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Al-Rayyan vs Al Wakrah Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Projected 89-77
Projected total 166.2
Postponed
Position#3
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game85.7
Al-Rayyan
Qatar
Vs
84%
16%
■ AL-R 84%■ AL W 16%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
5.9/10
Above normal
Al Wakrah
Qatar
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game78.2
QatarQBL
Other2026-27
Meetings · Al-Rayyan v Al Wakrah
05 Nov 2026
AL-R v AL W
upcoming
13 Dec 2025
AL-R97
AL W83
29 Dec 2024
AL-R112
AL W80
23 Mar 2023
AL-R86
AL W81
24 Nov 2021
AL-R77
AL W97
06 Jan 2021
AL-R80
AL W85
15 Jan 2020
AL-R81
AL W75
26 Dec 2018
AL-R74
AL W89
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Al-Rayyan host Al Wakrah on 5 November 2026 in the QBL, and the Pythia model names Al-Rayyan the clear favourite, assigning them an 84% chance of victory largely because they have a 2-1 record and average 86.3 points per game while allowing 85.7, a better offensive and defensive balance than Al Wakrah's 2-2 record, 74.2 points scored and 78.2 points allowed; the model also notes Al-Rayyan's 3-rd place league position versus Al Wakrah's 6-th. Al-Rayyan's season to date shows a 2-1 record with 86.3 points per game and 85.7 allowed, but their lone home game ended in a 69-90 loss, and their last five games were 2-3, including a 106-85 win over Al Ahli, a 69-90 defeat to Al Sadd, and a 84-82 win over Al Arabi. Al Wakrah's season record of 2-2 yields 74.2 points per game and 78.2 allowed, with a 1-1 road record and a 2-3 run in the last five games, highlighted by a 73-63 win over Al Khor, a 69-77 loss to Al Gharafa, and a 79-111 defeat to Al Arabi. In their 10 previous meetings Al-Rayyan has won 7 times to Al Wakrah's 3, most recently 103-71 on 10 January 2026. Pythia projects a 89-77 score, 166.2 total points, a -8.0 spread with a 63% chance of Al-Rayyan covering, a 163.0 total line with a 57% over probability, and a 3% overtime likelihood. The next game will see Al-Rayyan try to extend their winning streak against a resilient Al Wakrah side.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Rayyan win
84.3%fair 1.19
Best odds1.28
Implied71.6%
Edge+12.7pp
Al Wakrah win
15.7%fair 6.35
Best odds3.21
Implied28.4%
Edge-12.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
91avg 87
A21/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
50avg 87
A26/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 87
H23/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
93-88
93
88
+5
84avg 87
A28/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
61avg 87
H30/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
79-91
79
91
-12
71avg 87
H02/04
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
82avg 87
A25/10
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 87
H27/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#8
W
106-85
106
85
+21
111avg 87
A31/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-16
17-16
22-21
20-30
26-14
28-22
23-15
20-21
9-24
11-23
19-14
25-15
25-20
24-20
24-11
20-18
20-19
22-22
25-25
26-22
11-23
24-22
11-14
25-20
18-28
27-18
14-18
20-27
15-29
17-13
22-16
15-11
15-19
15-21
24-18
15-32
25-17
27-27
32-15
22-26
166.3Avg total
84.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.385.7172.0+0.767%
Season at home (1)69.090.0159.0-21.00%
Season away (2)95.083.5178.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.881.5166.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)81.885.4167.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.586.0162.5-9.550%
vs Similar (4)85.886.8172.5-1.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.579.2171.7+13.388%
This opponent (Al Wakrah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al WakrahQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWakrah
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
71-103
71
103
-32
56avg 72
H10/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
A14/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H19/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
73avg 72
H24/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H31/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 72
H02/02
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
72avg 72
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
73-63
73
63
+10
69avg 72
A24/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
68avg 72
A26/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
71avg 72
H29/10
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-29
15-21
22-23
23-30
23-11
30-21
24-19
25-27
29-19
19-20
12-20
16-21
23-23
26-20
19-23
24-19
21-20
18-9
30-20
17-23
17-16
22-26
11-22
23-21
16-19
13-18
19-14
28-11
18-11
17-13
23-20
15-19
25-19
14-20
22-19
8-19
18-35
21-24
21-27
19-25
161.3Avg total
79.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.278.2152.5-4.050%
Season at home (2)77.586.5164.0-9.050%
Season away (2)71.070.0141.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)79.781.6161.3-1.950%
Last 5 (5)74.079.6153.6-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.291.2170.4-12.124%
vs Similar (6)78.075.8153.8+2.250%
vs Weaker (7)85.677.6163.1+8.086%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 158
Over 158
69.2%
Under 158
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 163.25 · main line
Over 163.25
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under 163.25
no forecast
@ 1.80
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Under
1xBet
1.80
Over/Under 168
Over 168
45.0%
Under 168
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Al-Rayyan total 81.5
Over 81.5
76.9%
@ 1.39+13.9pp
Under 81.5
23.1%
@ 2.37-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Under
1xBet
2.37
Al-Rayyan total 85.5 · main line
Over 85.5
63.1%
@ 1.87+13.9pp
Under 85.5
36.9%
@ 1.78-13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.73
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.71
Al-Rayyan total 89.5
Over 89.5
47.3%
@ 2.40+10.8pp
Under 89.5
52.7%
@ 1.38-10.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.38
Al Wakrah total 73.5
Over 73.5
64.3%
@ 1.37+0.5pp
Under 73.5
35.7%
@ 2.42-0.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.37
Under
1xBet
2.42
Al Wakrah total 77.5 · main line
Over 77.5
48.8%
@ 1.75-2.2pp
Under 77.5
51.2%
@ 1.88+2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.71
Under
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.73
Al Wakrah total 81.5
Over 81.5
33.7%
@ 2.36-3.3pp
Under 81.5
66.3%
@ 1.39+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Al-Rayyan -10
AL-R -10
55.3%
@ 2.25+15.0pp
AL W +10
44.7%
@ 1.76-15.0pp
Best 5 market prices
AL-R
Pinnacle
2.25
SBO
1.91
AL W
SBO
1.76
Pinnacle
1.52
Spread Al-Rayyan -7 · main line
AL-R -7
66.3%
@ 1.87+17.3pp
AL W +7
33.7%
@ 1.80-17.3pp
Best 5 market prices
AL-R
Pinnacle
1.87
AL W
Pinnacle
1.80
Spread Al-Rayyan -4
AL-R -4
76.3%
AL W +4
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
AL-R
No market prices yet.
AL W
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
Al-RayyanAl Wakrah
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A26/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H23/03
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H30/03
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/04
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A25/10
QBL
Al Sadd
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H27/10
QBL
Al Ahli
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A31/10
QBL
82.2Avg total
40.9Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)44.440.685.0+3.863%77%
Last 30 at home (14)45.639.985.6+5.771%79%
Last 30 away (16)43.341.184.4+2.256%75%
Last 10 (10)40.941.382.2-0.450%60%
Last 5 (5)38.843.482.2-4.620%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.041.072.0-10.00%0%
vs Similar (4)41.244.085.2-2.825%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.040.086.0+6.175%88%
This opponent (Al Wakrah) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al WakrahLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al-Rayyan
#2
L
26-50
26
50
-24
H10/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A14/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H19/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/02
QBL
Al Shamal
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H13/10
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A24/10
QBL
Al Gharafa
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/10
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H29/10
QBL
79.0Avg total
39.6Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 80.5
Last 30 (30)39.241.981.1-2.840%53%
Last 30 at home (16)40.241.781.9-1.444%62%
Last 30 away (14)37.942.280.1-4.336%43%
Last 10 (10)39.639.479.0+0.250%50%
Last 5 (5)36.240.276.4-4.020%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.145.983.1-8.818%59%
vs Similar (6)41.236.577.7+4.767%33%
vs Weaker (7)42.436.979.3+5.671%57%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
AL-R win
no forecast
@ 1.38
AL W win
no forecast
@ 2.80
1st half Spread Al-Rayyan -4.5 · main line
AL-R -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
AL W +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
AL-R
no forecast
@ 1.44
Draw
no forecast
@ 16.50
AL W
no forecast
@ 2.92

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
AL-R win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
AL W win + total 163.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: AL-R leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Al-Rayyan -573.1%1.61
Pinnacle
1.61		----+16.5pp
Al-Rayyan -4.574.0%1.50
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.43		---+15.8pp
Al-Rayyan (regulation)82.3%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+15.0pp
Al-Rayyan over 82.573.7%1.45
1xBet
1.45		----+13.9pp
Al-Rayyan win84.3%1.26
Betano
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
1xBet
1.25		--+12.7pp
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 4 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.6
33.5%
31.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.412.8
73.6%
67.4%12.8
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Wakrahtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Wakrah: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
35%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.2
49.3%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.9
31.8%
31.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.6
76.8%
67.4%13.6
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Rayyan
WLWLLWWLWW
Al Wakrah
LLWWLWWLWL
#3
League position
#6
+5.8
Net rating
-13.5
97.8
Offensive rating
92.5
92.0
Defensive rating
106.0
52.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.5%
3-point %
31.8%
62.1%
Assist %
65.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.8 · 92.5Defence92.0 · 106.0Shooting52.0% · 48.6%3-point %33.5% · 31.8%Ball care12.6% · 15.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Al-Rayyan   ■ Al Wakrah
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Al-Rayyan wins
3
Al Wakrah wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Al Wakrah v Al-Rayyan71-103
13/12/25Al-Rayyan v Al Wakrah97-83
06/03/25Al Wakrah v Al-Rayyan74-94
29/12/24Al-Rayyan v Al Wakrah112-80
20/12/23Al Wakrah v Al-Rayyan74-72
07/11/23Al Wakrah v Al-Rayyan61-74
18/04/23Al Wakrah v Al-Rayyan82-84
23/03/23Al-Rayyan v Al Wakrah86-81
17/02/22Al Wakrah v Al-Rayyan99-75
24/11/21Al-Rayyan v Al Wakrah77-97
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AAl Ahli106-85
27/10/26HAl Sadd69-90
25/10/26AAl Arabi84-82 OT
02/04/26HAl Arabi79-91
30/03/26HAl Arabi71-79
28/03/26AAl Ahli93-88
23/03/26HAl Ahli93-69
26/01/26AAl Ahli64-76
21/01/26AQatar Sports97-72
15/01/26AAl Shamal92-83
Al Wakrahlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HAl Arabi79-111
26/10/26AAl Gharafa69-77
24/10/26AAl Khor73-63
13/10/26HAl Shamal76-62
02/02/26HAl Ahli73-85
31/01/26HAl Shamal86-72
24/01/26HQatar Sports92-85
19/01/26HAl Shamal76-80
14/01/26AAl Khor102-78
10/01/26HAl-Rayyan71-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Rayyan
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game86.369.095.0
Allowed / game85.790.083.5
Point differential+0.7-21.0+11.5
Avg total172.0159.0178.5
Over 163.2567%0%100%
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Al Wakrah
QBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.277.571.0
Allowed / game78.286.570.0
Point differential-4.0-9.0+1.0
Avg total152.5164.0141.0
Over 163.2525%50%0%
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al Arabi54180%94.681.0+13.6
2 Al Sadd43175%87.571.5+16.0
3 Al-Rayyan32167%86.385.7+0.7
4 Al Shamal53260%84.875.6+9.2
5 Al Gharafa53260%81.283.4-2.2
6 Al Wakrah42250%74.278.2-4.0
7 Qatar Sports42250%86.292.0-5.8
8 Al Ahli51420%84.094.2-10.2
9 Al Khor5050%72.087.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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