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Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-90
11-26 27-15 22-24 22-25
Position#6
Record1-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game92.3
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#5
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game78.3
QatarQBL· QBF Indoor Hall
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Ahli
12 Jan 2026
AL G100
AL A109
01 Jan 2025
AL G82
AL A90
15 Nov 2023
AL G61
AL A95
10 Apr 2023
AL G73
AL A58
06 Mar 2022
AL G76
AL A75
21 Feb 2022
AL G75
AL A64
22 Jan 2020
AL G89
AL A72
13 Jan 2019
AL G83
AL A73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
no box
A30/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#7
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
no box
A02/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 67
A07/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
62-83
62
83
-21
49avg 67
H20/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
72-95
72
95
-23
56avg 67
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
82-91
82
91
-9
74avg 67
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
85-122
85
122
-37
73avg 67
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 67
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 67
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
90-83
90
83
+7
81avg 67
A29/12
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
12-18
17-29
27-17
20-22
24-19
24-20
19-26
22-8
16-30
26-15
12-14
21-21
12-24
14-24
15-14
21-26
14-15
21-25
16-29
17-23
16-22
32-18
17-28
13-31
27-25
20-30
25-36
23-21
18-20
9-22
28-21
20-20
11-30
23-13
22-16
23-21
30-25
15-13
22-24
167.9Avg total
79.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.592.3172.8-11.817%
Season at home (3)76.788.3165.0-11.70%
Season away (3)84.396.3180.7-12.033%
Last 10 (10)79.388.6167.9-9.330%
Last 5 (5)82.291.8174.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.188.1160.2-16.17%
vs Similar (10)81.276.7157.9+4.580%
vs Weaker (6)84.575.3159.8+9.267%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 79
H16/12
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
L
63-77
63
77
-14
no box
H16/12
WASL
Al Nasr
#4
W
113-103
113
103
+10
110avg 79
H20/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
73avg 79
A25/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
88-68
88
68
+20
no box
H26/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
81-87
81
87
-6
74avg 79
A27/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
W
81-79
81
79
+2
77avg 79
H28/12
QBL
Al Khaleej
#6
W
82-65
82
65
+17
68avg 79
A30/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
no box
A30/12
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-19
23-25
15-18
16-12
17-17
23-17
7-31
24-12
31-17
35-35
23-39
24-14
16-23
18-25
24-18
19-19
19-25
23-19
21-29
19-16
24-17
22-19
23-16
10-27
23-15
23-20
25-25
16-17
18-23
18-22
29-17
14-18
22-20
16-12
30-15
10-18
13-20
25-23
19-25
163.3Avg total
81.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.378.3157.7+1.050%
Season at home (4)79.072.8151.8+6.275%
Season away (2)80.089.5169.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)81.382.0163.3-0.750%
Last 5 (5)79.877.0156.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.884.8161.5-8.025%
vs Similar (8)81.986.4168.2-4.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.669.2158.8+20.4100%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.7-1.7
Al GharafaAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A30/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A07/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H20/01
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H02/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H09/12
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A12/12
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/12
QBL
Qatar Sports
#7
L
31-50
31
50
-19
H25/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A29/12
QBL
82.1Avg total
37.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.877.2-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.942.979.9-6.036%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.074.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.382.1-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.647.687.2-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.142.177.2-6.921%-
vs Similar (10)40.038.678.6+1.460%-
vs Weaker (6)38.536.374.8+2.267%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H16/12
QBL
Kuwait SC
#3
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H16/12
WASL
Al Nasr
#4
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H20/12
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H21/12
Premier League
Al Shamal
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A25/12
QBL
Al Ittihad
#11
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/12
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#7
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H28/12
QBL
Al Khaleej
#6
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A30/12
Premier League
Al Manama
#3
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A30/12
Premier League
74.1Avg total
37.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.337.980.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.136.181.2+9.175%-
Last 30 away (14)39.140.079.1-0.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.074.1+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.838.272.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.142.182.2-2.050%-
vs Similar (8)39.040.279.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.434.179.6+11.379%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.522.7
48.8%
51.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.16.1
26.4%
31.6%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.312.9
66.8%
68.2%12.9
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.8 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.124.3
53.9%
51.6%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
31.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.215.3
68.9%
68.2%15.3
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
WLLLLLLWWL
Al Ahli
LWWLWLWWLL
#6
League position
#5
-11.1
Net rating
+9.0
96.4
Offensive rating
107.2
107.5
Defensive rating
98.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.4%
3-point %
31.1%
46.2%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 107.2Defence107.5 · 98.2Shooting45.8% · 51.4%3-point %26.4% · 31.1%Ball care18.9% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al Gharafa wins
3
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa86-74
15/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli61-95
13/05/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa59-53
10/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli73-58
09/03/22Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-90
06/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli76-75
21/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli75-64
20/11/21Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-83
27/12/20Al Ahli v Al Gharafa62-105
22/01/20Al Gharafa v Al Ahli89-72
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AAl Arabi90-83
25/12/24HQatar Sports76-79
21/12/24AAl Shamal78-84
12/12/24AAl-Rayyan85-122
09/12/24HAl Wakrah82-91
02/12/24HAl Sadd72-95
20/01/24HAl Arabi62-83
07/01/24AAl Wakrah76-67
02/01/24AAl Sadd98-96 OT
30/12/23AAl Ahli74-86
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24AAl Manama67-86
30/12/24AAl Khaleej82-65
28/12/24HQatar Sports81-79
27/12/24AAl Ittihad81-87
26/12/24HAl Ittihad88-68
25/12/24AAl Shamal82-92
21/12/24HAl Hala82-80
20/12/24HAl Nasr113-103
16/12/24HKuwait SC63-77
16/12/24HAl-Rayyan74-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%0%33%
Points / game80.576.784.3
Allowed / game92.388.396.3
Point differential-11.8-11.7-12.0
Avg total172.8165.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %50%75%0%
Points / game79.379.080.0
Allowed / game78.372.889.5
Point differential+1.0+6.2-9.5
Avg total157.7151.8169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan87188%97.473.0+24.4
2 Al Sadd75271%82.778.4+4.3
3 Al Arabi75271%79.076.9+2.1
4 Al Shamal74357%84.185.6-1.4
5 Al Ahli63350%79.378.3+1.0
6 Qatar Sports73443%77.481.1-3.7
7 Al Wakrah72529%76.788.3-11.6
8 Al Gharafa61517%80.592.3-11.8
9 Al Khor71614%64.472.7-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa1127222282
Al Ahli2615242590
← all games of the day
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