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Al Ahli vs Al Shamal Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 77-62
15-24 21-10 23-18 18-10
Position#4
Record2-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game83.0
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Shamal
Qatar
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game85.5
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al Shamal
10 Dec 2025
AL A77
AL S62
01 Feb 2025
AL A63
AL S68
06 May 2023
AL A76
AL S68
24 Feb 2022
AL A70
AL S68
17 Dec 2019
AL A71
AL S63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Shamal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
A31/05
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
98-83
98
83
+15
94avg 78
H22/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
71-91
71
91
-20
54avg 78
A27/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
61-66
61
66
-5
49avg 78
A30/10
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
80-90
80
90
-10
64avg 78
H03/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
114-83
114
83
+31
110avg 78
A06/11
QBL
Al Hala
#8
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H11/11
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
57-61
57
61
-4
no box
H30/11
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
no box
H05/12
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
78-85
78
85
-7
60avg 78
H06/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-19
21-22
30-15
18-24
26-17
21-26
32-20
19-20
22-27
11-20
16-25
22-19
19-9
13-18
19-22
10-17
21-27
27-20
13-24
19-19
32-22
23-24
28-15
31-22
21-19
24-15
19-22
15-18
18-10
20-23
11-12
8-16
8-13
14-14
18-22
20-28
17-15
19-24
17-27
25-19
156.4Avg total
77.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)83.783.0166.7+0.733%
Season at home (3)85.386.0171.3-0.733%
Season away (3)82.080.0162.0+2.033%
Last 10 (10)77.479.0156.4-1.630%
Last 5 (5)77.676.0153.6+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.580.8153.4-8.315%
vs Similar (8)80.177.5157.6+2.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)92.973.2166.1+19.789%
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ShamalQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShamal
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
W
68-63
68
63
+5
62avg 80
A01/02
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 80
A05/03
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
108-112
108
112
-4
74avg 80
H08/03
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
95-96
95
96
-1
91avg 80
A12/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
92-72
92
72
+20
83avg 80
H22/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
124-116 OT
124
116
+8
112avg 80
A25/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
65-92
65
92
-27
51avg 80
A30/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 80
H03/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 80
A06/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
105-80
105
80
+25
98avg 80
H06/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
19-16
23-21
13-7
30-22
24-29
21-19
26-22
19-19
21-29
37-33
31-31
27-22
22-32
26-18
20-24
26-19
14-14
24-24
28-15
16-27
18-23
30-26
27-15
19-24
19-24
13-22
14-22
23-16
19-28
22-17
16-20
19-14
19-15
18-19
26-24
25-15
28-23
31-18
21-24
179.6Avg total
92.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.385.5176.8+5.867%
Season at home (3)92.377.7170.0+14.767%
Season away (3)90.393.3183.7-3.067%
Last 10 (10)92.087.6179.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)91.288.2179.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.899.7177.5-21.99%
vs Similar (8)85.584.4169.9+1.138%
vs Weaker (11)93.484.3177.6+9.191%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +1.8+1.8
Al AhliAl Shamal
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A31/05
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H22/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A30/10
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A06/11
QBL
Al Hala
#8
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H11/11
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/11
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H05/12
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H06/12
QBL
76.8Avg total
38.4Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.778.5+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.236.275.4+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)42.639.481.9+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.476.8+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.939.576.4-2.531%-
vs Similar (8)39.637.176.8+2.562%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)47.335.783.0+11.789%-
This opponent (Al Shamal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al ShamalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/02
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A05/03
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H08/03
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A12/03
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A25/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A30/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/11
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A06/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H06/12
QBL
85.0Avg total
42.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.245.685.8-5.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.143.683.7-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)40.347.788.0-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.085.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.882.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.051.190.1-12.19%-
vs Similar (8)39.441.580.9-2.125%-
vs Weaker (11)42.043.285.2-1.236%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.1
49.9%
54.5%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.7
32.2%
33.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
73.4%13.0
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Shamaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Shamal: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.2
51.9%
54.5%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.811.5
36.2%
33.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.9
77.2%
73.4%15.9
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
LLLWWLLLWL
Al Shamal
WWLLWWLLWW
#4
League position
#6
-4.1
Net rating
+5.0
104.5
Offensive rating
112.4
108.6
Defensive rating
107.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.4%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.2%
3-point %
36.2%
51.7%
Assist %
52.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 112.4Defence108.6 · 107.5Shooting49.3% · 53.0%3-point %32.2% · 36.2%Ball care14.7% · 15.4%Off. rebounds27.5% · 28.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al Shamal
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Al Ahli wins
7
Al Shamal wins
DateGameScore
01/02/25Al Ahli v Al Shamal63-68
25/12/24Al Shamal v Al Ahli92-82
23/12/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli81-72
08/11/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli65-82
06/05/23Al Ahli v Al Shamal76-68
06/03/23Al Shamal v Al Ahli88-62
24/02/22Al Ahli v Al Shamal70-68
01/12/21Al Shamal v Al Ahli85-82
19/12/20Al Shamal v Al Ahli86-85
12/01/20Al Shamal v Al Ahli85-64
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HAl Arabi78-85
05/12/25HAl Muharraq60-77
30/11/25HAl Manama57-61
11/11/25HAl Hala79-74
06/11/25AQatar Sports114-83
03/11/25HAl Sadd80-90
30/10/25AAl Wakrah61-66
27/10/25AAl-Rayyan71-91
22/10/25HAl Gharafa98-83
31/05/25AAl Muharraq76-80
Al Shamallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HQatar Sports105-80
06/11/25AAl Sadd82-72
03/11/25HAl Wakrah80-81
30/10/25AAl-Rayyan65-92
25/10/25AAl Gharafa124-116 OT
22/10/25HAl Khor92-72
12/03/25AAl Wakrah95-96
08/03/25HAl Sadd108-112
05/03/25AAl Khor101-92
01/02/25AAl Ahli68-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game83.785.382.0
Allowed / game83.086.080.0
Point differential+0.7-0.7+2.0
Avg total166.7171.3162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Shamal
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game91.392.390.3
Allowed / game85.577.793.3
Point differential+5.8+14.7-3.0
Avg total176.8170.0183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi550100%100.882.8+18.0
2 Al-Rayyan550100%96.078.6+17.4
3 Al Shamal64267%91.385.5+5.8
4 Al Sadd64267%87.583.8+3.7
5 Al Wakrah64267%77.377.3+0.0
6 Al Ahli62433%83.783.0+0.7
7 Al Gharafa62433%89.396.2-6.8
8 Al Khor6060%79.092.0-13.0
9 Qatar Sports6060%82.2102.0-19.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli1521231877
Al Shamal2410181062
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