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Al Ahli vs Al-Rayyan Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-64
24-9 23-11 14-19 15-25
Position#4
Record10-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game80.7
Al Ahli 🏆
Qatar
vs
Al-Rayyan
Qatar
Position#2
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game97.5
Allowed / game80.9
QatarQBL· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan
31 Oct 2026
AL A85
AL-R106
28 Mar 2026
AL A88
AL-R93
26 Jan 2026
AL A76
AL-R64
20 Mar 2025
AL A66
AL-R88
16 Dec 2024
AL A74
AL-R83
19 Nov 2023
AL A73
AL-R65
14 Nov 2023
AL A88
AL-R98
05 Apr 2023
AL A54
AL-R96
05 Feb 2022
AL A99
AL-R79
07 Jan 2020
AL A84
AL-R80
22 Jan 2019
AL A69
AL-R60
29 Dec 2018
AL A84
AL-R75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al Ahli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al-Rayyan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
W
112-73
112
73
+39
110avg 80
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 80
H31/12
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
58-63
58
63
-5
no box
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
99-75
99
75
+24
94avg 80
H03/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
66-81
66
81
-15
51avg 80
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
no box
A10/01
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 80
A12/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H15/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A17/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-12
13-30
37-6
31-25
19-20
21-10
24-18
14-22
33-22
25-12
19-21
21-28
10-25
11-17
16-5
21-16
24-22
28-21
23-13
24-19
12-33
15-16
22-19
17-13
21-22
11-24
20-13
23-19
26-27
35-27
26-23
22-23
21-15
17-22
21-16
19-12
21-9
22-18
15-17
21-21
160.5Avg total
85.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)89.980.7170.6+9.167%
Season at home (7)88.379.7168.0+8.671%
Season away (8)91.281.6172.9+9.662%
Last 10 (10)85.275.3160.5+9.970%
Last 5 (5)81.477.8159.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.976.2147.1-5.429%
vs Similar (4)78.276.8155.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (12)95.079.1174.1+15.992%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
78avg 87
A10/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 87
H13/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
80avg 87
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
106-87
106
87
+19
99avg 87
H25/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 87
H29/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
102avg 87
A03/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
104avg 87
H07/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
103-71
103
71
+32
107avg 87
A10/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
91avg 87
A21/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-27
21-13
22-23
29-27
24-10
29-23
25-26
19-24
14-25
23-25
31-12
25-21
23-30
26-15
28-14
29-28
28-15
20-19
34-22
19-26
25-23
19-24
38-20
23-23
30-12
23-24
27-18
21-26
29-11
21-15
23-22
30-23
33-16
17-16
22-21
20-30
26-14
28-22
23-15
20-21
180.3Avg total
98.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)97.580.9178.4+16.593%
Season at home (7)97.979.1177.0+18.7100%
Season away (8)97.182.5179.6+14.688%
Last 10 (10)98.282.1180.3+16.190%
Last 5 (5)99.679.2178.8+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)96.588.5185.0+8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.778.2171.0+14.586%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
Al AhliAl-Rayyan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Shamal
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/12
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
Premier League
Qatar Sports
#8
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H31/12
QBL
Al Manama
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A03/01
Premier League
Al Khor
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H03/01
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
L
27-49
27
49
-22
A08/01
QBL
Al Hala
#8
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/01
Premier League
Al Gharafa
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
A12/01
QBL
Al Muharraq
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A17/01
QBL
82.0Avg total
41.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.479.0+2.267%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.736.276.9+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)40.540.480.9+0.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.482.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.682.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)33.838.572.3-4.736%-
vs Similar (4)42.038.580.5+3.575%-
vs Weaker (12)48.138.386.4+9.8100%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Arabi
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/12
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H13/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H07/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A10/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
QBL
85.3Avg total
47.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.838.385.2+8.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.336.784.1+10.687%-
Last 30 away (15)46.339.986.3+6.467%-
Last 10 (10)47.437.985.3+9.570%-
Last 5 (5)50.235.485.6+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)47.138.085.2+9.179%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 95.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.929.0
58.1%
54.5%58.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.2
32.5%
33.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
73.4%12.9
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.228.8
59.8%
54.5%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.4
33.7%
33.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws17.812.7
71.3%
73.4%12.7
They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al Ahli
WWWLLWLWWW
Al-Rayyan
WWWWWWWWWL
#4
League position
#2
+18.5
Net rating
+19.7
115.6
Offensive rating
117.4
97.1
Defensive rating
97.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
13.9%
Turnover %
11.7%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.5%
3-point %
33.7%
48.4%
Assist %
60.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 117.4Defence97.1 · 97.8Shooting55.0% · 56.4%3-point %32.5% · 33.7%Ball care13.9% · 11.7%Off. rebounds35.8% · 31.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Al Ahli   ■ Al-Rayyan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Al Ahli wins
6
Al-Rayyan wins
DateGameScore
27/10/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-71
20/03/25Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan66-88
17/03/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli87-79
25/01/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli78-84 OT
16/12/24Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan74-83
09/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli84-89
02/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli69-77
19/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan73-65
14/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan88-98
17/05/23Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli77-74
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26AAl Sadd79-65
15/01/26HAl Muharraq78-65
12/01/26AAl Gharafa109-100
10/01/26AAl Hala75-78
08/01/26AAl Arabi66-81
03/01/26HAl Khor99-75
03/01/26AAl Manama58-63
31/12/25HQatar Sports98-83
28/12/25ANuwaidrad78-70
27/12/25AAl Shamal112-73
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AQatar Sports97-72
15/01/26AAl Shamal92-83
10/01/26AAl Wakrah103-71
07/01/26HAl Khor101-80
03/01/26AAl Sadd105-90
29/12/25HAl Gharafa101-82
25/12/25HAl Arabi106-87
20/12/25AAl Sadd93-83
13/12/25HAl Wakrah97-83
10/12/25AAl Arabi87-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game89.988.391.2
Allowed / game80.779.781.6
Point differential+9.1+8.6+9.6
Avg total170.6168.0172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al-Rayyan
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %93%100%88%
Points / game97.597.997.1
Allowed / game80.979.182.5
Point differential+16.5+18.7+14.6
Avg total178.4177.0179.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+87%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1514193%97.580.9+16.5
2 Al Arabi1412286%97.185.0+12.1
3 Al Ahli1510567%89.980.7+9.1
4 Al Sadd1510567%91.986.9+5.0
5 Al Wakrah168850%83.286.1-2.9
6 Al Shamal156940%85.188.7-3.7
7 Al Gharafa1651131%92.5100.2-7.8
8 Qatar Sports1621412%84.797.7-13.0
9 Al Khor141137%82.596.5-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al Ahli2423141576
Al-Rayyan911192564
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