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Al Nasr vs Al-Fateh Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-82
27-21 22-9 21-29 22-23
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game67.5
Al Nasr 🏆
Saudi Arabia
vs
Position#5
Record0-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game108.0
Saudi ArabiaPremier LeagueRound 3· Hall of the Ministry of Sports
Other2024-25
Meetings · Al Nasr v Al-Fateh
28 Oct 2024
AL N92
AL-F82
17 Nov 2023
AL N78
AL-F71
31 Mar 2023
AL N90
AL-F75
18 Oct 2021
AL N80
AL-F77
22 Mar 2021
AL N103
AL-F82
16 Dec 2019
AL N76
AL-F72
08 Dec 2018
AL N77
AL-F82
05 Apr 2018
AL N65
AL-F95
27 Mar 2017
AL N65
AL-F63
13 Feb 2016
AL N66
AL-F80
10 Mar 2015
AL N85
AL-F79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Nasr winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Fateh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al NasrSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNasr
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
W
95-75
95
75
+20
95avg 73
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
123-84
123
84
+39
120avg 73
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
75avg 73
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
71-80
71
80
-9
52avg 73
A08/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
79-61
79
61
+18
64avg 73
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
58-73
58
73
-15
39avg 73
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
66-90
66
90
-24
45avg 73
A18/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
59-64
59
64
-5
44avg 73
A22/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
105-74
105
74
+31
33avg 73
A18/10
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
96-61
96
61
+35
97avg 73
H25/10
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
30-22
21-11
26-15
29-18
23-16
34-25
37-25
25-17
20-23
20-15
21-22
14-24
26-17
16-15
15-24
20-16
13-10
24-24
22-11
14-20
10-15
15-20
19-18
17-21
14-21
19-15
16-33
18-16
16-18
12-12
13-18
24-15
36-24
21-15
24-20
26-18
16-12
29-7
25-24
157.7Avg total
83.8Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)100.567.5168.0+33.0100%
Season at home (1)96.061.0157.0+35.0100%
Season away (1)105.074.0179.0+31.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.873.9157.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)76.872.4149.2+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.384.7163.0-6.333%
vs Similar (8)75.078.6153.6-3.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)92.672.3164.9+20.294%
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehSaudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Fateh
Date
Competition
Al Khaleej
#10
W
104-83
104
83
+21
113avg 84
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
63avg 84
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
88-94
88
94
-6
88avg 84
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
81avg 84
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
80-71
80
71
+9
85avg 84
H08/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
62avg 84
A11/03
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
115-79
115
79
+36
no box
H15/03
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
103-77
103
77
+26
106avg 84
A18/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
83-59
83
59
+24
81avg 84
H22/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
81-108
81
108
-27
52avg 84
A25/10
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-26
16-22
31-24
27-11
19-18
18-31
17-17
16-22
27-17
27-30
24-24
10-23
30-12
25-23
14-26
20-31
24-14
17-26
15-16
24-15
17-19
18-17
21-21
15-24
35-18
31-16
31-19
18-26
31-16
22-18
17-21
33-22
22-13
23-13
27-24
11-9
25-32
19-20
22-25
15-31
171.6Avg total
88.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.0108.0189.0-27.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.0108.0189.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)88.483.2171.6+5.250%
Last 5 (5)90.680.8171.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.096.2176.2-16.20%
vs Similar (6)82.287.7169.8-5.517%
vs Weaker (19)94.777.7172.5+17.084%
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +7.5+7.5Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -2.5-2.5
Al NasrAl-Fateh
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al NasrLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Safa of Safwa
#8
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A26/01
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A29/01
Premier League
Al Khaleej
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/02
Premier League
Al-Fateh
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A08/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H11/03
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
24-35
24
35
-11
H15/03
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A22/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#7
W
60-39
60
39
+21
A18/10
Premier League
Al Khowildiah
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H25/10
Premier League
77.9Avg total
40.9Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.480.6+3.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.535.976.3+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)43.940.984.8+3.140%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.077.9+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.074.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.842.383.2-1.517%-
vs Similar (8)36.539.075.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.636.682.1+9.081%-
This opponent (Al-Fateh) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-FatehLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Khaleej
#10
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H22/01
Premier League
Al Ahli
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H26/01
Premier League
Al Ittihad
#2
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/02
Premier League
Ohod
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/02
Premier League
Al Nasr
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/03
Premier League
Al-Hilal
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A11/03
Premier League
Dbae
#11
W
66-34
66
34
+32
H15/03
Premier League
Al Taawon
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A18/03
Premier League
Al Salam
#9
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H22/03
Premier League
AlUla
#2
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A25/10
Premier League
87.7Avg total
47.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.239.886.0+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.838.485.1+8.471%-
Last 30 away (16)45.841.186.8+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)47.640.187.7+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.636.485.0+12.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)40.446.086.4-5.620%-
vs Similar (6)45.744.289.8+1.567%-
vs Weaker (19)47.936.884.7+11.279%-
This opponent (Al Nasr) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Nasrtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Nasr: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.5
48.9%
50.2%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.49.0
28.7%
30.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
67.8%12.5
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Fatehtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Fateh: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀10%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 10% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
51%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.022.5
60.8%
50.2%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.8
38.0%
30.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws12.28.8
72.1%
67.8%8.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Nasr
WWLLLWLWWW
Al-Fateh
LWWWLWLLLW
#4
League position
#5
+12.0
Net rating
+1.7
103.3
Offensive rating
110.5
91.3
Defensive rating
108.8
46.4%
Effective FG%
59.2%
46.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
21.2%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.19
28.7%
3-point %
38.0%
44.6%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 110.5Defence91.3 · 108.8Shooting46.4% · 59.2%3-point %28.7% · 38.0%Ball care13.3% · 21.2%Off. rebounds27.4% · 28.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Al Nasr   ■ Al-Fateh
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Al Nasr wins
2
Al-Fateh wins
DateGameScore
08/03/24Al-Fateh v Al Nasr80-71
17/11/23Al Nasr v Al-Fateh78-71
31/03/23Al Nasr v Al-Fateh90-75
03/12/22Al-Fateh v Al Nasr92-82
10/01/22Al-Fateh v Al Nasr78-88
18/10/21Al Nasr v Al-Fateh80-77
22/03/21Al Nasr v Al-Fateh103-82
11/01/21Al-Fateh v Al Nasr76-84
27/02/20Al-Fateh v Al Nasr73-101
16/12/19Al Nasr v Al-Fateh76-72
Al Nasrlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24HAl Khowildiah96-61
18/10/24AAl Salam105-74
22/03/24AAl-Hilal59-64
18/03/24AAl Ittihad66-90
15/03/24HAl Ahli58-73
11/03/24HAl Salam79-61
08/03/24AAl-Fateh71-80
02/02/24HAl Khaleej86-77
29/01/24ADbae123-84
26/01/24AAl Safa of Safwa95-75
Al-Fatehlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/24AAlUla81-108
22/03/24HAl Salam83-59
18/03/24AAl Taawon103-77
15/03/24HDbae115-79
11/03/24AAl-Hilal71-81
08/03/24HAl Nasr80-71
05/02/24AOhod89-92
02/02/24AAl Ittihad88-94
26/01/24HAl Ahli70-88
22/01/24HAl Khaleej104-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Nasr
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game100.596.0105.0
Allowed / game67.561.074.0
Point differential+33.0+35.0+31.0
Avg total168.0157.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Fateh
Premier League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game108.0-108.0
Point differential-27.0--27.0
Avg total189.0-189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Ahli330100%91.758.0+33.7
2 Al Nasr220100%100.567.5+33.0
3 AlUla330100%96.766.7+30.0
4 Al Ittihad220100%82.570.5+12.0
5 Al Salam21150%91.086.5+4.5
6 Al Safa of Safwa2020%66.082.5-16.5
7 Al-Fateh1010%81.0108.0-27.0
8 Al Khaleej3030%56.786.0-29.3
9 Al Khowildiah3030%64.398.3-34.0
10 Ohod1010%68.0108.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Nasr2722212292
Al-Fateh219292382
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