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Al Gharafa vs Al Sadd Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record3-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game84.7
Al Gharafa
Qatar
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.3/10
Above normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Al Sadd
Qatar
Position#2
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game72.0
QatarQBL
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al Gharafa v Al Sadd
05 Dec 2026
AL G v AL S
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
AL G79
AL S102
02 Dec 2024
AL G72
AL S95
25 Nov 2023
AL G78
AL S75
29 Apr 2023
AL G75
AL S84
22 Mar 2022
AL G64
AL S83
19 Mar 2022
AL G83
AL S77
10 Feb 2022
AL G97
AL S92
20 Jan 2021
AL G89
AL S77
24 Dec 2019
AL G117
AL S69
02 Jan 2019
AL G95
AL S98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Gharafa win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Al Sadd win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al GharafaQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGharafa
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#4
L
100-109
100
109
-9
93avg 79
H12/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
122-119
122
119
+3
118avg 79
A21/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
97-117
97
117
-20
85avg 79
H24/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#8
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 79
A13/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
72-94
72
94
-22
55avg 79
A22/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
68avg 79
H26/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
84-97 OT
84
97
-13
75avg 79
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
97-89
97
89
+8
no box
A03/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
H10/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A12/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
27-35
23-26
23-22
27-22
31-29
29-38
35-30
28-31
16-29
29-32
24-25
23-10
17-19
17-24
19-15
20-25
22-23
14-18
16-28
19-25
20-14
19-22
19-8
13-24
20-19
21-18
27-20
29-23
18-15
30-25
20-26
20-27
23-16
16-28
17-15
19-23
20-18
19-28
19-21
181.6Avg total
87.8Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.984.7164.6-4.943%
Season at home (3)79.084.0163.0-5.033%
Season away (4)80.585.2165.8-4.850%
Last 10 (10)87.893.8181.6-6.040%
Last 5 (5)82.286.2168.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)84.395.4179.8-11.111%
vs Similar (3)77.786.7164.3-9.033%
vs Weaker (9)93.988.2182.1+5.789%
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSadd
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
61avg 81
H28/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
76-60
76
60
+16
no box
A31/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
78-95
78
95
-17
62avg 81
A23/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 81
H28/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
72avg 81
A30/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
102-65
102
65
+37
54avg 81
H10/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
102-79
102
79
+23
96avg 81
A17/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
90-69
90
69
+21
87avg 81
A27/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
56-73
56
73
-17
45avg 81
H01/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
122-74
122
74
+48
no box
H12/11
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
24-24
19-23
15-24
26-17
13-15
21-13
16-15
18-25
22-20
20-20
18-30
22-16
10-28
25-13
17-19
26-18
24-29
15-15
15-11
18-16
21-19
33-17
30-13
19-17
30-16
29-25
24-21
19-15
21-15
18-24
32-15
13-17
17-20
8-20
18-16
40-9
32-14
31-23
19-28
160.8Avg total
85.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.472.0166.4+22.480%
Season at home (3)93.370.7164.0+22.767%
Season away (2)96.074.0170.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.575.3160.8+10.260%
Last 5 (5)94.472.0166.4+22.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.991.0168.9-13.111%
vs Similar (5)81.475.6157.0+5.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)96.579.8176.3+16.788%
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
Al GharafaAl Sadd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al GharafaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Ahli
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H12/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A21/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
44-60
44
60
-16
H24/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#8
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A13/10
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A22/10
QBL
Al Wakrah
#4
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/10
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H31/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A03/11
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/11
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A12/11
QBL
89.2Avg total
43.9Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.944.387.2-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.246.189.3-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.585.1+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.945.389.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.881.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)41.945.187.1-3.233%-
vs Similar (3)38.043.381.3-5.30%-
vs Weaker (9)46.643.089.6+3.667%-
This opponent (Al Sadd) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al SaddLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A31/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A30/03
QBL
Qatar Sports
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A17/10
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#3
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A27/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H01/11
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
72-23
72
23
+49
H12/11
QBL
80.0Avg total
43.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.640.383.9+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.079.2+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)45.842.288.0+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)43.236.880.0+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.031.677.6+14.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.243.283.4-3.044%-
vs Similar (5)42.042.684.6-0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.137.983.9+8.275%-
This opponent (Al Gharafa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Gharafatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Gharafa: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.824.2
56.5%
51.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.6
34.6%
30.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.711.3
67.7%
68.0%11.3
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Saddtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Sadd: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
51.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.7
33.4%
30.5%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.914.7
82.1%
68.0%14.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Gharafa
LLWLWLWLWL
Al Sadd
WLWWWWLLWL
#7
League position
#2
-2.9
Net rating
+3.3
100.9
Offensive rating
95.6
103.8
Defensive rating
92.3
54.6%
Effective FG%
50.6%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
12.3%
Turnover %
12.8%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
33.4%
60.1%
Assist %
66.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 95.6Defence103.8 · 92.3Shooting54.6% · 50.6%3-point %34.6% · 33.4%Ball care12.3% · 12.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Al Gharafa   ■ Al Sadd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Gharafa wins
6
Al Sadd wins
DateGameScore
25/12/25Al Sadd v Al Gharafa98-77
11/12/25Al Gharafa v Al Sadd79-102
09/01/25Al Sadd v Al Gharafa107-103 OT
02/12/24Al Gharafa v Al Sadd72-95
02/01/24Al Sadd v Al Gharafa96-98 OT
25/11/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd78-75
29/04/23Al Gharafa v Al Sadd75-84
14/04/23Al Sadd v Al Gharafa87-89
22/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd64-83
19/03/22Al Gharafa v Al Sadd83-77
Al Gharafalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AAl-Rayyan77-90
10/11/26HAl Arabi76-86
03/11/26AAl Khor97-89
31/10/26HQatar Sports84-97 OT
26/10/26HAl Wakrah77-69
22/10/26AAl Shamal72-94
13/10/26AAl Ahli76-68
24/01/26HAl Arabi97-117
21/01/26AAl Khor122-119
12/01/26HAl Ahli100-109
Al Saddlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HAl Shamal122-74
01/11/26HAl Arabi56-73
27/10/26AAl-Rayyan90-69
17/10/26AAl Khor102-79
10/10/26HQatar Sports102-65
30/03/26AAl Ahli80-73
28/03/26HAl Arabi74-76
23/03/26AAl Arabi78-95
31/01/26AAl Ahli76-60
28/01/26HAl Arabi75-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Gharafa
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game79.979.080.5
Allowed / game84.784.085.2
Point differential-4.9-5.0-4.8
Avg total164.6163.0165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%33%0%
Al Sadd
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game94.493.396.0
Allowed / game72.070.774.0
Point differential+22.4+22.7+22.0
Avg total166.4164.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi65183%93.280.2+13.0
2 Al Sadd54180%94.472.0+22.4
3 Al-Rayyan54180%86.079.6+6.4
4 Al Wakrah53260%80.081.4-1.4
5 Qatar Sports63350%90.292.0-1.8
6 Al Shamal73443%80.383.0-2.7
7 Al Gharafa73443%79.984.7-4.9
8 Al Ahli51420%84.094.2-10.2
9 Al Khor6060%73.590.2-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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