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Al Gharafa vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 61-95
16-26 11-15 14-30 20-24
Position#4
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game82.5
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
Position#2
Record1-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.7
QatarQBL· Ahmad bin Ali Stadium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Ahli
12 Jan 2026
AL G100
AL A109
01 Jan 2025
AL G82
AL A90
15 Nov 2023
AL G61
AL A95
10 Apr 2023
AL G73
AL A58
06 Mar 2022
AL G76
AL A75
21 Feb 2022
AL G75
AL A64
22 Jan 2020
AL G89
AL A72
13 Jan 2019
AL G83
AL A73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
A26/04
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
H29/04
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A04/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
68-101
68
101
-33
no box
H08/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
53-59
53
59
-6
no box
A13/05
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
86-53
86
53
+33
no box
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
54avg 74
A28/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 74
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
100avg 74
A07/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 74
A11/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-10
17-19
28-23
20-25
20-26
10-20
17-21
28-17
20-21
18-16
13-24
17-24
10-24
13-26
22-23
23-28
17-14
6-15
16-14
14-16
28-16
14-16
25-10
19-11
20-11
12-24
14-22
14-21
25-15
12-21
20-24
22-18
23-15
19-16
24-24
29-31
23-22
11-18
23-18
22-30
153.7Avg total
74.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.282.5160.8-4.250%
Season at home (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
Season away (3)78.084.0162.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)74.878.9153.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)79.876.6156.4+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)74.584.4158.8-9.938%
vs Similar (9)72.475.4147.9-3.044%
vs Weaker (8)90.271.1161.4+19.188%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Dbae
#11
W
101-68
101
68
+33
97avg 83
H27/10
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
L
83-88
83
88
-5
76avg 83
H29/10
QBL
Samaheej
#8
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
H31/10
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
64avg 83
A01/11
QBL
Al Taawon
#12
W
92-64
92
64
+28
86avg 83
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A04/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
96-77
96
77
+19
93avg 83
H06/11
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
82-65
82
65
+17
87avg 83
A08/11
QBL
Al Salam
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
78avg 83
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
85avg 83
H14/11
WASL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
20-19
35-15
28-15
22-19
19-18
21-25
21-26
–
–
–
–
12-22
16-23
17-20
22-15
22-16
25-17
26-14
19-17
28-24
25-25
15-12
17-17
25-10
27-22
27-23
17-22
18-13
17-17
31-15
16-20
18-15
23-22
18-20
25-18
19-24
27-25
18-20
24-29
161.2Avg total
85.6Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.377.7155.0-0.333%
Season at home (1)83.088.0171.0-5.00%
Season away (2)74.572.5147.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)85.675.6161.2+10.070%
Last 5 (5)87.078.6165.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.383.3157.7-9.017%
vs Similar (12)81.282.7163.9-1.442%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.572.9159.4+13.692%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
Al GharafaAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khor
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A26/04
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H29/04
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H08/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A13/05
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A28/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/11
QBL
70.3Avg total
33.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.275.9+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.537.876.3+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.036.575.5+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.570.3-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.434.872.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.840.277.0-3.338%-
vs Similar (9)35.036.171.1-1.156%-
vs Weaker (8)46.033.579.5+12.588%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dbae
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H27/10
Premier League
Al Arabi
#1
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H29/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A01/11
QBL
Al Taawon
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A03/11
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A04/11
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H06/11
Premier League
Al Shamal
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A08/11
QBL
Al Salam
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A10/11
Premier League
Al-Rayyan
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H14/11
WASL
81.2Avg total
42.3Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.441.784.2+0.755%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.782.8-0.643%-
Last 30 away (15)43.741.785.5+2.067%-
Last 10 (9)42.338.981.2+3.467%-
Last 5 (5)45.439.484.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.345.383.7-7.017%-
vs Similar (12)43.244.287.4-1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.937.080.9+6.982%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.524.0
52.7%
49.4%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.85.5
26.5%
29.4%16.5
🏀 Free throws18.812.8
68.0%
68.0%12.8
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.125.2
61.3%
49.4%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.4
33.6%
29.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.312.1
66.1%
68.0%12.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
LWWLWLLLLW
Al Ahli
LWWWWWLWLW
#4
League position
#2
-5.9
Net rating
+13.2
96.1
Offensive rating
116.7
102.0
Defensive rating
103.5
48.7%
Effective FG%
57.2%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
22.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.5%
3-point %
33.6%
59.3%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 116.7Defence102.0 · 103.5Shooting48.7% · 57.2%3-point %26.5% · 33.6%Ball care22.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds32.7% · 32.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Al Gharafa wins
2
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
13/05/23Al Ahli v Al Gharafa59-53
10/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Ahli73-58
09/03/22Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-90
06/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli76-75
21/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Ahli75-64
20/11/21Al Ahli v Al Gharafa81-83
27/12/20Al Ahli v Al Gharafa62-105
22/01/20Al Gharafa v Al Ahli89-72
04/01/20Al Ahli v Al Gharafa71-86
10/02/19Al Ahli v Al Gharafa70-67
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AAl-Rayyan79-88
07/11/23AAl Khor95-86
31/10/23HAl Shamal79-78
28/10/23AQatar Sports60-78
17/05/23HAl Wakrah86-53
13/05/23AAl Ahli53-59
08/05/23HQatar Sports68-101
04/05/23AAl-Rayyan68-85
29/04/23HAl Sadd75-84
26/04/23AAl Khor85-77
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HAl-Rayyan88-98
10/11/23AAl Salam84-75
08/11/23AAl Shamal82-65
06/11/23HAl-Fateh96-77
04/11/23AAl Ittihad85-78
03/11/23AAl Taawon92-64
01/11/23AQatar Sports67-80
31/10/23HSamaheej78-63
29/10/23HAl Arabi83-88
27/10/23HDbae101-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game78.279.078.0
Allowed / game82.578.084.0
Point differential-4.2+1.0-6.0
Avg total160.8157.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game77.383.074.5
Allowed / game77.788.072.5
Point differential-0.3-5.0+2.0
Avg total155.0171.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan330100%79.365.7+13.7
2 Al Arabi32167%82.777.0+5.7
3 Al Wakrah32167%83.078.7+4.3
4 Qatar Sports32167%77.374.3+3.0
5 Al Gharafa42250%78.282.5-4.2
6 Al Sadd21150%58.065.5-7.5
7 Al Ahli31233%77.377.7-0.3
8 Al Shamal41325%71.072.0-1.0
9 Al Khor3030%70.084.3-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa1611142061
Al Ahli2615302495
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