PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 78-75
26-18 21-19 15-16 16-22
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game85.0
Al Gharafa 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al Sadd
Qatar
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game73.2
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2023-24
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Sadd
05 Dec 2026
AL G v AL S
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
AL G79
AL S102
02 Dec 2024
AL G72
AL S95
25 Nov 2023
AL G78
AL S75
29 Apr 2023
AL G75
AL S84
22 Mar 2022
AL G64
AL S83
19 Mar 2022
AL G83
AL S77
10 Feb 2022
AL G97
AL S92
20 Jan 2021
AL G89
AL S77
24 Dec 2019
AL G117
AL S69
02 Jan 2019
AL G95
AL S98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
H29/04
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
no box
A04/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
68-101
68
101
-33
no box
H08/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
53-59
53
59
-6
no box
A13/05
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
86-53
86
53
+33
no box
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
54avg 67
A28/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
72avg 67
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
100avg 67
A07/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 67
A11/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
61-95
61
95
-34
42avg 67
H15/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
10-20
17-21
28-17
20-21
18-16
13-24
17-24
10-24
13-26
22-23
23-28
17-14
6-15
16-14
14-16
28-16
14-16
25-10
19-11
20-11
12-24
14-22
14-21
25-15
12-21
20-24
22-18
23-15
19-16
24-24
29-31
23-22
11-18
23-18
22-30
16-26
11-15
14-30
20-24
153.1Avg total
72.4Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.885.0159.8-10.240%
Season at home (2)70.086.5156.5-16.550%
Season away (3)78.084.0162.0-6.033%
Last 10 (10)72.480.7153.1-8.330%
Last 5 (5)74.885.0159.8-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.585.1158.6-11.636%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.475.4147.9-3.044%
vs Weaker (7)86.071.6157.6+14.486%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#4
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
A15/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
no box
A18/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
A20/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
80-72
80
72
+8
no box
A23/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
L
68-70
68
70
-2
no box
H25/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
82-71
82
71
+11
no box
A27/05
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
56-72
56
72
-16
45avg 64
A01/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
60-59
60
59
+1
56avg 64
H14/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 64
A18/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
72-85
72
85
-13
62avg 64
H22/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
24-18
14-34
33-19
23-31
18-28
21-15
14-20
28-19
21-19
15-23
18-23
16-17
23-10
23-15
18-30
20-19
24-7
11-21
13-23
18-21
21-12
27-21
16-17
21-13
9-25
21-17
5-17
10-22
16-12
14-11
20-14
24-16
30-18
19-17
19-26
17-20
20-28
21-19
14-18
154.1Avg total
76.6Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)70.073.2143.2-3.250%
Season at home (2)66.072.0138.0-6.050%
Season away (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)76.677.5154.1-0.950%
Last 5 (5)72.472.8145.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.891.2172.0-10.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.274.8149.0-0.550%
vs Weaker (16)89.478.1167.5+11.481%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
Al GharafaAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Sadd
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H29/04
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#1
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A04/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
L
23-50
23
50
-27
H08/05
QBL
Al Ahli
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A13/05
QBL
Al Wakrah
#8
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H17/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A28/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A07/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A11/11
QBL
Al Ahli
#2
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H15/11
QBL
70.5Avg total
32.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.775.2-0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.138.874.9-2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)39.036.575.5+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)32.837.770.5-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.671.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.140.276.4-4.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.036.171.1-1.156%-
vs Weaker (7)43.634.678.1+9.086%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qatar Sports
#4
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A15/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A18/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A20/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A23/05
QBL
Al Shamal
#3
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H25/05
QBL
Qatar Sports
#4
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A27/05
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A01/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#8
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H14/11
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A18/11
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H22/11
QBL
78.5Avg total
41.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.780.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.081.0+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)42.338.480.8+3.956%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.578.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.474.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.544.784.2-5.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.837.075.8+1.850%-
vs Weaker (16)44.937.382.2+7.675%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.023.2
51.6%
49.4%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.0
23.4%
29.4%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.212.6
69.2%
68.0%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
53%
32%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.217.8
45.2%
49.4%35.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.2
30.0%
29.4%24.8
🏀 Free throws12.08.8
72.9%
68.0%8.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
LLWWLWLLLL
Al Sadd
LWWLWLWLLW
#4
League position
#7
-12.6
Net rating
-4.4
91.2
Offensive rating
92.5
103.8
Defensive rating
96.8
46.2%
Effective FG%
45.1%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
42.6%
22.4%
Turnover %
18.7%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.18
23.4%
3-point %
30.0%
55.3%
Assist %
62.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 92.5Defence103.8 · 96.8Shooting46.2% · 45.1%3-point %23.4% · 30.0%Ball care22.4% · 18.7%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Al Gharafa wins
4
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
29/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd75-84
14/04/23Al Sadd v Al Gharafa87-89
22/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd64-83
19/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd83-77
15/03/22Al Sadd v Al Gharafa82-62
10/02/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd97-92
04/12/21Al Sadd v Al Gharafa81-73
20/01/21Al Gharafa v Al Sadd89-77
23/12/20Al Sadd v Al Gharafa57-65
27/02/20Al Sadd v Al Gharafa58-84
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HAl Ahli61-95
11/11/23AAl-Rayyan79-88
07/11/23AAl Khor95-86
31/10/23HAl Shamal79-78
28/10/23AQatar Sports60-78
17/05/23HAl Wakrah86-53
13/05/23AAl Ahli53-59
08/05/23HQatar Sports68-101
04/05/23AAl-Rayyan68-85
29/04/23HAl Sadd75-84
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HQatar Sports72-85
18/11/23AAl Khor92-77
14/11/23HAl Shamal60-59
01/11/23AAl Arabi56-72
27/05/23AQatar Sports82-71
25/05/23HAl Shamal68-70
23/05/23AAl Shamal80-72
20/05/23AAl Shamal82-84
18/05/23AAl Shamal76-94
15/05/23AQatar Sports98-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game74.870.078.0
Allowed / game85.086.584.0
Point differential-10.2-16.5-6.0
Avg total159.8156.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.066.074.0
Allowed / game73.272.074.5
Point differential-3.2-6.0-0.5
Avg total143.2138.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi54180%77.070.0+7.0
2 Al Wakrah43175%87.076.2+10.8
3 Al Ahli53260%80.071.8+8.2
4 Al-Rayyan53260%73.268.2+5.0
5 Qatar Sports53260%74.672.2+2.4
6 Al Sadd42250%70.073.2-3.2
7 Al Gharafa52340%74.885.0-10.2
8 Al Shamal51420%70.677.4-6.8
9 Al Khor4040%71.886.2-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Gharafa2621151678
Al Sadd1819162275
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.