
10-25
11-17
16-5
21-16
24-22
28-21
23-13
24-19
163.8Avg total
88.0Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)91.280.4171.6+10.867%
Season at home (7)88.379.7168.0+8.671%
Season away (5)95.281.4176.6+13.860%
Last 10 (10)88.075.8163.8+12.280%
Last 5 (5)89.072.8161.8+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.776.8147.4-6.125%
vs Similar (7)80.977.7158.6+3.157%
vs Weaker (11)93.777.2170.9+16.591%
This opponent (Al Arabi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Al ArabiAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al ArabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#8
W
68-43
68
43
+25
A01/11
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
51-49
51
49
+2
H08/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H10/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A20/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A22/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A25/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H29/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/01
QBL
88.7Avg total
46.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.440.486.8+6.067%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.440.586.9+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)46.440.486.8+6.164%-
Last 10 (10)46.742.088.7+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)45.240.285.4+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.836.680.4+7.280%-
vs Similar (4)42.044.286.2-2.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)47.940.688.5+7.271%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Najma
#6
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/12
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A15/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A18/12
Premier League
Al Wakrah
#5
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H24/12
QBL
Al Najma
#6
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H24/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H31/12
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/01
QBL
79.7Avg total
43.5Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.277.2+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.836.075.8+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)40.238.678.9+1.664%-
Last 10 (10)43.536.279.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.038.281.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.037.871.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (7)39.436.976.3+2.657%-
vs Weaker (11)46.936.983.8+10.0100%-
This opponent (Al Arabi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Arabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Arabi: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.925.6
59.7%
54.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.8
34.3%
33.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.2
68.6%
73.4%14.2
They take 71.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 91.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.226.9
55.8%
54.5%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.314.1
73.1%
73.4%14.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Arabi
WWWLWLWWWW
Al Ahli
WLWWWWWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+11.7
Net rating
+17.7
120.5
Offensive rating
116.0
108.8
Defensive rating
98.3
56.4%
Effective FG%
53.2%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
13.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.3%
3-point %
32.1%
55.4%
Assist %
49.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence120.5 · 116.0Defence108.8 · 98.3Shooting56.4% · 53.2%3-point %34.3% · 32.1%Ball care13.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds33.9% · 34.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Al Arabi   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al Arabi wins
5
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
06/12/25Al Ahli v Al Arabi78-85
13/03/25Al Ahli v Al Arabi82-88
04/01/25Al Arabi v Al Ahli74-76
23/01/24Al Arabi v Al Ahli68-61
13/12/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi79-70
29/10/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi83-88
03/05/23Al Arabi v Al Ahli68-83
28/03/23Al Ahli v Al Arabi77-87
16/02/22Al Arabi v Al Ahli63-90
13/11/21Al Ahli v Al Arabi89-78
Al Arabilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HQatar Sports102-83
01/01/26HAl Shamal91-83
29/12/25HAl Wakrah113-66
25/12/25AAl-Rayyan87-106
22/12/25AAl Shamal86-82
20/12/25AAl Wakrah88-106
10/12/25HAl-Rayyan90-87
06/12/25AAl Ahli85-78
08/11/25HAl Gharafa95-84
01/11/25AQatar Sports121-91
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HAl Khor99-75
03/01/26AAl Manama58-63
31/12/25HQatar Sports98-83
28/12/25ANuwaidrad78-70
27/12/25AAl Shamal112-73
24/12/25HAl Najma67-63
24/12/25HAl Wakrah88-80
18/12/25ANuwaidrad88-80
15/12/25AAl Khor118-94
12/12/25AAl Najma74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Arabi
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game96.899.094.5
Allowed / game85.681.290.0
Point differential+11.2+17.8+4.5
Avg total182.3180.2184.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%71%60%
Points / game91.288.395.2
Allowed / game80.479.781.4
Point differential+10.8+8.6+13.8
Avg total171.6168.0176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%57%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1211192%97.582.3+15.2
2 Al Arabi1210283%96.885.6+11.2
3 Al Ahli128467%91.280.4+10.8
4 Al Sadd128467%91.386.8+4.5
5 Al Wakrah126650%82.686.0-3.4
6 Al Shamal125742%85.488.2-2.8
7 Al Gharafa134931%89.396.8-7.5
8 Qatar Sports1321115%84.997.1-12.2
9 Al Khor121118%79.893.9-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Arabi3316191381
Al Ahli1215221766
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.