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Al-Rayyan vs Al Ahli Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 93-69
25-20 24-20 24-11 20-18
Position#2
Record14-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game79.1
QatarQBLQBL - Semi-finals· Ahmed bin Ali Stadium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli
23 Mar 2026
AL-R93
AL A69
27 Oct 2025
AL-R91
AL A71
17 Mar 2025
AL-R87
AL A79
25 Jan 2025
AL-R78
AL A84
09 Jan 2024
AL-R84
AL A89
02 Jan 2024
AL-R69
AL A77
17 May 2023
AL-R77
AL A74
05 Dec 2021
AL-R91
AL A111
06 Dec 2020
AL-R94
AL A99
31 Dec 2019
AL-R88
AL A75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Al-Rayyan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Al Ahli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Al-RayyanQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAl-Rayyan
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#5
W
97-83
97
83
+14
97avg 88
H13/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
80avg 88
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
106-87
106
87
+19
99avg 88
H25/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
101-82
101
82
+19
102avg 88
H29/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
102avg 88
A03/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
101-80
101
80
+21
104avg 88
H07/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
103-71
103
71
+32
107avg 88
A10/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
97-72
97
72
+25
91avg 88
A21/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
64-76
64
76
-12
50avg 88
A26/01
QBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-10
29-23
25-26
19-24
14-25
23-25
31-12
25-21
23-30
26-15
28-14
29-28
28-15
20-19
34-22
19-26
25-23
19-24
38-20
23-23
30-12
23-24
27-18
21-26
29-11
21-15
23-22
30-23
33-16
17-16
22-21
20-30
26-14
28-22
23-15
20-21
9-24
11-23
19-14
25-15
176.6Avg total
95.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)95.480.6176.0+14.888%
Season at home (7)97.979.1177.0+18.7100%
Season away (9)93.481.8175.2+11.778%
Last 10 (10)95.980.7176.6+15.290%
Last 5 (5)91.476.4167.8+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)96.588.5185.0+8.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.278.7170.9+13.582%
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliQatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAhli
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
H15/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A17/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
76-64
76
64
+12
75avg 81
H26/01
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H27/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
60-76
60
76
-16
no box
H31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
85-73
85
73
+12
92avg 81
A02/02
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
W
78-67
78
67
+11
no box
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
68-79
68
79
-11
no box
H23/02
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
17-22
21-16
19-12
21-9
22-18
15-17
21-21
24-9
23-11
14-19
15-25
19-25
18-23
19-18
23-16
17-26
15-13
13-21
15-16
16-17
26-22
22-11
21-23
26-25
15-18
22-19
16-12
15-13
15-23
27-15
21-16
7-15
13-20
17-28
23-20
17-21
21-21
13-17
17-20
147.0Avg total
74.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.279.1166.3+8.167%
Season at home (9)83.877.6161.3+6.267%
Season away (9)90.680.7171.2+9.967%
Last 10 (10)74.272.8147.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)74.075.2149.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.272.3141.6-3.133%
vs Similar (6)73.577.0150.5-3.533%
vs Weaker (12)95.478.9174.3+16.5100%
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +8.6+8.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +8.6+8.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
Al-RayyanAl Ahli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Al-RayyanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Wakrah
#5
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H13/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A20/12
QBL
Al Arabi
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H25/12
QBL
Al Gharafa
#7
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
QBL
Al Sadd
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A03/01
QBL
Al Khor
#9
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H07/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A10/01
QBL
Al Shamal
#6
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A15/01
QBL
Qatar Sports
#8
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A21/01
QBL
Al Ahli
#4
L
20-47
20
47
-27
A26/01
QBL
84.4Avg total
45.8Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.338.785.0+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.336.784.1+10.687%-
Last 30 away (15)45.340.786.0+4.560%-
Last 10 (10)45.838.684.4+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.435.480.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.638.585.0+8.175%-
This opponent (Al Ahli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Al AhliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Al Muharraq
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A17/01
QBL
Al-Rayyan
#2
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H26/01
QBL
Al Najma
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H27/01
Premier League
Al Sadd
#3
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H31/01
QBL
Al Wakrah
#5
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A02/02
QBL
Nuwaidrad
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H05/02
Premier League
Al Manama
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A12/02
Premier League
Al Muharraq
#2
L
20-35
20
35
-15
A20/02
Premier League
Al Hala
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H23/02
Premier League
73.4Avg total
36.8Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.978.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.436.476.8+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.679.4+0.264%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.673.4+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.073.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)32.035.867.8-3.833%-
vs Similar (6)39.739.278.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)48.439.387.8+9.192%-
This opponent (Al-Rayyan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Al-Rayyantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al-Rayyan: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.127.8
59.0%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.8
31.9%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
73.4%12.5
They take 74.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Al Ahlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Al Ahli: 92.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.8 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.727.8
58.3%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.7
32.9%
33.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
73.4%13.7
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Al-Rayyan
LWWWWWWWWW
Al Ahli
LLWWWLLWWW
#2
League position
#4
+16.6
Net rating
+18.2
112.9
Offensive rating
111.3
96.3
Defensive rating
93.1
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
11.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
38.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.9%
3-point %
32.9%
59.8%
Assist %
51.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 111.3Defence96.3 · 93.1Shooting54.9% · 55.3%3-point %31.9% · 32.9%Ball care11.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 38.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Al-Rayyan   ■ Al Ahli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Al-Rayyan wins
5
Al Ahli wins
DateGameScore
26/01/26Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan76-64
27/10/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli91-71
20/03/25Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan66-88
17/03/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli87-79
25/01/25Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli78-84 OT
16/12/24Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan74-83
09/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli84-89
02/01/24Al-Rayyan v Al Ahli69-77
19/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan73-65
14/11/23Al Ahli v Al-Rayyan88-98
Al-Rayyanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/26AAl Ahli64-76
21/01/26AQatar Sports97-72
15/01/26AAl Shamal92-83
10/01/26AAl Wakrah103-71
07/01/26HAl Khor101-80
03/01/26AAl Sadd105-90
29/12/25HAl Gharafa101-82
25/12/25HAl Arabi106-87
20/12/25AAl Sadd93-83
13/12/25HAl Wakrah97-83
Al Ahlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/26HAl Hala68-79
20/02/26AAl Muharraq60-83
12/02/26AAl Manama78-67
05/02/26HNuwaidrad79-74
02/02/26AAl Wakrah85-73
31/01/26HAl Sadd60-76
27/01/26HAl Najma79-82
26/01/26HAl-Rayyan76-64
17/01/26AAl Sadd79-65
15/01/26HAl Muharraq78-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Al-Rayyan
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %88%100%78%
Points / game95.497.993.4
Allowed / game80.679.181.8
Point differential+14.8+18.7+11.7
Avg total176.0177.0175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Al Ahli
QBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game87.283.890.6
Allowed / game79.177.680.7
Point differential+8.1+6.2+9.9
Avg total166.3161.3171.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%56%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Al-Rayyan1614288%95.480.6+14.8
2 Al Arabi1614288%97.985.8+12.1
3 Al Ahli1812667%87.279.1+8.1
4 Al Sadd1711665%89.985.4+4.5
5 Al Wakrah189950%82.885.3-2.4
6 Al Shamal1771041%85.688.2-2.5
7 Al Gharafa1651131%92.5100.2-7.8
8 Qatar Sports1621412%84.797.7-13.0
9 Al Khor161156%84.198.6-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Al-Rayyan2524242093
Al Ahli2020111869
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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