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Al Ahli vs Al-Rayyan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-83
18-21 18-19 23-25 15-18
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game72.0
Al Ahli
Qatar
vs
Al-Rayyan 🏆
Qatar
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game77.3
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan
31 Oct 2026
AL A85
AL-R106
28 Mar 2026
AL A88
AL-R93
26 Jan 2026
AL A76
AL-R64
20 Mar 2025
AL A66
AL-R88
16 Dec 2024
AL A74
AL-R83
19 Nov 2023
AL A73
AL-R65
14 Nov 2023
AL A88
AL-R98
05 Apr 2023
AL A54
AL-R96
05 Feb 2022
AL A99
AL-R79
07 Jan 2020
AL A84
AL-R80
22 Jan 2019
AL A69
AL-R60
29 Dec 2018
AL A84
AL-R75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
102-62
102
62
+40
101avg 78
H28/10
Premier League
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
L
73-76
73
76
-3
67avg 78
H05/11
WASL
Al Khor
#9
W
64-61
64
61
+3
51avg 78
H02/12
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
99-74
99
74
+25
92avg 78
H02/12
Premier League
Al Bashaer
#14
W
90-52
90
52
+38
no box
A03/12
WASL
Al Salam
#7
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 78
A06/12
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
65avg 78
A07/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
97-68
97
68
+29
95avg 78
H12/12
QBL
AlUla
#2
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 78
A13/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
96-65
96
65
+31
88avg 78
H16/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-11
29-17
25-10
16-24
32-20
12-20
21-16
8-20
19-18
17-21
9-17
19-5
23-23
26-13
29-19
21-19
16-13
28-17
21-14
25-8
33-22
22-21
15-18
17-19
26-18
6-21
22-22
24-26
22-16
20-16
23-14
32-22
23-16
24-15
21-20
17-29
20-11
26-16
23-11
27-27
157.6Avg total
87.1Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.772.0151.7+7.767%
Season at home (2)80.564.5145.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)78.087.0165.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)87.170.5157.6+16.680%
Last 5 (5)88.676.0164.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)79.988.1168.0-8.222%
vs Similar (8)83.280.8164.0+2.562%
vs Weaker (13)88.063.3151.3+24.792%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 78
H09/01
WASL
Al Sadd
#7
L
74-88
74
88
-14
61avg 78
H13/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
92avg 78
H19/01
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
W
94-90
94
90
+4
85avg 78
H29/01
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
69avg 78
A12/02
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
61-69
61
69
-8
54avg 78
A05/03
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
77-78 OT
77
78
-1
no box
H12/03
WASL
Al Shamal
#4
W
111-83
111
83
+28
101avg 78
H05/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
106-64
106
64
+42
104avg 78
A09/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
122-85
122
85
+37
114avg 78
H12/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
24-17
22-18
15-37
12-22
17-15
27-23
18-28
31-18
19-19
32-22
17-20
23-19
29-17
18-22
24-32
20-22
13-19
22-12
24-25
17-24
17-15
17-11
10-19
11-14
14-11
19-18
16-17
29-20
25-22
35-13
22-28
26-19
22-11
35-17
23-17
31-13
25-27
30-20
36-25
171.0Avg total
90.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)113.077.3190.3+35.7100%
Season at home (2)116.584.0200.5+32.5100%
Season away (1)106.064.0170.0+42.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.780.3171.0+10.460%
Last 5 (5)95.475.8171.2+19.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.078.3150.3-6.330%
vs Similar (3)85.781.7167.3+4.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)87.273.4160.6+13.871%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.8+7.8Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
Al AhliAl-Rayyan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
61-28
61
28
+33
H28/10
Premier League
Al-Ahli Dubai
#2
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H05/11
WASL
Al Khor
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H02/12
QBL
Al-Fateh
#5
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H02/12
Premier League
Al Bashaer
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A03/12
WASL
Al Salam
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A06/12
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A07/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H12/12
QBL
AlUla
#2
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/12
Premier League
Ohod
#9
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H16/12
Premier League
80.1Avg total
45.6Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.637.881.3+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.137.484.5+9.777%-
Last 30 away (17)40.938.178.9+2.865%-
Last 10 (10)45.634.580.1+11.180%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.478.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)40.644.685.1-4.044%-
vs Similar (8)41.037.178.1+3.962%-
vs Weaker (13)47.233.580.7+13.892%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#10
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H09/01
WASL
Al Sadd
#7
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H19/01
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H29/01
WASL
Al Muharraq
#8
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A12/02
WASL
Kazma
#6
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A05/03
WASL
Kazma
#6
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H12/03
WASL
Al Shamal
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H05/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A09/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H12/12
QBL
78.9Avg total
42.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.136.776.7+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.735.175.8+5.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.438.577.9+0.964%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.178.9+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.435.278.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.537.070.5-3.530%-
vs Similar (3)45.035.380.3+9.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.136.779.8+6.471%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.8
54.9%
51.6%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.57.0
34.1%
31.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.0
62.8%
68.2%13.0
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.720.0
59.3%
51.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.4
37.0%
31.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws14.99.6
64.4%
68.2%9.6
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWWLWWWWLW
Al-Rayyan
WWWLLWWWLL
#5
League position
#1
+19.9
Net rating
+13.8
107.8
Offensive rating
116.9
87.9
Defensive rating
103.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
57.4%
44.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
34.1%
3-point %
37.0%
52.7%
Assist %
50.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 116.9Defence87.9 · 103.1Shooting53.8% · 57.4%3-point %34.1% · 37.0%Ball care16.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds27.8% · 26.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al-Rayyan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al Ahli wins
3
Al-Rayyan wins
DateGameScore
09/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli84-89
02/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli69-77
19/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan73-65
14/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan88-98
17/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli77-74
05/04/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan54-96
05/02/22Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan99-79
05/12/21Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-111
06/12/20Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli94-99 OT
07/01/20Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan84-80
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24HOhod96-65
13/12/24AAlUla85-80
12/12/24HAl Wakrah97-68
07/12/24AAl Sadd78-87
06/12/24AAl Salam87-80
03/12/24AAl Bashaer90-52
02/12/24HAl-Fateh99-74
02/12/24HAl Khor64-61
05/11/24HAl-Ahli Dubai73-76
28/10/24HAl Khowildiah102-62
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24HAl Gharafa122-85
09/12/24AQatar Sports106-64
05/12/24HAl Shamal111-83
12/03/24HKazma77-78 OT
05/03/24AKazma61-69
12/02/24AAl Muharraq79-78
29/01/24HKuwait SC94-90
19/01/24HAl Shamal99-79
13/01/24HAl Sadd74-88
09/01/24HAl Ahli84-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.780.578.0
Allowed / game72.064.587.0
Point differential+7.7+16.0-9.0
Avg total151.7145.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Rayyan
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game113.0116.5106.0
Allowed / game77.384.064.0
Point differential+35.7+32.5+42.0
Avg total190.3200.5170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan330100%113.077.3+35.7
2 Al Sadd330100%84.772.0+12.7
3 Al Arabi220100%71.564.5+7.0
4 Al Ahli32167%79.772.0+7.7
5 Qatar Sports21150%73.084.5-11.5
6 Al Khor41325%65.270.2-5.0
7 Al Wakrah41325%75.085.2-10.2
8 Al Shamal2020%79.093.5-14.5
9 Al Gharafa3030%79.7102.7-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1818231574
Al-Rayyan2119251883
← all games of the day
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